Marine Weather and Tides
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.
|Sunrise 7:18AM||Sunset 7:14PM||Tuesday September 28, 2021 1:33 AM EDT (05:33 UTC)||Moonrise 10:54PM||Moonset 1:39PM||Illumination 57%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Racine, OHHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Charleston WV  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KRLX 280215 AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 1015 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021
SYNOPSIS. A cold front crosses Tuesday, with some showers and storms possible. High pressure brings the return of dry weather to begin the month of October.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 1015 PM Monday .
Added slight chances for showers along the northeastern portions of the area as a few light showers begin to push into the area. Chances for showers and potentially thunderstorms will slightly increase tonight into tomorrow morning as the cold front continues to approach the area from the north/northwest.
As of 725 PM Monday .
Made a few slight adjustments to cloud cover to reflect current satellite imagery as a few mid to upper level clouds begin to move into the northwestern portion of the area. Otherwise, current forecast is on track.
As of 255 PM Monday .
It is a warm and breezy day across the area as a fairly tight pressure gradient is in place between a surface high centered across the Carolinas and a cold front moving across the Great Lakes. This cold front will drop into the upper Ohio Valley tonight and this feature combined with an associated shortwave trough, may lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms late evening and into the overnight hours. Any convection that occurs overnight should be elevated as models suggest MUCAPE values of 1000-1500 J/kg developing above a more stably boundary layer. With mid level lapse rates around 8 C/km and freezing levels around 12 kft, can't completely rule out a few instances of large hail with any stronger discrete cells that develop. While this threat will be greater for areas just north of our CWA into far northern WV and western PA, an isolated large hail threat at least appears possible across some of our northern counties. For the remainder of the area, especially across northeast KY, southern WV, and southwest VA, conditions may remain mostly dry overnight as the better forcing/instability will remain to the north.
On Tuesday, the frontal boundary will continue to push southward across the area, but upper support will be decreasing throughout the day. Thus, despite diurnal heating yielding enough destabilization for the development of isolated showers and storms, the waning upper support and increasingly drier air aloft should limit most convection potential throughout the day. However, will include low PoPs for now across the northeast portions of the forecast area where the better moisture profiles are expected. That said, confidence is not particularly high that the remainder of the area will be completely dry throughout the day since the cold frontal passage will support low level convergence within a fairly unstable environment, but didn't have enough confidence to include any PoPs for convection elsewhere at this point. Otherwise, another warm day is expected on Tuesday with highs generally in the low 80s across the lowlands and 60s to low 70s in the higher elevations.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. As of 205 PM Monday .
Besides some slight chances for a lingering shower or storm for the first several hours of this period around the northeast mountains, the rest of this period will remain settled. Surface high pressure will meander about across the area then strongly build in while an amplified upper level trough makes its way across the midwest and then to our area by the end of the week. Temperatures will cool slightly, however remain just above seasonable going into the start of October.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 205 PM Sunday .
High pressure, both sfc and aloft, will build over the area into the weekend although finally giving way to a low pressure system traversing from the west and affecting the area starting Sunday. According to the GFS and Canadian NH, they both agree with this solution, however the EURO is not on board. For this reason, decided to go with a blend of models equating to slight chances initiating later on for Sunday. This will keep those chances going into Monday and possibly longer as the EURO gets on board starting mid Monday as upper level troughing reinforces unsettled weather chances for the new work week.
AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 725 PM Monday .
A few mid to upper level clouds are moving in from the west this evening but otherwise the period should start off quiet with VFR conditions at all sites. A chance for showers and/or thunderstorms may be possible for the more northern sites tonight into tomorrow morning ahead of a cold front approaching from the northwest. Currently have VCTS at PKB tonight and VCTS/VCTS at CKB/EKN in the morning around 12/13Z as showers and potentially storms move into the area. CKB/EKN may also have a chance for showers/storms during the afternoon as the front continues its approach into the area. Exact timing/location of shower/storm activity will continued to be better determined heading into tonight as these showers and storms develop.
For the northern sites, brief drops to MVFR/IFR could be possible if a storm/heavy rainfall moves directly over a site. Additionally, as the front dips into the area along the north, a period of MVFR ceilings can't be ruled out tomorrow afternoon. The southern half of the sites are expected to remain dry through the period and maintain VFR ceilings. Additionally, not expecting any fog formation tonight as winds should be persistent overnight to prevent any fog from forming.
Southwesterly winds start the period at around 5-8 KTs and are expected to persist into tonight. As the front makes its way into the area, gusts around 15-20 KTs may be possible at the northern sites with winds shifting to become more westerly/northwesterly.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY . FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: A shower or thunderstorm may directly impact a TAF site, particularly at PKB, CKB, or EKN tonight into tomorrow.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE TUE 09/28/21 UTC 1HRLY 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 EDT 1HRLY 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H M M PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 00Z WEDNESDAY . IFR conditions could briefly occur in showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday night, especially across northern terminals. River/mountain valley fog possible Wednesday through Friday mornings.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WV . None. OH . None. KY . None. VA . None.
SYNOPSIS . JZ/RG NEAR TERM . RG/CG SHORT TERM . JZ LONG TERM . JZ AVIATION . CG
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|Point Pleasant, Mason County Airport, WV||12 mi||38 min||N 0||10.00 mi||Fair||64°F||61°F||89%||1015.6 hPa|
Link to 5 minute data for K3I2
Wind History from 3I2 (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||S||SW||S||SW||SW||S||S||SW||S||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm|
|2 days ago||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||S||SW||SE||S||S||SW||SW||SW||S||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm|
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