Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:54 PM Moonrise 1:33 AM   Moonset 1:15 PM

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LEZ146 Expires:202405312015;;198117 Fzus51 Kcle 311343 Nshcle
nearshore marine forecast national weather service cleveland oh 943 am edt Fri may 31 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez145>147-312015- vermilion to avon point oh-avon point to willowick oh- willowick to geneva-on-the lake oh- 943 am edt Fri may 31 2024
This afternoon - Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming north. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Sunday through Tuesday.
the water temperature off toledo is 70 degrees, off cleveland 62 degrees, and off erie 62 degrees.

LEZ100
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FXUS61 KCLE 010119 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 919 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will drift east of the area tonight into Saturday and expect weak low pressure to cross the region late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure will briefly return by Sunday evening before a warm front lifts north across the forecast area Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
930 PM Update...
No changes were needed with this update.

630 PM Update...
Minor adjustments were made to the temperatures over the next couple hours as they are cooling across western counties faster than previously forecast. The overnight low remains unchanged and there were no additional edits needed with this update.

Previous Discussion...
High pressure will drift east of the area over the next 24 hours with a ridge axis pushing east of the CWA Saturday morning. Dry weather will continue through tonight and there will still be decent radiational cooling with clear skies and light winds, but some higher clouds may be building in from the west and the beginnings of warm air advection on the back side of the high/ridge axis may prevent temps from getting too low tonight. Overnight lows will be in the mid 40s lower 50s, but locations in the higher elevations of NE OH and NW PA will likely dip into the lower 40s. Can't rule out isolated spots dipping into the upper 30s.

Warm air advection will allow both temperatures and moisture to increase Saturday. Highs will climb into the upper 70s to lower 80s with dew points reaching the mid to upper 50s in western zones by Saturday evening. An upper shortwave trough and weak surface low will approach from the west throughout the day Saturday, resulting in increasing high clouds. Scattered showers arrive in western zones at around 00Z/8 PM Saturday evening before reaching the I-77 corridor by early Sunday morning. Could see a scenario where there's virga and very little precip reaching the surface at the onset since forecast soundings indicate low level dry air and dew point depressions of about 15 to 20 degrees when the precip moves in. The thunder threat remains low, but maintained slight chances west of I- 71 due to a small amount of instability overnight. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Upper level trough will swing a shortwave and associated weak surface low across the Great Lakes region through the day on Sunday. Expect for some showers and isolated thunderstorms during Sunday afternoon along and east of I-71. The highest QPF amounts will remain isolated south of US-30 on Sunday. Precipitation chances will exit from west to east Sunday evening as a low to mid level ridge briefly builds overhead. Mostly dry weather is expected on Monday under the ridge and ahead of our next system late Monday night into Tuesday.

Highs will be in the low to mid 70s west of I-71 and in the upper 60s across Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania on Sunday.
Overnight lows will settle in the upper 50s Sunday night. Warmer on Monday with highs in the low to mid 80s across the region and overnight lows in the low 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
We'll have a rather warm and moist environment Tuesday and Wednesday under southerly flow with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s and dew points in the low to mid 60s. Expect for unsettled weather to persist through the long term period with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Best forcing comes Wednesday as a deep upper trough and surface cold front will swing eastward across the region.
Will continue to keep any eye on the potential for severe weather on Wednesday with some uncertainty remaining on the timing of the frontal passage. Showers and storms will persist through Friday as we remain under the control of a deep upper level trough.

AVIATION /00Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/
VFR conditions will continue through this TAF period as high pressure continues to influence the area. Clear skies will gradually give way to high clouds late tonight and will persist on Saturday as the next low pressure system shifts toward the area. With this TAF period, opted to add VCSH for KTOL and KFDY ahead of the approaching cold front near 22Z Saturday. These showers will spread east Saturday night, possibly reducing visibilities to MVFR conditions. However no impacts are expected with this TAF period. Winds will remain light and variable tonight before strengthening to 5-10 knots from the south on Saturday.

Outlook...Non-VFR may return late Saturday into Sunday in isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Additional non-VFR possible in periodic showers and thunderstorms Tuesday and Wednesday.

MARINE
Quiet marine conditions through the next few days with high pressure gradually building to the east through the start of the weekend. A weak low will enter the region late Saturday through Sunday before high pressure briefly returns on Sunday night and Monday. Mostly light and variable flow through the the next few days. Southerly winds less than 10 knots will be favored on Saturday and Tuesday with no concerns for any marine headlines.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

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