Wednesday, January19, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Little Silver, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:00PM Wednesday January 19, 2022 2:09 AM EST (07:09 UTC) Moonrise 7:39PMMoonset 9:38AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 102 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 am est this morning through late tonight...
Rest of tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Wed..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt in the late morning and early afternoon, then diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. SWell mainly from the sw with a dominant period of 5 seconds.
Wed night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the late evening and overnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of rain in the late evening and early morning. Rain late. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 6 seconds.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Snow or rain, mainly in the morning. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds, becoming mainly from the N with a dominant period of 7 seconds in the afternoon.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of snow in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
ANZ400 102 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure is forecast to build into our region from the west and southwest for tonight and it should move quickly out to sea on Wednesday. A cold front approaching from the northwest is expected to arrive early on Thursday. Frigid high pressure is anticipated to follow for Thursday night into the weekend, when an area of low pressure should pass off the southeast coast. High pressure is forecast to return for Monday with a cold front expected to arrive on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Little Silver , NJ
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location: 40.33, -74.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 190235 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 935 PM EST Tue Jan 18 2022

SYNOPSIS. High pressure is forecast to build into our region from the west and southwest for tonight and it should move quickly out to sea on Wednesday. A cold front approaching from the northwest is expected to arrive early on Thursday. Frigid high pressure is anticipated to follow for Thursday night into the weekend, when an area of low pressure should pass off the Southeast Coast. High pressure is forecast to return for Monday with a cold front expected to arrive on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Evening update .

No significant changes to the forecast, and no weather concerns are expected tonight Previous discussion follows.

Surface high pressure extended from the southeastern states up to Quebec this evening. The air mass is expected to move quickly out to sea, leaving our region in a developing and relatively mild southwest flow. We should see an increase in high clouds tonight, along with perhaps some mid level clouds over parts of eastern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey late tonight. Lows are anticipated to favor the upper teens and 20s.

No precipitation is expected for Wednesday, even as high pressure loses its influence over our region. A southwest wind is forecast to increase to 10 to 15 MPH. Afternoon temperatures should rise into the 40s in much of our area.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. A surface cold front will be approaching the area from the west with surface low pressure heading towards the Canadian Maritimes. The surface cold front will quickly cross the area Thursday morning as upper level energy across the central United States heads northeast. Precipitation will initially start out as mostly rain, before changing over to snow by Thursday morning. The change over will likely start across the northwestern zones late Wednesday night/ early Thursday morning and reach the I-95 corridor right around the morning rush hour (if not slightly sooner). The latest QPF guidance continues to show a quarter to a half of an inch of total precipitation. Overall, have slightly raised snowfall amounts as a quicker transition over to snow is forecast. Given the above, the current forecast is for an areal average of 1 to 2" of snowfall. The confidence on the exact snowfall amounts is average here, but the probability of measurable snowfall is higher for almost the entire area.

Snowfall will then start to exit the region Thursday afternoon from the northwest. High temperatures will likely occur early Thursday and hold steady most of the day Thursday right around freezing with the ongoing snowfall. Skies will slowly start to clear from northwest to southeast Thursday night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. The rather active and below normal temperatures will continue through the long term with Friday morning bringing the coldest temperatures of the period with a potential for snow Saturday into Sunday. This is thanks to a long wave trough axis centered across the Eastern United States with a potent mid-level ridge centering just off the west coast of the United States. This will allow for multiple perturbations to round the base of the long wave trough axis, as well as allow for multiple cold air intrusions across the region. The exact details of how each wave progresses will set the stage for what happens here locally.

For Friday, a surface cold front will be well south of the region with surface high pressure centering near the Ontario/ Quebec border. Temperatures Friday morning will be cold with lows mostly in the teens expected. Towards the higher terrain of the Poconos near 0 degrees appears likely.

Friday night into Saturday, a wave diving southeast out of central Canada will round the base of the long wave trough axis and head east. As the mid-level wave exits the east coast of the United States surface low pressure is forecast to form off of the NC coast. The latest run of the GFS, ECMWF, and CMC have the low offshore, but confidence is low here. It should also be noted that the energy responsible for the surface cyclogenesis is still across northern Alaska, meaning a lot can change. Have gone ahead and kept PoPs in the chance range at this point. Global guidance also has the potential for another low pressure to form Sunday as the southern stream energy exits off the east coast of the United States. Confidence with this system is even lower though.

AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . VFR. West to southwest winds around 5-10 knots, becoming variable 5 knots or less for most areas. Any site that keeps a wind direction will become south to southwest overnight. Low level wind shear developing between 09z-11z as a low level southwesterly jet around 40 knots moves overhead. High confidence.

Wednesday . VFR. Low level wind shear until around 13z-15z. Southwest wind increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts around 20 knots. High confidence.

Outlook .

Thursday . Rain changing to snow in the morning before ending in the afternoon. The rain and snow will lower cigs and vsbys to MVFR/IFR with improvement to VFR in the afternoon. Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts around 20 knots. Medium confidence.

Friday . Mainly VFR. North wind around 10 knots. High confidence.

Saturday . A chance of snow with MVFR/IFR conditions possible. North wind around 10 knots. Low confidence.

