Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 11:07 PM   Moonset 7:09 AM

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ANZ541 Choptank River To Cambridge Md And The Little Choptank River- 1034 Am Edt Sat Apr 27 2024
Rest of today - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft. Isolated showers late this morning, then scattered showers this afternoon. Tonight - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.Sun - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Tue - SW winds 10 kt - .becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft. Wed - N winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se. Waves 1 ft.

ANZ500 1034 Am Edt Sat Apr 27 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a warm front lifts through the area by Sunday bringing a significant warm up heading into early next week. Additional small craft advisories may be needed due to southerly channeling Sunday into early next week. The next substantial front to cross the waters looks to arrive by Tuesday bringing renewed chances for showers and Thunderstorms.

FXUS61 KAKQ 271849 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 249 PM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure offshore moves south early next week with a ridge building over the area. Well above normal temperatures are expected next week. A weak cold front crosses the area Tuesday night. High pressure returns by Wednesday. Precipitation chances increase late next week into next weekend as another cold front approaches the area.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/
As of 245 PM EDT Saturday...

~1035mb high pressure is now centered SE of Long Island/Cape Cod this afternoon, with ridging extending SW into VA and the Carolinas.
A warm front is approaching from the SW (but is still over western VA/NC). Skies are still mostly cloudy to overcast across the eastern 2/3 of the area, with scattered showers from the RIC Metro NE to the VA Northern Neck/Eastern Shore. Temps have struggled to get out of the 50s across northern portions of the area, with mainly 60s elsewhere (and near 70F SW where skies have started to clear).
Showers will continue to be possible today across N and NE portions of the FA through the evening (before ending by ~8 PM), with clearing expected across W/SW portions of the area in the next few hours. Not expecting more than a few hundredths of an inch of rain.
Lows tonight in the upper 40s NE with low-mid 50s elsewhere as winds become S-SSW as the warm front crosses the area.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 245 PM EDT Saturday...

A ridge builds over the area early next week with a significant warmup expected as winds become SW. Dry with (slowly) increasing humidity. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s Sun with upper 80s in most areas on Mon/Tue. Guidance has come up a couple of degrees with respect to high temperatures early next week, and a few 90F readings are likely on both Mon and Tue (now the NBM 50th percentile shows 90F at RIC on Mon). Lows in the upper 50s-lower 60s Sun and Mon night. A weak cold front slowly approaches from the west on Tue, with isolated to widely scattered showers/tstms initially developing to our west during the aftn. Isolated convection potentially moves across the area during the evening through the first part of Tue night before weakening. Will hold PoPs no higher than 30% given the lack of coverage and the fact that some of the models don't have any QPF in the FA from Tue-Tue night.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 245 PM EDT Saturday...

The ridge lingers over the E CONUS through much of the rest of next week. At the surface, weak high pressure settles to our NE on Wed/Thu in the wake of the weak front, with mainly warm/dry wx expected (although it will be a bit cooler near the coast on both days with the flow becoming onshore). Forecast highs are in the low- mid 80s inland with 70s closer to the coast. Precipitation chances increase late next week through at least Sat as the upper ridge breaks down and a shortwave tracks from the upper Midwest to srn Ontario/Quebec. Several shortwaves move through the area during this time, which will result in multiple chances for showers/storms.
However, global models disagree with timing for each of these subtle features. Also, another cold front may cross the area next weekend, and there's quite a bit of uncertainty regarding if/when it does so.
As such, have maintained NBM PoPs (which gives 30-40% PoPs on both Fri/Sat...highest during the aftn/evening). Highs mainly in the 80s on Fri with a slight cool down possible by next weekend.

AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 125 PM EDT Saturday...

VFR conditions prevail through the 18z/27 TAF period. BKN-OVC CIGs around 5000ft AGL will exit the area this evening-tonight, with clear skies outside of SCT mid/high clouds expected during the remainder of the period. Cannot completely rule out a few light showers making it to RIC or SBY during the remainder this afternoon but confidence is too low to reflect in TAFs (and even if RIC/SBY see showers...no flight restrictions are expected).
ESE/SE winds of ~10 kt become S then SSW tonight-Sun AM as a warm front crosses the area.

Outlook: Dry/VFR conditions are expected at all terminals from Sun through at least Tue AM.

MARINE
As of 230 AM EDT Saturday...

Early this morning, strong ~1033mb high pressure remains centered just off the New England coast. Winds are generally out of the east and range from 10 to 15 knots with a few locally higher gusts. Seas continue to diminish and now range from 3 to 4 feet. Although seas may approach 5 feet out 20 nm/south of the VA/NC border, will allow the SCA to end as scheduled with seas expected to diminish further over the next few hours.

Onshore winds of 10-15kt continue today into tonight as high pressure is slowly pushed offshore. Sunday into early next week, high pressure moves further offshore and gets pushed S. With this movement, winds become southerly (still at 10-15kt) Sunday through Tuesday. During this period, seas will be 3-4ft and waves 1-2ft. A front approaches the waters late Tuesday into early Wednesday with winds briefly becoming NW and then SE behind the front (winds still ~10kt).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

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Woolford
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:14 AM EDT     2.29 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:14 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:49 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Woolford, Church Creek, Little Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:36 AM EDT     0.74 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:17 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:59 PM EDT     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:37 PM EDT     0.21 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots

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