Monday, September27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ship Bottom, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 6:47PM Monday September 27, 2021 2:19 AM EDT (06:19 UTC) Moonrise 10:33PMMoonset 1:14PM Illumination 67% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 102 Am Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
Rest of tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Mon..W winds around 15 kt, becoming sw late. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Mon night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers early in the afternoon. A chance of tstms late. SWell mainly from the sw with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Tue night..NW winds around 10 kt, becoming N with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Fri..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 102 Am Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will build northward from the southeast states tonight and Monday. A cold front will move through the region Tuesday. A broad surface high will move southeastward towards new england for the remainder of the week. An area of low pressure may move into the region into next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ship Bottom , NJ
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location: 39.65, -74.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 270459 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1259 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build northward from the Southeast states tonight and Monday. A cold front will move through the region Tuesday. A broad surface high will move southeastward towards New England for the remainder of the week. An area of low pressure may move into the region into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. No significant changes with the early morning update. A few high clouds are filtering into the Poconos and northwest New Jersey this morning. Surface high pressure is expected to remain in the southeastern states tonight before sliding off the coast on Monday. The air mass will continue to bring dry weather conditions to our region.

Through much of tonight, we should have mostly clear conditions. However, a deck of mid level clouds associated with warm advection aloft is expected to pass over eastern Pennsylvania, and northern and central New Jersey from very late tonight into early Monday morning. Scattered clouds are then anticipated for the balance of Monday.

The gusty northwest wind will likely diminish this evening. A westerly wind less than 10 MPH is anticipated for tonight. A southwest wind is expected to increase to 10 to 15 MPH on Monday.

Lows tonight should favor the 50s. Warming in the southwest flow on the back side of the surface high is expected to cause temperatures to approach 80 degrees in much of our region on Monday afternoon.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. A progressive short wave trough will move over the Great Lakes Monday night with an attendant surface low and cold front moving towards our region out of southern Canada. While moisture is still limited, there is still weak instability forecast along and ahead of the front, so will keep scattered showers and thunderstorms in the forecast on Tuesday. Steep lapse rates and the slightly drier mid- level profile could lead to some small hail with the stronger of these thunderstorms.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. The forecast in the longer term remains on track with a blocking pattern developing from the Plains to the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic.

At the surface, a surface low will undergo cyclogenesis over the Canadian Maritime Provinces Wednesday beneath a further amplifying and negatively tilted trough over the Northeast. Several pieces of shortwave energy will ride around the Plains ridge and into the Northeast upper-level low into the end of the workweek. At the surface, high pressure will slowly move across the Great Lakes Thursday and Friday, with a cool northerly flow filtering into the region.

It should be rain-free Wednesday through Friday amidst the blocked pattern. There is low confidence in the forecast for Saturday and Sunday as model guidance waivers on whether the blocking pattern breaks down or remains intact. Kept the forecast dry on Saturday with a slight chance showers holding off until Sunday.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . VFR conditions expected. Mostly clear, with an increase in clouds. especially at ABE and TTN and north. Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots, becoming west 8 knots or less this evening. High confidence.

Monday . VFR. Decreasing cloud cover in the morning, with only scattered clouds in the afternoon. Southwest wind increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts around 20 knots. High confidence.

Outlook .

Tuesday . Mainly VFR. Scattered mid-level clouds as a cold front traverses the region may lead to some restrictions. Southwest winds turning west-northwest from 10 to 15 knots. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday through Friday . VFR with northerly winds from 10 to 15 knots. High confidence.

MARINE. Conditions are expected to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria through the day on Monday as high pressure passes off the Southeast coast.

Outlook .

Monday night . Southwesterly winds from 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots will likely require an SCA. Seas from 2 to 4 feet.

Tuesday . Sub-advisory conditions expected with southwesterly winds turning northwesterly from 10 to 15 knots and gusting to 20 knots. Seas from 2 to 3 feet.

Wednesday through Friday . Sub-advisory conditions expected with northerly winds from 10 to 15 knots with gusts to 20 knots. Seas from 2 to 4 feet.

Rip currents .

A MODERATE risk of rip currents is anticipated for the NJ coast on Monday, with a LOW risk expected for the Delaware Beaches. By Tuesday, with the medium period swell diminishing, and off shore flow continuing, a LOW risk is currently forecast for the coast of both NJ and DE.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.

Synopsis . Davis Near Term . Davis/Iovino/Johnson Short Term . Franklin Long Term . Franklin Aviation . Franklin/Iovino/Johnson Marine . Franklin/Iovino/Johnson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 16 mi50 min Calm 57°F 1017 hPa53°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 23 mi50 min 68°F 71°F1017.5 hPa
44091 24 mi24 min 71°F3 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi50 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 59°F 65°F1016.6 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 46 mi44 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 61°F 65°F1015.9 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ24 mi26 minN 010.00 miFair55°F51°F87%1016.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMJX

Wind History from MJX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----W3--CalmW4W4W6W8W8--W10W10--NW10----W13
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1 day agoCalm--Calm--CalmCalm--CalmW3--CalmCalmN3N4NE6E7--33SE5----Calm--
2 days agoW4----CalmNW5--NW9NW4N4CalmCalmNW3--NW9--NW7NW7----W5--W4--Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Manahawkin Drawbridge, Manahawkin Bay, New Jersey
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Manahawkin Drawbridge
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Mon -- 03:29 AM EDT     1.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:56 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:38 PM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:00 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.811.11.110.80.60.40.30.30.40.60.91.11.21.21.210.80.60.50.40.3

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:36 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:27 AM EDT     -1.53 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:00 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:55 AM EDT     1.87 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:56 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:21 PM EDT     -1.78 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:14 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.10.4-0.3-0.9-1.3-1.5-1.5-1-011.61.91.50.8-0.1-0.8-1.3-1.6-1.8-1.7-1.1-0.20.6

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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