Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wappingers Falls, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:08PM Friday January 28, 2022 7:27 AM EST (12:27 UTC) Moonrise 4:54AMMoonset 2:05PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 609 Am Est Fri Jan 28 2022
.small craft advisory in effect late tonight...
.gale warning in effect from Saturday morning through late Saturday night...
Today..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N late. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of snow early this morning, then chance of snow late this morning and afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Chance of snow in the evening, then snow after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to less than 1 nm after midnight.
Sat..N winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Snow. Vsby less than 1 nm.
Sat night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Chance of snow in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 609 Am Est Fri Jan 28 2022
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure along the northeast coast continues to track east overnight. Low pressure then develops off the carolina coast late Friday and rapidly deepens through Saturday night as it tracks east of new england. High pressure then builds from the west Sunday into early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wappingers Falls, NY
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location: 41.58, -73.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 281155 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 655 AM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will be moving through the region today with some passing light snow showers and flurries. Confidence is increasing that a coastal storm will bring snow mainly to areas south and east of the Capital District as well as gusty winds and cold air to the entire region. Mainly dry weather is expected early next week with a gradual moderation in temperatures to above normal readings.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. UPDATE. As of 630 AM EST, very little changes to this update, mainly to tweak temps, dew points and pops based on the latest observations. A cold front is beginning its progression across New York State. The band of lake-effect snow off Lake Ontario is showing signs of weakening due to the wind shift and arrival of drier air, so only expecting a few lingering snow showers or flurries for the Adirondacks into the western Mohawk Valley for a few more hours this morning. What is more impressive is the 24-hour temperature change from this time yesterday with most locations running 25 to 45 degrees higher this morning!

The southeastward progressing front may slow its forward progress later today across southern and eastern areas where enough moisture should allow for the development of light snow showers, mainly during the afternoon hours. Overall looking at light dustings to perhaps a half of an inch of accumulation. In addition, the hi- res NAM and HRRR runs are indicating a Mohawk- Hudson Convergence zone sets up this afternoon as an acceleration of northerly winds behind the front along the Hudson Valley converge with west to northwesterly winds along the Mohawk Valley which aids in upward lift and possible light snow showers and flurries. Therefore, slight chance pops were introduced for this potential for portions of the eastern Mohawk Valley, Capital District and Lake George Saratoga region. Not looking at much if any accumulation from that activity, however.

Temperatures will only rebound slightly this morning into the upper teens to the lower 30s before temperatures begin to slowly fall behind the front during the afternoon.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Winter Storm Warning in effect for Litchfield County from 12 AM Saturday to 12 AM Sunday

Winter Storm Watch in effect for Berkshire and Windham counties from 12 AM Saturday to 12 AM Sunday

Winter Weather Advisory in effect for Dutchess County from 12 AM Saturday to 12 AM Sunday

Wind Chill Advisory in effect for the southern Adirondacks from 1 AM Saturday to 9 AM Saturday

Confidence is increasing on impacts from a coastal storm, especially across areas south and east of Albany, from Friday night through Saturday. The easternmost guidance members (GFS/NAM) shifted westward during its recent runs blending fairly close in proximity to the westernmost members (ECMWF/CMC) to bring more confidence in not only the track but snowfall potential and impacts.

Synoptically, a deep upper-level trough will become neutral to slightly negatively tilted as it approaches the East Coast. A favorable upper-level dual-jet structure will lead to the development and rapid intensification of a surface low as it tracks north to northeastward off the East Coast. Guidance is now fairly similar with the low track passing very closely over the 40N/70W benchmark which would lead to bands of snowfall to at least extend into southern and eastern portions of our area (mainly from Albany and points south and east). This in turn led to an increase in snowfall totals across areas south and east of Albany. However, the western gradient changed very little as dry air on the western periphery of this system associated with the area of high pressure extending to its north and west, will cut off totals quickly.

Upon collaboration with surrounding offices, we upgraded Litchfield County to a Winter Storm Warning, issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Dutchess County and issued a Winter Storm Watch for Berkshire and Windham counties (where current snowfall totals are borderline advisory/warning criteria).

It is also noted on some sources of guidance that a secondary area of low-level frontogenesis around the 850 hPa layer may position itself across western New England. It may be hinting at low-level northwesterly winds upsloping into this region combined with north to northeasterly winds aloft to aid in additional ascent and lead to enhanced snowfall. In addition, any slight westward shift in guidance or increase in snowfall may result in Berkshire and/or Windham counties needing to be upgraded to warnings and then possibly lead to a new corridor of advisories farther west. Regardless, anywhere within the watch, warning and advisory areas could see snowfall rates approach 1 inch per hour at times. Again, a tight gradient of snowfall is expected on the western edge of the precipitation shield.

