Wednesday, January19, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hendley, NE

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:54AMSunset 5:39PM Wednesday January 19, 2022 2:30 AM CST (08:30 UTC) Moonrise 7:28PMMoonset 9:24AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hendley, NE
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location: 40, -100     debug


Area Discussion for - Hastings, NE
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FXUS63 KGID 190554 AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Hastings NE 1154 PM CST Tue Jan 18 2022

UPDATE. Issued at 1005 PM CST Tue Jan 18 2022

Updated the forecast to increase wind gusts. The HRRR seems to have a good handle on wind gusts behind the cold front.

DISCUSSION. (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 316 PM CST Tue Jan 18 2022

Been another afternoon of well above normal temperatures today, with tomorrow bringing quite a contrast behind a cold front. In the upper levels, flow across the region is west-northwesterly, set up between a shortwave disturbance shifting east along the central US/Can border and disturbances over the Four Corners region and Srn Plains. None of these systems are bringing any precipitation to the area today, with the main impact felt being a switch in winds from the west to the NW and eventually N. As of 3 PM, the front and accompanying switch in winds has made its way more than half-way through the CWA, but the gustier winds have been lagging behind a bit and are now getting into NNW portions of the CWA. Satellite showing variable sky cover, more clouds near/north of the front, more sun to the south. With the more mild air mass in place across the region, better mixing potential ahead/along the front, and more sun in some spots, temperatures have had little trouble climbing well into the upper 50s/lower 60s. The record high temperature at both Grand Island and Hastings for today was 65 degrees, set in 1951. Hastings exceeded that, reaching 66 degrees this afternoon . Grand Island will fall short, *only* reaching 62 degrees. Normal highs this time of year are in the mid 30s to low 40s (north to south).

Tonight through Wednesday night .

Overall, there was no significant changes made to the forecast for this time frame . the main stories being with the colder temps and small precipitation chances.

Models are in good agreement in the upper levels, showing continued northwesterly flow through the period. The disturbance currently off to our north along the Canadian border will continue shifting east with time, with the further southward advancement of the sfc cold front and colder air mass. With the CAA and pressure rises behind the front, the gusty northerly winds are expected to continue through the overnight hours tonight and right on into a good chunk of the day Wednesday, gusts near 30 MPH are not out of the question . with it likely being late afternoon before there is a west-east diminishment in speeds. Dry conditions remain through tonight, but during the daytime hours on Wednesday, another upper level shortwave disturbance looks to sink south more into the Central Plains, bringing some chances of light precipitation to the region. Models have been pretty steady showing the best chances remaining to our west across western NE/KS into CO, but a few models still show the potential for our far western areas getting clipped with some QPF, so kept some slight chance PoPs going in the forecast. These chances are primarily west of HWY 183, but some flurries extending a bit further east than that aren't out of the question.

The colder airmass building into the region behind the front is expected to drop lows tonight into the teens for most areas, though some single digit lows will be possible across the north. Confidence suffers a bit in just how low temps drop due to the amount of cloud cover that is expected to continue overnight. So after having highs climb into the 60s today, Wednesday is a reminder it's still January, with highs in the 20s for the majority of the CWA, but far north-northeast areas may not reach 20. Wind chill values Wednesday morning look to drop into the single digits above zero across KS to around -5 to -10 across the north. As we get into Wednesday night and early Thursday morning, while the winds have tapered off, the expected clearing sky cover in the colder air mass looks to allow low temperatures to fall into the single digits above zero in KS and single digits below zero across much of our Nebraska counties. Some guidance suggest these lows could be trended further down, esp. if the skies look to clear off with the lighter winds expected.

Thursday and on .

The dry forecast returns for Thursday, and while the brunt of the colder air mass is starting to shift east, it's not in any hurry to do so . so the below normal highs in the low-mid 20s for most will stick around another day. For Wednesday the colder to warmer temps run in a north-south orientation . Thursday its more of a colder- east to warmer-west orientation as that air mass moves further into the Midwest region. Expecting partly cloudy skies through the day, with the light/variable winds in the morning turning to the south with time as sfc high pressure slides east of the MO River.

The only PoPs in the extended period remain in the Friday-Friday evening time frame . but overall confidence in those chances continue to be on the low side. Models are in good agreement showing the next upper level system moving into the Pac NW region and shifting east-southeast with time. How things evolve as it pushes east is where the questions lie, as models show the potential for a piece of energy to split off and sink further south into a closed low over the Desert SW . while the northern stream system continues eastward. There is the potential that the CWA will end up between these two systems, getting very little (if any if some models are right) precipitation. NBM kept PoPs around 20%, mainly confined to portions of south central NE. Friday will start a warming trend in temps, with forecast highs in the low- mid 30s.

The weekend and early next week are currently forecast to be dry, with highs back in the mid 40s-near 50 for Sun/Mon. Another cold front swinging though the region looks to drop highs back into the 20s/30s for Tuesday.


AVIATION. (For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Thursday) Issued at 1151 PM CST Tue Jan 18 2022

Currently expecting VFR conditions throughout the TAF period, although there is a slight chance of very brief MVFR stratus through around 08Z or so, but confidence is low enough to not include in the TAF. LLWS is also possible into the early morning hours. North winds will gust to around 25 to 30 kts through the majority of the TAF period, diminishing to less than 10 kts late tonight.

GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NE . NONE. KS . NONE.

UPDATE . Heinlein DISCUSSION . ADP AVIATION . Hickford


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
McCook, McCook Municipal Airport, NE35 mi38 minNNE 1510.00 miFair26°F16°F66%1020.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMCK

Wind History from MCK (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrW11W11W9W11W6W8W10W10W12W13NW15NW19
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1 day agoW6SW5W6W5SW5W5SW4SW4SW11W11W10W10W10W9W7NW7W8SW7W7W4W7W8W7W8
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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