Tuesday, September28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Old Mystic, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:40AMSunset 6:36PM Tuesday September 28, 2021 12:52 AM EDT (04:52 UTC) Moonrise 11:04PMMoonset 2:07PM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ332 Long Island Sound East Of The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 1008 Pm Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt Tuesday...
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Showers, mainly in the evening.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ300 1008 Pm Edt Mon Sep 27 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front approaches tonight and passes through Tuesday afternoon into evening. This will be followed by high pressure on Wednesday. Another cold front will move through Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure will then build in and remain to the north and west through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Old Mystic, CT
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location: 41.39, -71.98     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 280205 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1005 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold front approaches tonight and passes through Tuesday afternoon into evening. This will be followed by high pressure on Wednesday. Another cold front will move through Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure will then build in and remain to the north and west through the weekend. A frontal system will approach late Sunday into the beginning of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. Increased cloud cover over the next few hours based on the latest obs and trends. Otherwise, only minor changes made with this update, mainly hourly temperatures.

Partly to mostly cloudy with a shower possible toward sunrise, mainly north and west of the city. Lows tonight should range from the upper 50s in the interior valleys to the mid 60s in NYC. Somewhat breezy at the coast before midnight, but winds should slowly subside as a low level jet weakens and shifts east.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Showers/tstms expected with the cold frontal approach/passage, mainly in the afternoon/early evening with peak heating/instability. A few storms, mainly in NE NJ, in/around NYC, and across western Long Island, could be on the strong side, with gusty winds and small hail, given MLCAPE increasing to around 1000 J/kg and mid level flow 30-35 kt with unidirectional shear via deep layer WSW-W flow.

For temps on Tue, went 1-2 deg above highest MOS guidance numbers, with highs again reaching 80 in NE NJ, and the mid/upper 70s elsewhere. A drying N flow after cold fropa should drop temps to the mid 40s well inland, and to the mid 50s in/around NYC and along the coast.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. High pressure will build in at the surface Wednesday morning as a northwest flow sets up behind the cold front. In the upper levels, a cut of low will head south from southern Quebec and be situated near the Gulf of Maine by midday Thursday. During this time frame, another surface cold front looks to move through the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning. There is little moisture to work with, and all that will accompany the frontal passage is just a minor wind shift. However, a vorticity max spins around the west side of the upper low, and with the cold pool aloft and surface heating, there may be enough instability for some isolated showers late Wednesday night into Thursday.

Any showers will end after sunset Thursday evening, and the upper low quickly pulls away from the region Thursday night. Canadian high pressure continues to build in at the surface through Friday, with the axis of the upper level trough to our east.

Thereafter, high pressure at the surface settles over the area or just to our southwest as a frontal system develops over the Plains states and slowly moves east through the weekend, with the flow aloft becoming more zonal. There is a great deal of uncertainty, especially for the second half of the weekend into the beginning of next week in regards to placement of any fronts and low pressure systems

A persistent northwest flow will mean seasonably cool temperatures for this time period. Highs will generally be in the 60s to around 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A cold front approaches tonight and moves through the terminals Tuesday.

VFR through the TAF period. There may be scattered showers after around 10-14Z Tuesday. Better chances of showers and a low chance of thunder starting mid-afternoon.

SW winds 10 to 15 kt with occasional gusts around 20 kt early on, slowly diminishing through the night - eventually W to SW 5 to 10 kt overnight.

. NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty .

Occasional gusts up to around 20 kt possible until 04z.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. Tuesday night. Showers possible east of the city terminals early on, otherwise VFR. Wednesday-Thursday. VFR. Slight chance of showers east of the NYC metro terminals Wednesday night and Thursday. Friday through Saturday. VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE. Low level jet over the eastern waters should be on a weakening trend and shifting east from this point on. Will leave Gale Warning up east of Fire Island Inlet for the time being, but will probably be able to cancel and replace with a SCA before the night is through. Seas on the ocean range 5-8 ft.

SCA otherwise in place for all other waters except NY Harbor and western Sound for at least a portion of tonight.

SCA conds (mainly lingering 5+ ft seas) expected Tue morning mainly E of Fire Island inlet.

After cold fropa, N winds may gust up to 25 kt late Tue night into early Wed morning, with ocean seas on the outer eastern waters approaching 5 ft.

Generally sub SCA conditions expected thereafter through Saturday. Ocean seas could build to 5 ft on the ocean Sat night.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are expected through next Saturday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. For Tuesday, despite a developing offshore flow, a high risk of rip currents is likely with 2-ft long period ESE swells and residual 4-5 ft southerly wind waves.

For Wednesday, an offshore flow continues. Any residual waves diminish to 2-4 ft and will come out of the northeast, which is not a favorable direction. However, 1 ft waves with a long period (13 sec) out of the SE are expected, leading to a moderate risk of rip currents.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for NYZ075-080- 081-178-179. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ331-332-340- 345. Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Tuesday for ANZ355. Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ350-353.

SYNOPSIS . BG NEAR TERM . JC/BG SHORT TERM . BG LONG TERM . JP AVIATION . JC/MET MARINE . BG/JP HYDROLOGY . BG/JP TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . JP


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 6 mi53 min 71°F 70°F1011.9 hPa (+0.0)
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 24 mi53 min 71°F 70°F1012.1 hPa (+0.0)
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 33 mi53 min WSW 17 G 20 70°F 70°F1011 hPa (+0.0)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 36 mi53 min SW 18 G 22 71°F 70°F1011 hPa (+0.0)
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 38 mi68 min WSW 9.9 69°F 1011 hPa61°F
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 38 mi53 min WSW 8.9 G 15 70°F 1011.6 hPa (-0.3)
PRUR1 39 mi53 min 71°F 61°F
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 40 mi53 min SW 18 G 23 73°F 72°F3 ft
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 41 mi53 min 69°F 70°F1010.8 hPa (-0.4)
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 42 mi53 min WSW 8.9 G 14 70°F 69°F1010.8 hPa (-0.4)
PVDR1 42 mi53 min SW 9.9 G 14 71°F 1011 hPa (-0.3)
FRXM3 47 mi53 min 70°F 69°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 48 mi33 min SW 19 G 23 71°F 69°F1012.6 hPa63°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 48 mi53 min SSW 17 G 22 71°F 1011.2 hPa (-0.3)
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 48 mi53 min 70°F 71°F1011.4 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT6 mi57 minSW 1510.00 miFair71°F61°F71%1011.1 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI10 mi60 minSW 1010.00 miA Few Clouds68°F62°F81%1011.4 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY22 mi59 minSW 9 G 17 mi71°F62°F73%1012.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGON

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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2 days agoCalmNW4NW7N4N6N5N4N6N6N53SE5S8S7S5S5S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
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Tue -- 02:53 AM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:34 AM EDT     0.92 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:07 PM EDT     2.37 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 10:25 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.71.91.91.81.61.51.31.1111.21.722.32.42.32.11.81.51.20.90.70.7

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current (2) (expired 1993-12-31)
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The Race
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Tue -- 02:10 AM EDT     1.74 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:46 AM EDT     -1.90 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:07 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:27 PM EDT     1.78 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:17 PM EDT     -2.38 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:58 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 11:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.31.21.71.61.10.3-0.7-1.4-1.8-1.9-1.4-0.60.211.71.71.30.5-0.6-1.5-2.1-2.4-2.2-1.5

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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