Sunday . Snow exiting the region with VFR conditions. West winds mostly less than 10 knots. Low confidence.

MARINE. The Small Craft Advisory for this evening has been cancelled, with conditions now sufficiently below criteria. Sub-SCA conditions will continue through the night with winds becoming southwesterly at 10 to 15 kt and seas 3 to 4 ft.

A new Small Craft Advisory has been issued for both the Atlantic coastal waters as well as Delaware Bay for Wednesday. Southwest winds will increase in the morning, with gusts of 25 to 30 kt likely for most of the day. Seas will also increase to 5 to 7 ft. Winds should start to diminish during the evening. On the Atlantic coastal waters, the advisory extends through Wednesday night due to the seas, but they should diminish later Wednesday night as well.

Outlook .

Thursday . Northwest wind 15 to 20 knots with gusts near or just below 25 knots.

Friday and Saturday . North wind around 20 knots with gusts of 25 to 30 knots. Winds will slowly veer from the northeast Friday night, before backing from the north once again by Saturday evening.

Sunday . North winds relaxing from the west around 15 knots.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Wednesday to 6 AM EST Thursday for ANZ450>455. Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM to 7 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ430-431.

Synopsis . Haines Near Term . Iovino/O'Brien Short Term . Haines Long Term . Haines Aviation . Haines/Iovino/Robertson Marine . Haines/Iovino/O'Brien


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 9 mi51 min S 6G8 32°F 35°F1022.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 17 mi39 min SSW 7.8G12 44°F1021.5 hPa
BGNN6 22 mi51 min 29°F 41°F1021.3 hPa
MHRN6 23 mi51 min S 8G9.9
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 23 mi51 min SSW 8G11 32°F 1021.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 26 mi51 min 32°F 39°F1022.2 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 36 mi51 min S 2.9G4.1 28°F 1022.7 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 41 mi54 min 0 29°F 18°F
44091 41 mi43 min 45°F3 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi57 min S 1G5.1 28°F 33°F1022.7 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 46 mi39 min 5.8G7.8 46°F1021.7 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi93 min S 4.1G7 29°F 32°F1022.1 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 49 mi69 min W 3.9G7.8 30°F 16°F

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrW24
G30
W23
G33
NW27
G33
W22
G30
NW24
NW22
G28
W18
G24
W21
W17
NW15
G21
NW23
G31
W21
G26
W21
G29
NW18
NW22
G27
NW22
NW19
NW14
G18
NW10
G15
N7
G10
NW5
SW3
S5
1 day
ago
E27
G36
E29
G38
SE17
G28
E18
G22
S22
G27
S21
S19
G23
SW15
SW15
G19
SW13
G16
SW18
G23
SW19
SW23
G28
SW25
SW21
G28
SW24
G29
SW25
W22
W20
W25
W25
G32
W27
W24
G30
W21
G29
2 days
ago
NE5
G12
NE5
G9
NE7
G10
NE6
G9
NE8
G11
NE7
G10
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G11
NE7
G10
NE9
NE8
G11
NE10
G14
NE12
G17
NE13
G17
E14
G22
E18
G27
E20
G26
E20
G27
E22
G34
E21
G32

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ12 mi73 minS 510.00 miFair25°F20°F81%1022.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrW18
G31
W19
G30
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W18
G29
W14
G21
W7W6W9
G18
W11
G21
W11W12
G22
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W11W500000SW4S5
1 day agoE26
G38
E13SE8
G17
SE10S8S9
G14
SW16
G20
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SW9
G22
SW13
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G25
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G20
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G21
W16
G23
W12
G25
W15
G26
W20
G27
W15
G23
W16
G26
W18
G24
2 days ago--NW4NW6W4NW3W5N6N5N5N9NE9N7N8N8E10
G16
E13E11
G21
E14E13
G23
E14
G21
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G27
E21
G31
E23
G32
E24
G35

Tide / Current Tables for Gooseneck Point, bridge, New Jersey
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Gooseneck Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:07 AM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:38 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:45 AM EST     2.74 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:59 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:52 PM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:38 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:21 PM EST     2.25 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Gooseneck Point, bridge, New Jersey, Tide feet
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1
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1.6
2
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1
3
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0.5
4
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0.2
5
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-0
6
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0.2
7
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0.8
8
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1.6
9
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2.3
10
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2.6
11
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2.7
12
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2.5
1
pm
2.1
2
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1.5
3
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0.9
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
-0
6
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-0.2
7
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0.1
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0.8
9
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1.5
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2
11
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2.2


Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current (2)
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:41 AM EST     -1.83 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:59 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:15 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:36 AM EST     1.91 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:39 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:53 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:14 PM EST     -2.14 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:53 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:37 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 08:06 PM EST     1.43 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:07 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current (2), knots
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-1.3
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-1.7
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-1.8
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-1.4
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-0.8
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1.8
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1.9
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1.5
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0.9
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-0.1
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-1.1
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-1.8
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-2.1
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-2
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-1.4
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-0.8
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0.1
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1.1
8
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1.4
9
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1.3
10
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0.9
11
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0.1


Weather Map
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