Saturday, October16, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Limaville, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:36AMSunset 6:43PM Saturday October 16, 2021 4:54 AM EDT (08:54 UTC) Moonrise 4:22PMMoonset 2:15AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202110160830;;748625 Fzus51 Kcle 160151 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 951 Pm Edt Fri Oct 15 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez144>146-160830- The Islands To Vermilion Oh-vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 951 Pm Edt Fri Oct 15 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 am edt Saturday through late Sunday night...
Rest of tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 25 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Saturday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Showers. A chance of waterspouts overnight. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Sunday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of waterspouts. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 68 degrees, off cleveland 68 degrees, and off erie 65 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Limaville, OH
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location: 40.93, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 160740 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 340 AM EDT Sat Oct 16 2021

SYNOPSIS. Cold front exits this morning lake effect rain sets up in its wake with a much cooler airmass. Once the lake effect ends Sunday/Sunday night, high pressure over the TN Valley becomes dominant through Wednesday night with a modest warming trend. Next cold front around the Thursday time frame.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. Rain continues to overspread the CWA under a broad area of low/mid level f-gen coupled with q vector convergence aloft in the post frontal region. This steadier rain with embedded heavier showers will continue a southwest to northeast track through the remainder of the overnight and into the morning hours before exiting to the northeast. Sharp cold air advection with dropping 850mb temperatures signals a significant change in airmass, but more importantly, a favorable setup for lake effect rain showers given the 15-18C temperature differences between the still relatively warm Lake Erie and in the incoming air at 850mb. Forecast soundings indicate instability in the form of CAPE above the near surface mixed layer to around 700mb, while the low level winds will be aligned well in a west northwesterly manner. The western zones dry out, while the far eastern zones in NE OH/NW PA get a short lived decrease in the POPs from the aforementioned exiting synoptic system and the emerging lake effect event. The thunder threat should be low, and will not carry in the grids for this portion of the forecast. However, brief heavy rain rates are possible. These POPs will linger all the way through Sunday with a slight veering of the low level wind layer to more northwesterly. Much cooler and more fall like temperatures settle in for the weekend with upper 50s to lower 60s today and mid 50s to lower 60s west on Sunday. Winds to remain gusty WNW/NW 10- 20mph sustained with 20-25mph gusts.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. By Sunday night, a lobe of jet energy will move across the eastern Great Lakes, allowing for another push of lake effect rain across NE OH and NW PA. Forecast instability in the lightning initiation zone is sufficient enough to include a slight chance of thunder, at least in the early portion of the night. Lake effect rain showers will begin diminishing in coverage by Monday morning as high pressure ridging bulges northeast into the Ohio Valley. This will usher in the return of mostly clear skies and dry weather across the region for much of Monday into Tuesday.

Low temperatures will generally drop into the low to mid 40s on Sunday and Monday nights, though some brief upper 30s are possible across the interior mid-section under clear skies and light winds.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Much of the long term period will feature generally near normal temperatures in the 60s, though towards the end of the long term period, temperatures may dip slightly below normal into the upper 50s. Wednesday should be the most pleasant day out of the 3, with highs in the lower 70s under mostly sunny skies. Another storm system and associated cold front will move east across the Great Lakes on Thursday, resulting in the next chance for rain showers. Behind the front, below average temperatures are likely, as well as setting the stage for some lake effect rain showers.

AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/. Low pressure moving away to the northeast will continue to drag a cold front through the region. The forecast is largely going to be characterized by primarily IFR conditions, most consistently in ceilings, but periodically in visibilities in steadier rain as well. Large swath of rain moving west to east as the system exits is up first, warranting prevailing rain and IFR ceilings, and as that exits after 15-18Z, lake effect rain showers affecting the CLE/ERI locations is expected. During this time, in the stronger winds, expect ceilings to improve to MVFR, and even VFR off to the west away from the lake effect rain, so there is an overall theme for improvement in the forecast period, with a couple already mentioned caveats.

Outlook . Non-VFR likely with periods of showers and perhaps thunderstorms through Monday morning, especially southeast of Lake Erie.

MARINE. An active marine period is expected, with Small Craft conditions lingering into Monday. West to northwest winds will begin to increase across the lake later this morning into the 20 to 25 knot range. These elevated onshore winds will persist through Sunday, before diminishing into the 15 to 20 knot range by Monday morning. Winds will further decrease into the 10 to 15 knot range by Monday night into Tuesday, becoming more southwesterly, 10 to 15 knots Tuesday night into Wednesday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 4 PM EDT Monday for LEZ147>149. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Sunday for LEZ142-143. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for LEZ144>146.

SYNOPSIS . 26 NEAR TERM . 26 SHORT TERM . Kahn LONG TERM . Kahn AVIATION . 26 MARINE . Kahn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 48 mi55 min NW 15G18 61°F 68°F1006.5 hPa (-0.7)55°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 58 mi55 min NW 15G17 62°F 69°F1004.9 hPa (-0.8)58°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 65 mi85 min WNW 14G16

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Akron Canton Regional Airport, OH11 mi64 minNW 82.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist62°F59°F90%1005 hPa
Akron, Akron Fulton International Airport, OH15 mi61 minNNW 64.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist63°F59°F87%1004.8 hPa
Portage County Airport, OH19 mi60 minNW 53.00 miOvercast59°F57°F94%1005.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCAK

Wind History from CAK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr0S60S5S3S8S11S10S14
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1 day agoS5S5SW7S5S5SW5S6S6SW8W6S8SW12SW10S9SW8S7S6SW6SW6SW6SW5SW3SW3SW3
2 days ago00SW5SW4SW4W5SW6SW8SW8W9SW7W8SW7SW4S3S3S4S4S6S5S4SW5S5S4

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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