Wind will also be a factor as wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are expected during the day Saturday into Saturday night. This, combined with temperatures only in the single digits and teens, will make it feel more like the single digits to below zero for the majority of the day. Blowing and drifting snow will be an issue for areas south and east of Albany as the snow is expected to be light and fluffy.

This storm departs Saturday night with snow ending and high pressure building in from the west. It will remain blustery for much of the night. Low temperatures will range from the single digits above zero to the single digits to around 10 below zero elsewhere. Wind chill headlines will likely be needed for much of the region Saturday night, especially the higher terrain, with readings falling to 10 to 30 below zero.

Outside of this storm tonight, low temperatures dropping below zero in the Adirondacks combined with a northerly breeze will lead to wind chill values falling to 20 to 25 below zero. Therefore, a wind chill advisory was issued for this region for tonight.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Guidance is in agreement there will be change in the longwave pattern across the CONUS. Initially will have cyclonic flow across the Northeast with short waves moving through the flow in the wake of the departing coastal storm. Ridging then develops over the Eastern United States as a trough develops over the Western United States as we head into early next week. As we move through midweek the ridge shifts eastward over the Western Atlantic and the trough deepens and encompasses most of the CONUS with deep southwest flow along the Eastern Seaboard.

At the surface, ridging is expected to build in across the region in the wake of the departing coastal storm Sunday with the ridge shifting eastward across the region early next week. The ridge is expected to shift off the coast Tuesday night with a front on the approach from the west. Fair weather is expected through early in the week. The front is expected to stall to our west as an areas of low pressure develop along the boundary with our weather turning unsettled. There is much uncertainty in the forecast as to the timing and amplitude of the lows as they move northward along the boundary. What is certain is that temperatures moderate with above normal readings expected Wednesday and Thursday as we remain on the warm side of the system and there will be a period of widespread rainfall and at this time that appears most likely for Thursday.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A cold front will move southeastward crossing the local area through the day. Southerly flow ahead of the boundary will switch to the northerly with its passage. The northerly flow is expected to become enhanced down the Hudson Valley this afternoon into the evening with some gusts into teens at KGFL and KALB. MVFR conditions are expected to develop behind the front and persist for the most part. In the meantime, a coastal low will develop off the Southeast Coast and it will deepen as it heads northeastward tonight bringing snow to KPOU overnight and to KPSF late in the TAF period. IFR conditons are expected to develop at KPOU late in the TAF period as steadier snow moves in.

Outlook .

Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN. Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of SHRA. SHSN.

HYDROLOGY. Cold weather will remain in place into early next week, then moderate into the middle of next week. With the cold temperatures in place, this should continue to keep plenty of ice in place on rivers and streams.

A winter storm will impact southeastern areas tonight through Saturday. Precipitation with this system will be in the form of snow, which will have no immediate impact on rivers and streams. Behind this storm, dry weather is expected through the middle of next week, which will keep river levels fairly steady.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Storm Warning from midnight tonight to midnight EST Saturday night for CTZ001-013. NY . Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to midnight EST Saturday night for NYZ065-066. Wind Chill Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM EST Saturday for NYZ032- 033-042. MA . Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Saturday evening for MAZ001-025. VT . Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Saturday evening for VTZ014-015.

SYNOPSIS . Rathbun NEAR TERM . Rathbun SHORT TERM . Rathbun LONG TERM . IAA AVIATION . IAA HYDROLOGY . Rathbun


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 17 mi117 min SSW 6 26°F 1021 hPa13°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 30 mi57 min 0 26°F 1019 hPa12°F
TKPN6 30 mi57 min S 5.1G7 26°F 35°F1020.7 hPa12°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 47 mi57 min WSW 9.7G14 32°F 17°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 49 mi57 min NW 1.9G5.1 30°F 37°F1020.5 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Last 24 hrN3
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY6 mi34 minN 08.00 miOvercast26°F16°F66%1020.1 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY9 mi42 minW 410.00 miOvercast25°F18°F74%1019.6 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY17 mi33 minN 310.00 miOvercast23°F14°F68%1019.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hr000W4SW6SW10
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1 day ago00NW11N8N8NW9N8NW9NW5NW60NE5N5N3S3000000000
2 days ago000SW5W7W9NW10W11NW11W7NW5NW5N4NW7N5N4NW3NW5NW6NW40000

Tide / Current Tables for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
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New Hamburg
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:40 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:54 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:20 AM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:04 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:34 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:06 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:56 PM EST     2.46 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:15 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:54 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:02 AM EST     3.02 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:04 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:09 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:06 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 08:38 PM EST     2.38 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Newburgh, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
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