Thursday, January20, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Remsenburg-Speonk, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 4:55PM Thursday January 20, 2022 5:36 PM EST (22:36 UTC) Moonrise 8:37PMMoonset 10:04AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ345 South Shore Bays From Jones Inlet Through Shinnecock Bay- 418 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
Tonight..N winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of snow and rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of snow and rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ300 418 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Strong high pressure extending from the plains states to the great lakes will gradually build into the northeast through Friday night. Low pressure will then pass well south and east of the waters on Saturday. A cold front approaches on Sunday and passes through at night. High pressure briefly follows for Monday before another frontal system approaches from the west on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Remsenburg-Speonk, NY
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location: 40.8, -72.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 202148 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 448 PM EST Thu Jan 20 2022

SYNOPSIS. Strong high pressure extending from the Plains states to the Great Lakes will gradually build into the Northeast through Friday night. A developing wave of low pressure passes well offshore on Saturday, with dry, cold conditions expected through the weekend. A weak low pressure passes nearby on Tuesday, bringing the chance of some light rain and snow, followed by a return to below normal temperatures for midweek.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. BKN-OVC high clouds extend across the NYC metro area eastward into Long Island and coastal CT. These should gradually decrease going into this evening, with a mostly clear night expected. Temps will fall on a steady N wind 10-15 mph metro/coast and 5-10 mph inland, ushering in very cold air. Lows by morning should be in the single digits inland and in the lower/mid teens metro/coast, with wind chills running at least 10 degrees colder. Will issue SPS for NYC where wind chills should approach zero, and for the entire area as the combo of light snow and sub-freezing temperatures could result in icy roads.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Cold weather will be the main story. A positively tilted northern stream trough located to our west Thursday night will gradually work its way east through Friday night, while a large area of high pressure gradually builds eastward. Skies should be mostly clear during this time, with highs only in the 20s on Friday, followed by lows near zero well inland, in the single digits closer to the coast, and in the teens across Long Island and the NYC area. The pressure gradient between the high and offshore low pressure will maintain a steady N wind Fri night, which should again result in wind chills near zero in NYC, and 0 to 5 below elsewhere.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The period begins unseasonably chilly, as weakening high pressure over New England allows for a cold northerly flow for much of Saturday. Thanks in part to this high, global models are consistent in keeping a developing wave of low pressure along an offshore boundary well out to sea, with only an increase in cloud cover expected, particularly across eastern Long Island, where a few flurries are possible early Saturday.

Otherwise, dry conditions are expected into Sunday, which should be a few degrees milder than Saturday, as a more zonal flow develops across the region. A cold front with limited moisture passes through late Sunday, delivering a reinforcing shot of cold air into early next week. 850mb temps fall to near -15C early Monday with the upper trough axis overhead, which should keep most of the area under the freezing mark during the afternoon as high pressure builds at the surface.

Tuesday looks to be the warmer day of the period, with heights rising ahead of an approaching clipper low and the associated warm front lifting through. Boundary temps appear marginal at best for wintry ptypes along the coast, though any precip likely falls as snow across the interior. Meanwhile, a piece of energy in the southern branch will be moving across the Southeast. While most of the global ensembles show little interaction with these two features given temporal and spatial differences, a few members highlight the potential of the two pieces phasing together. Capped PoPs at chance for this time period as the disagreement resolves.

Another lobe of arctic high pressure swings down from Canada with temperatures falling back to below normal by mid-to-late next week. Stuck close to the NBM for temperatures, with conditions generally below normal through the extended period.

AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure builds in this evening through Friday.

VFR through the TAF period.

Winds NW-N around 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt possible. Gusts linger into Friday but generally 20 kt or less.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

No unscheduled amendments are expected. Gusts may be infrequent overnight.

OUTLOOK FOR 21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 21Z Fri. VFR. N-NE winds near 10-15 kt. Fri Night. VFR. NE winds 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Sat. Mainly VFR. NE winds 10-15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the morning, subsiding in the afternoon and becoming more northerly. Sat Night-Mon. VFR. Tue. MVFR or lower possible in snow or rain. Wed. VFR. N winds 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. SCA on the ocean waters extended into Fri morning, though conds are rather marginal and may only take place closer to 20 nm offshore. For tonight, N winds increase to around 20 kt, so gusts up to 25 kt and seas up to 5 ft are possible on the outer waters during this time. Marginal SCA conditions are possible on Saturday, especially early in the day.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts expected through the middle of next week.

The river gauge at the Wallkill River at Gardiner may be impacted by ice.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until noon EST Friday for ANZ350-353-355.



SYNOPSIS . BG/DR NEAR TERM . BG SHORT TERM . BG LONG TERM . DR/DW AVIATION . IRD MARINE . BG/DR/DW HYDROLOGY . BG/DR/DW


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 23 mi157 min NNW 16G21 35°F 41°F2 ft
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 35 mi37 min NNW 16G21 36°F 1021.8 hPa25°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 35 mi49 min N 16G23 31°F 36°F1022.5 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi49 min N 8G13 31°F 39°F1022.2 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 43 mi49 min 35°F 39°F1021.8 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 45 mi37 min 18G21 45°F1021.6 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 48 mi127 min NNW 12G18 35°F 24°F
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 48 mi117 min NW 12G15 35°F 1023.8 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrSW7
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NW13
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SW17
G24
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NW15
G27
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G24
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NW16
G20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY5 mi1.7 hrsNNW 510.00 miOvercast32°F25°F75%1021.8 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY9 mi2.7 hrsNNW 1010.00 miOvercast33°F24°F70%1020.5 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY21 mi2.7 hrsNNW 1010.00 miOvercast33°F26°F75%1020.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrSW9
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SW8SW6SW6SW6SW5SW12W11NW3W4W4W4NW11
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1 day agoW14
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W11NW4000000N30S4SW8
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2 days agoSW16
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Tide / Current Tables for Potunk Point, Moriches Bay, Long Island, New York
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Potunk Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:37 AM EST     0.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EST     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:04 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:35 PM EST     0.54 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:23 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:36 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Potunk Point, Moriches Bay, Long Island, New York, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:44 AM EST     -1.44 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:58 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:41 AM EST     1.51 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:03 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:58 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:13 PM EST     -1.66 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:52 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:51 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:11 PM EST     1.20 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:17 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current, knots
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-0
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1.2
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1.1
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0.8
11
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0.2


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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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