Saturday, October23, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Westlake, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:47AMSunset 6:36PM Saturday October 23, 2021 5:23 PM EDT (21:23 UTC) Moonrise 7:18PMMoonset 9:42AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:202110232015;;139252 Fzus51 Kcle 231405 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 1005 Am Edt Sat Oct 23 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>147-232015- Vermilion To Avon Point Oh-avon Point To Willowick Oh- Willowick To Geneva-on-the Lake Oh- 1005 Am Edt Sat Oct 23 2021
Rest of today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of waterspouts. A chance of showers late this morning, then showers likely this afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of waterspouts in the evening. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots. Showers. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 60 degrees, off cleveland 64 degrees, and off erie 62 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Westlake, OH
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location: 41.45, -81.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 231933 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 333 PM EDT Sat Oct 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. A significant rain making low pressure system will move in from the southwest as the warm front arrives later tonight/Sunday. The surface low from this system will pass west to east on Monday and Monday night followed by brief high pressure Tuesday night and Wednesday. The next low pressure system arrives late Thursday or Thursday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. For the immediate term, lake effect showers will continue, and then be a slow wane into the evening hours for Cuyahoga County and east into NW PA. Low level unidirectional flow will start to unravel 00- 06Z. This is around the time we will start to see low level warm air advection with the next low pressure system/warm front pushing in from the lower Ohio Valley. Warm front will bring with it efficient isentropic ascent with an easily overcome condensation pressure deficit on the 295/300K surfaces. The low level f-gen in multiple layers from 900-600mb is strong, and the warm front will be very slow to push northward. Efficient low level moisture advection will be occurring simultaneously. That being said, the concerns with this rain largely lie in the fact that it will be a long duration event in the 18-24 hour range, and at times, the rain will be hitting all basins. The saving grace is that there is not much support aloft with the upper level divergence that will be better co-located with the surface low to the west, and not as much over our CWA. For now, not anticipating any hydrologic issues, but will keep the rainfall noted in the HWO for our NW OH zones. Keeping some of the more prone river gauges at action stage or lower as well for now. Any increases in rainfall rates expected could change this overall picture, however.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. A weak upper level ridge over the local area will shift east Monday allowing a potent shortwave trough and associated positive vorticity maximum to rotate through the local area. The upper level trough is expected to shift off the Mid-Atlantic Coast by Tuesday afternoon. The trough will be responsible for shifting and deepening a surface low pressure system east across the local area during this forecast period. A warm front will extend east across Lake Erie and Lake Ontario where it will then become nearly stationary. The surface low will move east along this boundary setting up some good lift and since reasonable amount of moisture will be present, we should see some moderate intensity rainfall Monday. Then, as surface low and upper level support shift to the east, the threat for precipitation will gradually diminish from west to east Monday night into Tuesday. Skies will make an attempt to clear out or become partly cloudy and temperatures will be allowed to radiate and possibly bring colder temperatures to the west. Overcast conditions will persist over the eastern three fourths of the area Tuesday night. A brief period of warm air advection will take place in advance of the low Monday south of the stationary front and then as low passes to the east, cold air advection will return Tuesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Highly amplified narrow upper level ridge will move east across the area Wednesday into Thursday as another amplified negatively tilted trough slides east toward the area. An upper level low pressure system will become cut off over the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys by Friday and then move slowly north into the central Great Lakes by Saturday night. The resultant surface low will gradually become vertically stacked under the upper level low pressure system during the latter half of the forecast period. As a result, surface high pressure over northern Quebec will extend a ridge southwest over the local area Wednesday into Wednesday night. Surface low pressure over Arkansas at the same time will deepen rapidly and moisture flux from the Gulf of Mexico will become entrained into the system as it moves north. This will bring another round of rain to the area that appears it will be around a while heading into the weekend. Temperatures through the period will be heading into a steady state period with highs hovering around 60 degrees and lows in the 40s.

AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/. Lake effect rain showers for the next few hours at ERI and could see brief IFR visibilities at times. YNG/CLE VCSH for the most part and will keep that precipitation out of those terminals in this forecast.

Elsewhere, varying cloud cover this afternoon, and perhaps a few hours of clearing in largely VFR ceilings into tonight. After 06Z Sunday or so, cloud cover moves in from the southwest with the next system that will bring widespread rain and eventually IFR to the region. Ceilings gradually lower during the overnight period from heights starting in the FL100-FL120 range. Since it is warm frontal precipitation, played the start times slightly faster than model guidance. Could take an hour or two after rain begins to get lower level saturation, but ceilings will come down fairly rapidly after it does so. By the end of the TAF period, all sites in steady rain except for ERI which could take a couple/few hours beyond 18Z Sunday for the onset.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible with periods of rain late Sunday through Wednesday, with the best chance Sunday late afternoon through Monday. Isolated embedded thunderstorms are possible Sunday evening through Monday evening.

MARINE. Lake is expected to be relatively quiet as a storm system approaches the area and lays a warm front over the lake. The low pressure system will move east along the warm front that will eventually become nearly stationary. Once the low passes to the east Monday into Monday night, flow will become more northerly and increase to 15 to 25 knots. Will most likely need a small craft advisory by Monday night continuing into early Tuesday night when winds begin to diminish as low moves east of the area. Otherwise, winds 10 to 20 knots expected Wednesday into Thursday while shifting to more east- southeast in direction.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . 26 NEAR TERM . 26 SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . 26 MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45196 6 mi43 min S 9.7G16 55°F 63°F2 ft1015.8 hPa47°F
LORO1 14 mi53 min W 7G9.9 54°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 17 mi53 min W 11G16 53°F 62°F1015.8 hPa41°F
45197 20 mi43 min W 12G16 56°F 64°F3 ft1016 hPa48°F
45164 23 mi83 min 19G27 56°F 64°F4 ft
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 29 mi33 min W 9.7G14 53°F 63°F1 ft1015.4 hPa43°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 31 mi98 min WSW 1.9 54°F 1016 hPa44°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 33 mi83 min WSW 8G14 55°F 1013.9 hPa
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 41 mi53 min ESE 1.9G2.9 48°F 61°F1014.7 hPa48°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 43 mi53 min WNW 5.1G8.9 53°F 62°F1014.6 hPa41°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH3 mi32 minWSW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F40°F59%1017 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH14 mi30 minWSW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F42°F64%1015.7 hPa
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH15 mi30 minWNW 610.00 miOvercast54°F40°F59%1016 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCLE

Wind History from CLE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW7W4W3SW5SW4SW5SW4S6S4SW3SW3SW6SW6SW6SW5SW5SW5SW7SW11W9SW10SW9W8SW11
1 day agoW12
G24
W15
G26
W14W11W13W12W12W10SW10NW7NW9NW9NW6N6N5W3W6W4N7NW7NW5N5N4NW7
2 days agoSW7S6S6S6S7S11S9S8S10S8S8S10S10S9S11S10
G16
S13SW12S9S7S9S8S12
G19
W8

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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