Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Manitou Springs, CO

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:04PM Sunday January 16, 2022 6:13 PM MST (01:13 UTC) Moonrise 4:50PMMoonset 7:36AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitou Springs, CO
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location: 38.85, -104.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Pueblo, CO
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FXUS65 KPUB 162206 AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 306 PM MST Sun Jan 16 2022

SHORT TERM. (This evening through Monday) Issued at 241 PM MST Sun Jan 16 2022

Currently . Nice day ongoing across all of southern Colorado as western U.S. upper ridge slowly builds into Colorado, with generally light winds and mild temps at most locations this afternoon. Tonight, weak lee surface trough will keep eastern mountain slopes mixed and fairly mild overnight, while dry air mass and light winds lead to seasonably cold readings elsewhere. On Monday, lee trough persists on the plains as ridge gradually flattens by late day. Could see some breezy conditions in the afternoon over the far sern plains ahead of the trough, especially Baca County, where gradient is tightest. Air mass remains very dry, and we could get close to fire weather thresholds for an hour or two at breezy locations on the plains, though duration/areal coverage look too short/too sparse for a highlight. Given slight upward trend in mid-level temps and better mixing Mon afternoon, expect maxes to bump upward a few degf at many locations, with lee eastern slopes and the lower Arkansas Valley from Canon City eastward reaching the 60s by late day.

LONG TERM. (Monday night through Sunday) Issued at 241 PM MST Sun Jan 16 2022

Lots of uncertainty continues to exist in the extended period. There are varying degrees of precipitation chances mid week, with the GFS being completely dry, while the NAM is most aggressive with precipitation. The NBM guidance is more in line with the ECMWF for Wednesday into Thursday. Did not stray away from the NBM output for the latest forecast.

Monday night through Tuesday . overall, dry conditions are expected during this forecast period. Temperatures will start off cold Tuesday morning with teens and 20s across the Plains, and near zero readings in the San Luis Valley. Temperatures should warm quickly and reach the upper 50s to lower 60s by Tuesday afternoon. A cold front will be working its way south into the Plains late in the day. The NAM is the quickest with the front, passing it south across the Plains by midday, but this is much faster than any other guidance. If the front can come through a bit quicker, it may knock a few degrees off the forecast highs.

Tuesday night through Thursday . a high degree of uncertainty remains during this period. An upper disturbance is forecast to move across northern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, while and upper trough drops southeast out of the northern Rockies for Wednesday night into Thursday. As mentioned above, models are putting out varying chances for precipitation. Most guidance keeps the area dry Tuesday into Wednesday morning as the southern system passes too far south. The outlier appears to be the NAM, with a quick shot of precipitation for the southern Mountains into the Raton Mesa. Discounting the NAM solution at this time, and keeping the forecast area dry based on the majority of the guidance.

The second system is not handled well by the model either. The GFS is dry with hardly any energy moving across Colorado in northwest flow. The NAM brings a pretty stout wave across Colorado, with a secondary round of snowfall for the Eastern Mountains and I-25 corridor. The ECMWF has an upper wave, but clips the far Eastern Plains. The NBM guidance is similar to the ECMWF, with highest precipitation chances across the far Eastern Plains. Overall, the confidence in the forecast during this period is low.

Friday through Saturday . there is better agreement with a system dropping south out of the Pacific Northwest by Friday into Saturday. The main model difference are in storm track, with the ECMWF west of the Great Basin, and the GFS in Utah. Both solutions, and the Canadian, all bring a period of snow to the Eastern Mountains and across the Plains Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. Highest accumulations would be expected over the Eastern Mountains and Palmer Divide. There is still plenty of time for this storm to take shape and for models to converge on a solutions.

Sunday . the upper system will continue to track due south into the Desert Southwest with broad northern flow across the state. That should allow for the area to dry out for Sunday.

Overall, temperatures will range from the 30s to 40 from Wednesday through Sunday. The coldest days appear the be Wednesday and Thursday. Mozley

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening) Issued at 241 PM MST Sun Jan 16 2022

VFR conditions at all taf sites the next 24 hrs while light diurnal wind cycle continues.

PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NONE.

SHORT TERM . PETERSEN LONG TERM . MOZLEY AVIATION . PETERSEN


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Meadow Lake Airport, CO20 mi19 minNNE 9 G 1410.00 miFair33°F12°F42%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOS

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Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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