Wednesday, January19, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Risingsun, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:54AMSunset 5:36PM Wednesday January 19, 2022 3:29 AM EST (08:29 UTC) Moonrise 7:16PMMoonset 9:20AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh-reno Beach To The Islands Oh- 1200 Am Est Wed Jan 19 2022
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am est this morning...
Overnight..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Cloudy. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. A slight chance of rain showers in the morning.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. Mostly cloudy.
Thursday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 32 degrees, off cleveland 34 degrees, and off erie 32 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:202201191700;;606879 FZUS51 KCLE 190500 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1200 AM EST Wed Jan 19 2022 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142-143-191700-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Risingsun, OH
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location: 41.27, -83.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 190603 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 103 AM EST Wed Jan 19 2022

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure will move east across the Upper Great Lakes tonight and into Quebec on Wednesday, pushing a cold front east across the area on Wednesday afternoon. The cold front will be followed by high pressure that will build over the region through the remainder of the work week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. Southerly winds and wind gusts are beginning to ramp up across the area this evening, with peak gusts in the 30 to 35 mph range thus far. Wind gusts of 30 to 35 mph will continue through the overnight hours, with pockets of near 40 mph gusts possible along the lakeshore of NW PA.

Previous Discussion . Band of moderate lake effect snow is pivoting northeast into southwestern New York as winds become southwesterly and upstream moisture becomes cut off. Otherwise, all is quiet across the CWA with high clouds and chilly temps. Warm air advection develops this evening as a broad upper-level trough moves across the Upper Great Lakes with low at the surface. Southerly to southwesterly winds will increase with the tightening pressure gradient and gusts of 30 to 35 mph are possible overnight tonight, primarily across Northwest Ohio and along the lakeshore. High temps will most likely be achieved tonight, before falling throughout the day as the cold front moves east across the CWA. Temps should reach the mid to upper 30s and dew points will likely rise above freezing for a brief period overnight into Wednesday morning. This may lead to potential for a brief period of snowpack compaction and possibly melting. Will need to monitor for the potential of icy conditions Wednesday evening as temps fall below freezing behind the front and snowmelt and any rain that falls possibly freeze. Forecast soundings are still indicating a nearly saturated layer ahead of the front and continue the chance of drizzle across NE OH/NW PA Wednesday morning/afternoon. Still can't rule out some isolated instances of freezing drizzle in NW PA, but the overall chance seems low. Will continue to monitor through this evening and will adjust weather grids as needed.

Overall moisture seems somewhat limited with this system, so only have slight chance to chances for rain or rain/snow showers at the moment. PoPs increase slightly as cold air advection develops behind the front Wednesday night and lake effect snow potentially develops as 850mb temps cool to -13 to -16C. Looks to be a somewhat marginal setup with limited moisture through the end of the period, so not anticipating much more than light snow showers with perhaps an inch of two of snow accumulation in the snowbelt region. Expect Wednesday night's lows to fall into the mid to upper teens.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Incoming surface high pressure from the Great Plains will bring in much cooler air. Temperatures will drop into the low 20s by Thursday afternoon. By overnight Thursday into Friday, temperatures will reach the single digits for much of the area. A low temperature of 0 degrees cannot be ruled out for far eastern Erie and Crawford Counties, PA. Temperatures will remain chilly and below average for this time of year through Friday evening.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Our next clipper system will impact the area Saturday night into Sunday. The surface trough associated with the clipper will bring light snow. Another round of lake effect/lake enhanced snow is possible late Sunday into early Monday behind the passing of the trough. Models are indicating moisture and low 1000mb-700mb vertical wind shear. This may lead to the ideal environment for lake effect formation Sunday evening across the snowbelt. Any lake effect will be short lived as vertical wind shear strengthens by Monday morning. Another clipper system is projected to move across the area Monday into Tuesday bringing the chance for another round of snow. High pressure from the northern Great Plains will leave temperatures on the cooler side by midweek.

AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/. VFR conditions are in place as of 06Z with winds increasing out of the south to southwest. Gusts of 25-30 knots will be common overnight with a few peak gusts to 35 knots possible at ERI. Otherwise MVFR ceilings will become widespread on Wednesday morning as a cold front moves into the area. Some of the eastern terminals may also experience a few hours of IFR ceilings between 16-22Z but confidence was not high enough in this impacting Cleveland yet so kept ceilings at or above 1000 feet. Trace amounts of light precipitation are also possible on Wednesday and could see a few pockets of MVFR visibilities in drizzle. Otherwise winds will veer to the west and northwest behind the front decrease to around 10 knots, except still gusting to 20 knots near Lake Erie.

It is worth noting that a strong low level jet with speeds of 45-55 knots near 2K feet will move across northern Ohio through the remainder of the overnight. Given that surface winds are expected to be fairly strong with gusts of 25-30knots overnight, did not find the sheer sufficient to include in the TAFs.

Outlook . Lake effect snow showers return on Thursday and again on Sunday with localized non VFR possible in the snowbelt.

MARINE. The Small Craft Advisory has been extended until 10 AM Thursday. There has been a lull in the wind speeds over the lake but they will begin to strengthen overnight Tuesday. Winds will be out of the southwest ranging between 20 and 30 knots. Waves will also increase overnight averaging between 4 and 9 feet. Wave heights in the nearshore will be lower, between 3 and 5 feet. As a cold front pushes across Lake Erie, winds will shift and become out of the west. By Thursday, high pressure moves through the area and shifts the wind to become out of the northwest. Wind speeds will lower between 5 to 10 knots.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Thursday for LEZ144>149. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for LEZ142- 143.

SYNOPSIS . Maines NEAR TERM . Kahn/Maines SHORT TERM . Iverson LONG TERM . Iverson AVIATION . KEC MARINE . Iverson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 29 mi59 min SSW 13G26 38°F 1006 hPa29°F
CMPO1 29 mi119 min SSW 18G24 35°F
TWCO1 31 mi29 min SSW 30G41
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 40 mi29 min SSW 27G30 36°F 1007.5 hPa (-2.1)
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 40 mi29 min SSW 28G30 38°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 42 mi59 min SSW 13G28 36°F 32°F1006.7 hPa25°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 48 mi29 min SW 23G31 38°F 1006.1 hPa (-2.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 49 mi104 min S 5.1 34°F 1010 hPa26°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH20 mi36 minSSW 17 G 2510.00 miPartly Cloudy39°F29°F67%1007.8 hPa
Findlay, Findlay Airport, OH21 mi36 minSSW 20 G 2810.00 miFair and Breezy40°F30°F68%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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2 days agoNE6NE40NE3NE3E4E6E6E8E7E8NE9E7NE8NE6NE8NE4N7N6N5N6N7NW10N12

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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