Tuesday, September28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hoboken, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 6:44PM Tuesday September 28, 2021 12:13 PM EDT (16:13 UTC) Moonrise 11:15PMMoonset 2:13PM Illumination 52% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1122 Am Edt Tue Sep 28 2021
Today..W winds around 10 kt, becoming 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely with scattered tstms. Some tstms may produce gusty winds and small hail late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N after midnight. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely with chance of tstms this evening. Some tstms may produce gusty winds and small hail this evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Winds and waves may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1122 Am Edt Tue Sep 28 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front will approach today and pass through this evening, followed by building high pressure. A series of weak cold fronts will then move through Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure will then build in and remains through the weekend. A frontal system will approach late Sunday into the beginning of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hoboken, NJ
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location: 40.7, -74     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 281152 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 752 AM EDT Tue Sep 28 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold front passes through the area this afternoon and evening, followed by high pressure. A series of weak cold fronts will move through Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure will then build in and remains through the weekend. A frontal system will approach late Sunday into the beginning of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Forecast is mainly on track and has been updated to capture latest obs and trends. Light showers can be seen on radar just west of our area and will move through northeast NJ and the Lower Hudson Valley over the next hour.

An upper level cut-off low spins over Quebec, as a trough extends down the east coast. At the surface, it's associated low pressure system drags a cold front that is currently analyzed over central New York. This feature will bring showers and thunderstorms to the area throughout the day.

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible as early as the morning hours, as shortwave energy ahead of the front moves through the area. As daytime heating occurs the area should be able to destabilize even more, which will allow for another round of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. There is some uncertainty with how much heating will occur due to cloud cover from the earlier showers. This will play a big factor in how today will play out. With dewpoints in the lower 60s at the surface and 500mb temps around -15C, 750-1000 J/kg of MUCAPE can be expected by the afternoon. Given the greater instability later in the day and effective shear values of 25-30 knots, there is a chance of isolated strong to severe thunderstorms developing. SPC has outlined the southern half of our area in a marginal risk. The primary threat will be isolated damaging wind gusts, but given the cold temperatures aloft, 1 inch hail can not be completely ruled out. Locally heavy rainfall is possible in any thunderstorms, but with quick moving storms flash flooding is not a threat. Storm total rainfall is expected to be around a quarter of an inch for most, with locally higher amounts possible.

The whole area should be dry just after midnight tonight. Behind the cold front, winds will be northwesterly as a dry airmass and high pressure build in. Dewpoints will drop into the 40s across the area. The interior should see great conditions for radiational cooling and temperatures should be able to drop into the mid 40s.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Northerly/Northwesterly flow will continue on Wednesday. A cool day is expected, as temperatures won't make it out of the 60s for most. These highs will be a few degrees below normal for late September.

Late in the day a weak cold front swings through the area, as the aforementioned cut-off low moves further south towards the New England coast. Although moisture is very limited (PWATs .50 to .75 inches), The cold pool aloft combined with surface heating may create enough instability for an isolated light shower or two late Wednesday night.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Models continue in good agreement with a -1 to -2 STD height 500hpa upper low, and associated deep trough, centered over New England on Thu, and then slowly retreating northeast through Canadian Maritimes this weekend. The evolution of this closed upper low and deep NE troughing is expected to keep Hurricane Sam well out to sea late this week into weekend. The main impacts for the local area will be an increasing threat for rough surf and dangerous rip currents late week into this weekend. Please refer to the National Hurricane Center for the latest forecasts on Sam.

At the surface, a weak front push through the region Thursday as the closed upper low slides through northern New England. Cyclonic flow and pva will bring considerable instability cloud cover and even potential for isolated shower across northern and eastern areas Thursday. Thereafter, Canadian high pressure builds into the region Fri into Sat, lingering into Sunday bringing dry and early fall like weather. Highs will generally be in the 60s to around 70, with lows in the 40s and 50s.

As the closed low lifts N/NE of the area this weekend, models coming into a bit better agreement with development of broad troughing over the north Central US, with a mid week SW US upper low shearing towards the region in a flattening upper flow late weekend/early next week. This will have a frontal system approaching the eastern US Sunday into early next week, but uncertainty on how much progress eastward it makes with confluent upper flow and Canadian high pressure still nosing into the NE US. This system would bring the next threat for rain early next week, but predictability low at this time.

AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A cold front approaches this morning and moves through the terminals this afternoon into evening. High pressure builds towards the region tonight.

VFR, outside of shra/tsra. Isolated showers and tsra this am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms expected between 16z and 24z.

SW winds 8 to 12 kt early this morning, veering west through morning push. W/WNW winds this afternoon, becoming NW this evening with frontal passage. NW winds 8-12 kt with occasional gusts to 20 kt tonight.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Isolated shra and tsra btwn 13 and 16z. Scattered shra and tsra and MVFR cigs btwn 16z and 24z. Winds will hover between 300 and 320 mag this afternoon, becoming definitively right of 310 mag during eve push.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Wednesday-Thursday. VFR. NW winds. Gusts 15 to 20 kt on Wed. Isolated showers east of the NYC metro terminals Wednesday night and Thursday. Friday through Saturday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. A SCA for the ocean waters remains in effect through 2 PM for 5 foot waves. Waves should fall below SCA criteria after this time. Occasional northerly wind gusts up to 25 knots are possible late tonight after the passage of the cold front over the ocean waters.

Winds are expected to remain below SCA criteria (NW gusts to 20 kt) with a series of weak cold fronts moving through the waters Wed thru Thu, and then diminishing further Friday into the weekend as high pressure building over the waters.

Waves are expected to be sub-sca through the remainder of the week, but energetic long period swells from Hurricane Sam will begin to affect the waters Friday and continuing to build into the weekend.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through next Saturday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. For today, despite a developing offshore flow, a high risk of rip currents is likely with 2-ft long period ESE swells and residual 4-5 ft southerly wind waves.

For Wednesday, an offshore flow continues. Any residual waves diminish to 2-4 ft and will come out of the northeast, which is not a favorable direction. However, 1 ft waves with a long period (13 sec) out of the SE are expected, leading to a moderate risk of rip currents.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for NYZ075-080-081- 178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ350- 353-355.

SYNOPSIS . JT/NV NEAR TERM . JT SHORT TERM . JT LONG TERM . NV AVIATION . NV MARINE . JT/NV HYDROLOGY . JT/NV TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JT


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 1 mi56 min 70°F 72°F1011.2 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 5 mi56 min W 16 G 19 70°F 1011 hPa
BGNN6 9 mi56 min 68°F 73°F1011.4 hPa
MHRN6 10 mi56 min WSW 9.9 G 14
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 15 mi56 min NNW 12 G 15 71°F 1011.8 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 16 mi56 min W 14 G 18 71°F 70°F1012.2 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 19 mi59 min W 5.8 G 9.7 71°F 61°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 28 mi74 min W 9.7 G 16 72°F 59°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 28 mi34 min W 18 G 19 71°F1010.6 hPa
44069 48 mi59 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 71°F 78°F66°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York City, Central Park, NY6 mi23 minno data2.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist65°F62°F90%1011.4 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY8 mi23 minWSW 11 G 178.00 miLight Rain69°F60°F73%1011.3 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ9 mi23 minSW 105.00 miThunderstorm Rain69°F60°F73%1010.9 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ11 mi23 minWSW 97.00 miLight Rain65°F60°F84%1011.1 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi23 minWSW 146.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain69°F61°F76%1011.8 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ19 mi21 minVar 37.00 miLight Rain66°F61°F84%1011.4 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ23 mi29 minS 5 G 1010.00 miThunderstorm Rain64°F61°F88%1010.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNYC

Wind History from NYC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days agoCalm3CalmCalm----CalmCalmCalmCalm----CalmW4--3--5564NW9
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Tide / Current Tables for Brooklyn Bridge, East River, New York, New York
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Brooklyn Bridge
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Tue -- 02:24 AM EDT     3.55 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:31 AM EDT     1.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:18 PM EDT     4.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:22 PM EDT     1.44 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 11:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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33.33.53.53.12.31.71.51.41.62.22.93.644.24.13.73.12.31.91.71.51.52

Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
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The Narrows
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:32 AM EDT     1.00 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:23 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:41 AM EDT     -1.34 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:52 PM EDT     1.39 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:04 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:32 PM EDT     -1.51 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 11:15 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.910.70.3-0.5-1-1.3-1.3-1.1-0.6-0.20.41.21.41.20.80.1-0.7-1.2-1.5-1.5-1.2-0.9-0.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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