Monday, September27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wayne Lakes, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:31AMSunset 7:29PM Monday September 27, 2021 3:54 AM EDT (07:54 UTC) Moonrise 10:15PMMoonset 12:59PM Illumination 66% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wayne Lakes, OH
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location: 40.03, -84.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 270536 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 136 AM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure moves off to the south tonight. A front will approach from the north Monday and slide through the area late Monday night into Tuesday evening. High pressure will build in for the middle and later parts of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. The pressure gradient will gradually tighten up across the region tonight as surface high pressure continues to move off to the southeast. This should help keep the winds up a bit across much of the area tonight. The best chance for decoupling will be across our southeast and this is where temperatures will be the coolest. Will range lows tonight from the low 50s in the southeast to around 60 degrees in our northwest. Otherwise, just expect some occasional high level clouds to affect the region through the overnight hours.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. Dry atmosphere will remain in place but southerly winds will become a bit gusty. Gradient will relax somewhat heading into Monday night as an east-west front approaches from the lower Great Lakes. 12Z guidance suggests that a short wave moving through northwesterly mid level flow will sharpen up a bit as it traverses the area Monday night. This will also have some elevated instability with it. So it is not out of the question that there could be a few showers or storms. But quite a bit of uncertainty in this regard and so only have slight chance PoPs grazing central Ohio.

Temperatures will be above normal with highs in the lower 80s and lows in the lower to mid 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Shortwave energy traversing the region may allow for a few rain showers to linger into Tuesday morning depending on the exact timing. For now, decided to keep precipitation out of the forecast on Tuesday until CAMs are able to offer a better idea of the timing of rain dissipation. The remainder of Tuesday is trending drier with a weak cold front moving through later on in the day. Based on the timing of the cold front, guidance still suggests high temperatures can reach the upper 70s to lower 80s - about 5-10 degrees above climatological normals.

Beginning Wednesday, H5 ridge amplification over a large portion of the central CONUS will be the primary feature to pay attention to. Global model solutions at this point are in fairly good agreement with the placement of the ridge. The exact positioning of the ridge leaves the Ohio Valley on the eastern fringe of it - allowing for northwesterly flow aloft to dominate and thus ushering in cooler and drier air out of Canada. Meanwhile, portions of the central US will observe temperatures well above seasonal normals. In our CWA further eastward, we are in a more favorable location for observing near normal temperatures and drier conditions.

By the end of the work week, global models and ensembles begin to diverge on solutions with the overall synoptic pattern. The Euro favors a drier forecast in our region as the ridge dampens but remains intact through Canada and surface high pressure persists across the upper Midwest. The GFS on the other hand weakens the ridge and allows for a shortwave trough to move through on Saturday, offering enough lift to provide rain showers across a good portion of the CWA. With low confidence in the latter part of the extended period, have decided to trend towards the Euro solution for now with a drier forecast - but next weekend may observe a shift in the weather pattern that will be worth monitoring.

AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. VFR conditions prevail the rest of tonight into Monday as the Ohio Valley is sandwiched between high pressure over the southeast United States and low pressure over the Great Lakes. The pressure gradient will keep winds a bit gusty Monday from mid-morning until early evening.

Should see just a few mid and high clouds during the period.

OUTLOOK . No significant weather expected.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. KY . None. IN . None.

SYNOPSIS . NEAR TERM . JGL SHORT TERM . LONG TERM . Clark AVIATION . Hogue


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Versailles Darke County Airport, OH14 mi80 minSW 710.00 miFair61°F46°F59%1016.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVES

Wind History from VES (wind in knots)
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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