Marine Weather and Tides
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.
|Sunrise 7:12AM||Sunset 7:11PM||Monday September 27, 2021 3:55 AM EDT (07:55 UTC)||Moonrise 10:01PM||Moonset 12:38PM||Illumination 66%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Milford, WVHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Charleston WV  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KRLX 270647 AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 247 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021
SYNOPSIS. Warmer and remaining dry today. A cold front crosses Tuesday, with scattered showers and storms. High pressure brings the return of dry weather to begin the month of October.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 210 AM Monday .
Quiet weather continues to start the work weak, amid a strengthening southwest flow of warmer air around high pressure south of the area. Daytime gusts will reach 15 to 20 mph across the middle Ohio Valley and mountain tops.
Clouds will increase tonight on warm, moist advection ahead a mid/upper level trough approaching from the west, and a cold front approaching from the north. With PW values climbing into the 1.25 to 1.5 inch range, showers and even thunderstorms are possible across northern portions of the area overnight tonight.
The presence of the short wave trough ahead of the front spells elevated instability across northern portions of the area overnight tonight, with MUCAPE of 500 to 1000 J/Kg, and 0-6 km bulk shear around 35 kts. With low level shear, 1, 2 and 3 km, in the 25 to 30 kt range, strong thunderstorm wind gusts are not out of the question.
Temperatures climb above normal for a warmer afternoon, followed by a mild night, especially compared with recent nights.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 245 AM Monday .
Advancing shortwave ahead of the cold front Tuesday morning will extend showers and thunderstorms into the northern extent of the forecast area to open up the short term period. Latest CAMs broadbrush the northeast WV mountains with isolated thunderstorms through Tuesday afternoon as the frontal boundary draped from west to east drifts down into the Central Appalachians.
This feature will instill an increase in dewpoints into the low 60s, coupled with weak instability in response to diurnal heating, to produce isolated storms on our eastern flank of the CWA and further east into the Mid-Atlantic. Mainly foresee isolated wind gusts as the primary severe threat heading into Tuesday afternoon in response to steepening lapse rates suggested by forecast soundings during this time period.
The front aims southward into the Carolinas by Wednesday morning, which will bring an end to any lingering showers that surpass the loss of daytime heating Tuesday evening. For the rest of the forecast period, the area will be placed on the eastern side of a growing upper ridge in the Midwest while an upper low meanders over New England. This yields mostly dry weather amid building surface high pressure along with afternoon highs knocked down a few degrees in response to weak cold air advection.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 245 AM Sunday .
Upper level ridging continues to expand across the Midwest into the Ohio Valley through the end of the work week. This will promote mostly dry conditions beneath surface high pressure along with a slight cooling trend within the weak cold advection regime mentioned in the short term period.
Model discrepancies become more apparent heading into the weekend in regards to our next shot at precipitation. The 00Z GFS brings in showers and squashes the dry weather pattern late Saturday night, while other global models continue to roll with benign weather later into the weekend before dragging in a cold front from the west. Accepted central guidance forecast for the end of the weekend due to high spread in global models.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 210 AM Monday .
Southwest flow around high pressure south of the area will provide VFR conditions with this period, except for VLIFR dense fog briefly before dawn at EKN. The southwest flow will be a bit gusty during afternoon mixing, as light early morning southwest flow aloft increases to moderate west.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms may be entering the middle Ohio Valley toward 06Z Tuesday.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY . FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog may form sooner or not at all at KEKN overnight. Elk river fog may impact CRW more than indicated. Gusty winds in the afternoon will fluctuate, with peak gusts possibly higher than indicated.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE MON 09/27/21 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EDT 1HRLY 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 CRW CONSISTENCY H H M M L L H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H L L L M M H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 06Z TUESDAY . IFR conditions could briefly occur in showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday, including early in the morning, especially across northern terminals. River/mountain valley fog possible Wednesday through Friday mornings.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WV . None. OH . None. KY . None. VA . None.
SYNOPSIS . TRM/MEK NEAR TERM . TRM SHORT TERM . MEK LONG TERM . MEK AVIATION . TRM
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|Clarksburg, Clarksburg Benedum Airport, WV||15 mi||62 min||S 3||10.00 mi||Fair||52°F||47°F||83%||1018.4 hPa|
Link to 5 minute data for KCKB
Wind History from CKB (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||S||SW||SW||SW||SW||S|
|2 days ago||S||S||S||Calm||S||SW||SW||SW||SW|
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