Wednesday, January19, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Queen Anne, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 5:12PM Wednesday January 19, 2022 3:54 AM EST (08:54 UTC) Moonrise 6:50PMMoonset 8:42AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ540 Eastern Bay- 336 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
Rest of the overnight..S winds 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Today..SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Gusts up to 30 kt... Diminishing to 20 kt late. Waves 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. Rain.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. Snow and rain.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of snow.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of snow through the day.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
ANZ500 336 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. An arctic front will shift winds around to the northwest by Thursday, and may be accompanied by rain changing to snow. Low pressure lurking just off the east coast as cold high pressure anchors to the north could set the stage for another winter storm Friday into Saturday. Small craft advisories will likely be needed at times through Thursday, with near gale conditions possible as low pressure passes through early this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Queen Anne, MD
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location: 38.92, -75.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 190745 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 245 AM EST Wed Jan 19 2022

SYNOPSIS. High pressure near the southeast coast will move quickly out to sea through today. A cold front approaching from the northwest is expected to arrive early on Thursday. Frigid high pressure is anticipated to follow for Thursday night into the weekend, when an area of low pressure should pass off the Southeast Coast. High pressure is forecast to return for Monday with a cold front expected to arrive on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. Today. High pressure will continue to move away while low pressure moves across southern Ontario and Quebec. A warm front associated with the low will move across NY today. While no precipitation is expected today, clouds will increase as the day wears on. A cold front will arrive across PA later today and moisture will be streaming NE along and ahead of the front. The south to southwest wind will bring mild temperatures to our area, so today will be the warmest day of the week with highs expected to reach the upper 40s/low 50s for srn NJ, metro Philadelphia and Delmarva. Across the northern areas, highs will mostly be in the low/mid 40s with some 30s for the snow-covered Pocono region.

Tonight. Improved moisture and dynamics arrive across the region later tonight so lowering clouds and rains will arrive mostly for the late evening and early overnight periods. Fog is possible for the NW (snow-covered) areas too. Colder air will sweep in behind the front and rains will change to snow beginning for the southern Poconos first then reaching the Delaware Valley (probably) by dawn. There is still a degree of uncertainty with how fast the change will occur. If changes to snow occur faster, some snow accums may end up higher then the current fcst. We will highlight potential impacts in the HWO and in our social media posts. Overall 1/4 to 1/3 inch of liquid equiv QPF is expected.

Thursday. The cold front will continue its trek southeast across the rest of the forecast area Thu morning. Any rain will change to snow then end by mid-afternoon. Additional small accumulations are expected, but most areas will probably end up with 1.0 to 2.0 inches for snow totals. The p-type change for the morning commute may produce some slippery travel, so leaving early tomorrow and driving slower is probably advised. Snow totals will end up a bit short of advisory levels attm, but changes to the fcst are possible today, so check back later for possible updates.

Colder and drier air will overspread the area during the day with the highs for the day occurring early. Readings will top out in the 20s for the north and low/mid 30d for much of the Delaware Valley and central NJ. Southern NJ and Delmarva will have highs in the upper 30s/low 40s on Thursday. Winds will shift to N or NW behind the front and increase to 10 to 15 mph with some 20 mph gusts possible.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. The main story for this part of the forecast will be blustery conditions with very cold temperatures. For Thursday night, an arctic front will continue to push south of the area while expansive high pressure builds into the Great Lakes region. There will be a continuing pressure gradient along the southern periphery of this high so northerly winds should stay up around 10 to 15 mph through the night with some higher gusts. Lows will range from the single digits to near zero in the southern Poconos with teens farther south. However the wind will make it feel about 10 degrees colder than this!

For Friday, the high continues to settle in to our north as its center shifts towards southern Quebec. Meanwhile the arctic front will be stalled near the SE US coast as a new wave of low pressure starts to take shape late day off the coast of the Carolinas. Expect some sunshine but that it will become increasingly filtered through mid/high clouds thickening up from south to north through the day. By very late day there could even be a little light snow moving into southern Delaware but otherwise it will be dry. It will remain very cold with highs mostly in the 20s except teens over the southern Poconos. Once again, with northerly winds continuing around 10 mph the wind chill will make it feel about 10 degrees colder than the actual temperature.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. A cold weather pattern dominated by a trough over the eastern CONUS will continue through the long range period. Early in the period, we're still watching the potential for a storm system to develop to our south but the latest indications continue to track this low far enough south of the region to spare most of the area significant impacts. The current thinking is for a period of snow to brush portions of southern Delaware (mainly near and south of Dover) and far southern NJ Friday night into Saturday morning. Early indications are for snow amounts here potentially in the 1 to 3 inch range. It should be noted though that there is still some uncertainty with this system and room for it to shift a bit farther north which would spread accumulating snows into the I-95 corridor and also bring higher snow amounts than currently forecast to southern Delmarva and southern NJ. However the fact that the system will be driven by a positively tilted upper level trough that will be lifting north instead of really digging along with the strength of the arctic high to our north with its associated very dry airmass has me leaning against this becoming a major snowstorm for the I-95 corridor. Otherwise, the main story for the long range will be the below average temperatures. Highs Saturday will only be in the 20s to low 30s with some moderation of several degrees to follow for Sunday ahead of a cold front. But this will be followed by colder conditions once again by Monday in the wake of this front. Both Sunday and Monday currently look to be free of precip.

