Tuesday, September28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elliott, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 6:51PM Tuesday September 28, 2021 1:30 PM EDT (17:30 UTC) Moonrise 10:32PMMoonset 1:13PM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 1036 Am Edt Tue Sep 28 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Wednesday afternoon...
Rest of today..SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming N late. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 1036 Am Edt Tue Sep 28 2021
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. A cold front will cross the waters late tonight. Canadian high pressure will then build southward toward the waters through the end of the work week, continuing into the weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters on Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elliott, MD
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location: 38.39, -76.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 281428 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1028 AM EDT Tue Sep 28 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will slide farther off the coast during today. A cold front will cross the local area late today into tonight. High pressure returns for Wednesday into the upcoming weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 1025 AM EDT Tuesday .

Late this morning, sfc high pressure was centered off the Mid Atlc and SE coasts. While a cold front was pushing through nrn OH and PA. The high will slide farther into the Atlc today into this evening. A weak sfc trough develops this aftn in advance of the cold front approaching from the NNW. Low level heating and cooling aloft (as trough aloft progresses into the region) will steepen lapse rates this aftn, resulting in modest instability. Best shear aloft is shown to be over N and NE areas of the FA later this aftn into this evening. Potentially favorable overlap of instability and shear may support isolated to sctd storms, mainly across nrn and NE areas from late this aftn into this evening. Some concern over dew point recovery (into the lower to mid 60s) this aftn, due to SW low level flow (which may limit convective potential). SPC has a slight risk over far nrn/NE tier of FA, with marginal risk down to near the I-64 corridor. Otherwise, sunny then becoming partly cloudy this aftn with SW winds 5-15 mph. Highs will range through the 80s.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 220 AM EDT Tuesday .

Mainly evening convection, esply E of I-95 to the coast, wanes/diminishes after midnight. Winds become N and gusty (at the coast) after midnight, as drier/cooler air spreads into the local area. Lows from the m50s-l60s.

High pressure will build down into the area from the north for Wed through Thu. Pleasant wx expected, with highs ranging through the 70s both days Lows Wed night will range u40s-m50s inland. m-u50s along coastal SE VA-NE NC.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 250 AM EDT Tuesday .

Continuing to run w/ the 00Z/28 ECMWF solution for the extended period. Most of the extended period will remain dry, as sfc high pressure builds down over the region, then slides out to sea. Low pressure over the OH Valley and a frontal boundary to our north, could provide a chance for showers Mon aftn/night.

Lows will range from the upper 40s to the upper 50s Thu night and Fri night, in the 50s Sat night, and in the mid 50s to lower 60s Sun night. Highs will range through the 70s to near 80 through the period.

AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 635 AM EDT Tuesday .

A cold front approaches from the NW this afternoon then crosses the FA w/ psbl ISOLD/SCT convection through this evening. VFR conditions . except for flight restrictions (mainly VSBY) and gusty winds w/ any SHRAs/tstms (mainly from 20Z/28-04Z/29). WSW winds 5-15 kt. Winds become NNW after midnight. VFR conditions expected Wed through Fri as hi pres builds back into the mid- Atlantic region.

MARINE. As of 330 AM EDT Tuesday .

Early this morning, high pressure is centered south of the local waters. Meanwhile, a cold front is approaching the waters from the NW. Winds remain breezy out of the SW, especially for the northern Bay/coastal waters, with wind speeds of 15 to 20 knots and gusts to 25 knots. Seas range from 3 to 5 feet for the northern coastal waters and 2 to 3 feet for the southern waters. Waves in the Bay are generally around 2 to 3 feet.

Winds gradually diminish through this morning into this afternoon as the cold front approaches. The front is expected to cross the waters tonight into early Wednesday morning with winds becoming N to NW and increasing to 15 to 20 knots in its wake. Another round of Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed for the Chesapeake Bay from around 09z Wed through 15z, with local wind probabilities showing a 60 to 70% chance of SCA conditions during this period as drier/cooler air moves across the warmer waters of the Bay. Winds diminish below SCA criteria by mid to late morning Wednesday, but will remain around 15 knots through much of the day. High pressure builds from the NW later Wednesday through the end of the week, allowing for generally sub-SCA conditions Wednesday afternoon through Friday.

Uncertainty remains this weekend regarding the extent of the impact of increased swells from Hurricane Sam which will pass well offshore. SCAs for seas may be needed. A period of increased rip current risk will also be possible this weekend due to the swell. The rip risk will be low today and moderate for the southern beaches on Wed.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to noon EDT Wednesday for ANZ630>632-634-638.

SYNOPSIS . TMG NEAR TERM . ALB/TMG SHORT TERM . ALB/TMG LONG TERM . TMG AVIATION . ALB MARINE . AJB/MAM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 12 mi42 min SSW 6 G 7 74°F 73°F1012.6 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 13 mi42 min WNW 2.9 G 6 77°F 74°F1012.1 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 19 mi42 min ESE 9.9 G 12 74°F 1012.2 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 23 mi42 min WSW 8 G 11 78°F 76°F1012.2 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 24 mi36 min S 5.8 G 9.7 73°F 74°F1 ft1013.4 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 30 mi36 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 75°F 76°F1 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 32 mi42 min N 11 G 14
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 36 mi42 min ESE 1 G 1.9 76°F 73°F1012.8 hPa
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 42 mi30 min SE 6 G 7 77°F 74°F1012.2 hPa (-1.1)
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 45 mi60 min WNW 5.1 79°F 1012 hPa63°F
44063 - Annapolis 46 mi36 min 79°F 74°F1011.2 hPa
CPVM2 46 mi42 min 81°F 64°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 48 mi42 min SW 6 G 12 81°F 75°F1011 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 49 mi42 min SSW 11 G 13 74°F 72°F1013.3 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD10 mi35 minW 610.00 miFair82°F63°F51%1011.8 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD21 mi38 minW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F64°F55%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGE

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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S9S4S4CalmCalm44S55S4SE4CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmW3Calm3W4
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W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S8SW8
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Tide / Current Tables for Fishing Point, Fishing Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Fishing Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:13 AM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:32 AM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:54 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT     2.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 11:31 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.310.911.31.722.32.32.11.81.51.10.90.811.31.82.32.62.72.62.42.1

Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:29 AM EDT     -0.53 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:56 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:01 AM EDT     0.21 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:46 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:06 PM EDT     -0.26 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:28 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:59 PM EDT     0.57 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 11:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.4-0.200.20.20.20.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.10.10.30.50.60.50.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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