Thursday, October21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Babylon, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 6:05PM Thursday October 21, 2021 5:34 PM EDT (21:34 UTC) Moonrise 6:47PMMoonset 8:00AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 342 Pm Edt Thu Oct 21 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..W winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..NE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 342 Pm Edt Thu Oct 21 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front passes through the area late tonight through early Friday and then stalls off the coast. Weak high pressure builds in behind the departing front and will remain in place through the weekend. Low pressure likely impacts the region early next week with a potential return to weak high pressure mid-week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Babylon, NY
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location: 40.69, -73.3     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 211947 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 347 PM EDT Thu Oct 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold front passes through the area late tonight through early Friday and then stalls off the coast. Weak high pressure builds in behind the departing front and will remain in place through the weekend. Low pressure likely impacts the region early next week with a potential return to weak high pressure mid-week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. Upper level closed low, currently analyzed over southern Michigan using water vapor imagery, will continue to move east and open up. At the surface, its associated low pressure will pass well to our north and west and drag a weak cold front through the cwa. By Friday morning the front should still be over the area, but making a mostly dry passage. Models continue to show the best chances of any precip being across northwestern locations. Have kept chance PoPs for these areas for a few hours starting around midnight.

Southerly flow will continue to strengthen this evening and overnight ahead of the frontal passage. This onshore flow, with the help of increasing clouds, will keep the area warmer tonight than the past several nights. Lows will be in the upper 50s and low 60s near the coast and in the metro area and lower to mid 50s in the interior.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. The cold front will slow down as it passes through the area and then stall just off the coast. Low pressure will develop along the front to our southeast. The heaviest precip from this low looks to stay well offshore and have only included slight chance PoPs over the waters. Winds become westerly during the day and then eventually N-NW by Friday night. A cooler and drier airmass will build in, with dewpoints dropping well into the 40s Friday night.

Afternoon highs will be in the lower 70s for many, likely the last time we see widespread 70 degree readings for at least the next several days. Lows Friday night drop closer to normal but still a bit above average for late October.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Upper level trough with shortwave lift combines with enough lingering moisture for low chances of showers mainly north of the city and mainly in the morning on Saturday. Synoptic scale lift will increase in the afternoon with an upper jet streak, however moisture is probably diminishing by this time. Saturday afternoon therefore is shaping up to be dry for the most part with partly to mostly cloudy conditions. We'll return to near-normal high temperatures.

The flow aloft flattens somewhat on Sunday with weak high pressure at the surface. Moisture ahead of a warm front to the SW may bring increasing cloudiness by day's end, but it probably remains rain- free.

Models still disagree with track and timing of low pressure impacting the forecast area next week. There's at least agreement that the low tracks to our south. Best estimate is that the low center emerges off the Mid-Atlantic coast Monday night into Tuesday morning. Have capped PoPs at chance from Sunday night through Tuesday night due to the low confidence in timing.

High pressure then attempts to build in from the north on Wednesday, but the storm may be slow to move farther out to sea. Have therefore kept in slight chances of showers. Another low pressure system then approaches from the west on Thursday with more showers possible as a 500mb trough shifts through the TN and OH Valleys.

High temperatures through the long term generally 60-65. Lows ranging mainly from the lower 50s in the city to the low-mid 40s in the outlying suburbs.

AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/.

A cold front will approach from the west through this evening, then weaken as it moves across the terminals late tonight. Another cold front moves through late Friday.

S-SW winds 10-15 kt this afternoon. The winds will weaken a bit this evening and should become SW 10 kt or less with the weakening cold front. The winds continue to veer to the W-WNW Friday morning around 10 kt.

VFR. A brief shower cannot be ruled out across the Lower Hudson Valley 03-07z. Have included a VCSH at KSWF.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Wind direction could briefly go 160-170 with sea breezes through 22z.

OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. Friday afternoon-Sunday. VFR. Sunday Night-Tuesday. MVFR or lower possible at times. Chance of showers.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front will continue to strengthen this evening and overnight. A SCA is in effect starting this evening for the ocean waters, eastern sound and south shore bays. Winds will gust 25 to 30 kts over the ocean waters and waves will increase to 4-6 ft overnight. For the eastern sound and bays, winds will gust up to 25 kts. Winds and waves decrease throughout the day on Friday, but a SCA remains in effect over the ocean waters until 6 PM.

Weak high pressure will keep conditions below advisory-level conditions through the weekend and possibly through the daytime hours of Monday as well. Better chances of SCA conditions begin Monday night and last through Tuesday as low pressure approaches the region and tightens the pressure gradient.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected at this time.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Friday for ANZ350-353-355. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ332-345.

SYNOPSIS . JC/JT NEAR TERM . JT SHORT TERM . JT LONG TERM . JC AVIATION . DS MARINE . JC/JT HYDROLOGY . JC/JT


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44069 11 mi34 min S 12G14 65°F 78°F64°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 24 mi64 min S 12G16 71°F 54°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 26 mi49 min SSE 7.8G12 71°F 58°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 26 mi46 min 69°F 1013 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 31 mi24 min 16G21 66°F1012.4 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 31 mi24 min S 18G21 66°F1011.6 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 34 mi46 min 69°F 66°F1011.9 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 38 mi46 min 72°F 67°F1012.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 41 mi46 min 69°F 1011.7 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 41 mi46 min 70°F 64°F1012.4 hPa
BGNN6 45 mi46 min 77°F 69°F1011.7 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 46 mi94 min S 12G16 70°F 68°F2 ft
MHRN6 46 mi64 min SSW 8G12
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 46 mi46 min 69°F 65°F1012.8 hPa

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY6 mi41 minS 14 G 2010.00 miFair68°F59°F73%1012.6 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY13 mi38 minS 1010.00 miA Few Clouds67°F60°F79%1012.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFRG

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3W5W5W5W5W6W3SW4W4W6W400000W7W7SW10SW11SW9S12S12S14
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Tide / Current Tables for Babylon, Long Island, New York
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Babylon
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:30 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:08 AM EDT     0.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:05 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:28 PM EDT     0.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Gilgo Heading, Long Island, New York
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Gilgo Heading
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:47 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:19 AM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:22 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:39 PM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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