The next shot for any precip looks to arrive around about next Tuesday when a system moving eastward out of the Great Lakes region could bring a little light snow to parts of the region. But since this is still quite a few days away there remains a lot of uncertainty regarding this system.

AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Today. VFR with increasing clouds thru the day. LLWS with light sfc winds beginning around dawn and lasting until mid-morning. Increasing S to SW winds after 14/15Z with some gusts around 20 to 25 knots possible. Winds decreasing late. High confid.

Tonight. VFR early then decreasing CIGS with precipitation arriving 04Z W and after 06Z E/SE. MVFR the IFR expected after 06Z which will be reflected in the 12Z TAFS. Rain then changing to snow from W to E. SN may arrive in the Delaware Valley by 12Z, but confid in this is not the greatest attm. High confid early then medium confid late.

Thursday. Rains SE/E changing to snow then ending from NW to SE thru the morning. Improving VSBYS then CIGS by afternoon. NW to N winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts around 20 knots developing. Medium confid.

Outlook .

Thursday night / Friday . Mainly VFR. North wind around 10 knots. High confidence.

Friday night / Saturday . A chance of snow with MVFR/IFR conditions possible . highest chances at KMIV and KACY with chances progressively diminishing to the north. North wind around 10 knots. Low confidence.

Sunday . Mainly VFR with west winds around 10 knots or less. Moderate confidence.

MARINE. The improved pressure gradient over the waters between the departing high and the low/fronts over the Great Lakes will maintain the SCA conditions today for winds and then the winds will decrease with enhanced seas continuing on the ocean tonight. SCA flags will remain in place as is. Fair today then rain arriving late tonight and continuing Thursday. Rain may change to snow Thursday.

Outlook .

Thursday night through Saturday . It will remain windy through this period with Small Craft Advisory conditions likely most of this time. Northerly winds will be around 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts up to 30 knots possible Thursday night through Friday. These winds will then veer to northeasterly Friday night before backing to northerly once again through Saturday. Seas will also increase to the 5 to 7 foot range Friday night into Saturday.

Sunday . Conditions should diminish below Small Craft Advisory levels as winds relax out of the west around 15 knots with seas around 3 to 4 feet.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 6 AM EST Thursday for ANZ450>455. Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ430-431.

Synopsis . Fitzsimmons/Haines Near Term . O'Hara Short Term . Fitzsimmons Long Term . Fitzsimmons Aviation . Fitzsimmons/O'Hara Marine . Fitzsimmons/O'Hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CPVM2 24 mi54 min 36°F 31°F
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 25 mi54 min SSE 5.1G8.9 31°F 36°F1023 hPa (-0.5)
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 26 mi54 min S 16G17 36°F 38°F1022.8 hPa (-0.9)
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 26 mi54 min SSE 5.1G8.9 32°F 35°F1021.9 hPa (-1.1)
44063 - Annapolis 27 mi36 min S 12G16 33°F 38°F1022 hPa
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 28 mi54 min SE 2.9G5.1 31°F 37°F1021.6 hPa (-0.9)
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 35 mi36 min S 12G19 33°F 38°F1024 hPa
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 37 mi54 min S 5.1G6 33°F 1021.8 hPa (-1.0)
FSNM2 37 mi54 min S 4.1G7 33°F 1021.1 hPa
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 40 mi54 min S 9.9G11 32°F 36°F1023.7 hPa (-0.0)
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 41 mi84 min SSW 5.1 27°F 1022 hPa25°F
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 41 mi54 min SW 1G1.9 30°F 40°F1021.3 hPa (-0.9)
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 43 mi54 min 0G1 25°F 34°F1022.5 hPa (+0.0)
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 43 mi54 min ESE 8G9.9 35°F 1022.9 hPa (-0.5)
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 45 mi54 min SSW 13G15 1023.6 hPa (-0.0)
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 45 mi54 min S 6G7 31°F 38°F1023.6 hPa (-0.0)
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 48 mi54 min 27°F 35°F1021.8 hPa (+0.0)
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 49 mi54 min S 5.1G7 34°F 39°F1022.7 hPa (-0.3)
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 49 mi54 min S 11G12 36°F 36°F1023.2 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Cambridge, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrW18
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S13
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G27
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G29
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G32
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NE8
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G28
E25
G33
SE21
G32
SE16
G23
S19
G24
S14
G22
S13
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bay Bridge Field, MD21 mi59 minSSE 710.00 miFair32°F29°F88%1022.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KESN

Wind History from ESN (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hr--------------W6W11
G16
W6W7SW8
G15
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W5W6000SE3
1 day ago--------------S18
G25
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2 days ago--------------N6N8N6N7N6NE8N11NE12
G16
NE9NE10NE10NE14
G18
NE13NE14
G19
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G22
NE17
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Tide / Current Tables for Wayman Wharf, Tuckahoe Creek, Choptank River, Maryland
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Wayman Wharf
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:01 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:13 AM EST     1.24 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:42 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 01:49 PM EST     -0.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:10 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:49 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:56 PM EST     2.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Wayman Wharf, Tuckahoe Creek, Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet
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-0.6
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-0.1
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1.9
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1.9


Tide / Current Tables for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:27 AM EST     -1.04 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:14 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:41 AM EST     0.49 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:44 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:22 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 12:04 PM EST     -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 02:32 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:11 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:17 PM EST     1.00 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:51 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:40 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
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-0.2
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-0.6


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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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