Wednesday, October20, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Curtice, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:50AMSunset 6:46PM Wednesday October 20, 2021 8:44 AM EDT (12:44 UTC) Moonrise 6:02PMMoonset 6:41AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ142 Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh-reno Beach To The Islands Oh- The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 419 Am Edt Wed Oct 20 2021
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A slight chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Showers likely in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees, and off erie 62 degrees.
LEZ142 Expires:202110201415;;970241 FZUS51 KCLE 200819 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 419 AM EDT Wed Oct 20 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>144-201415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Curtice, OH
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location: 41.68, -83.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 201026 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 626 AM EDT Wed Oct 20 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will persist over the area through today, followed by a low pressure system and cold front on Thursday. A trough may linger across the area into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. Quiet weather is expected through today as high pressure persists across the region. Above-average temperatures in the lower 70s are once again forecast for today.

Tonight into Thursday, the next system and cold front will approach the region, ushering in more Fall-like weather and the next chance for rain. A pre-frontal trough ahead of the cold front will arrive across Northwest Ohio by Thursday morning, with enough elevated instability to support some thunder, in addition to brief spurts of moderate to heavy rain. This pre-frontal trough and associated line of rain and/or embedded thunder will continue east across the area through the morning, reaching the Cleveland area sometime around late morning, and Northwest Pennsylvania by the early afternoon.

Behind the pre-frontal trough, a narrow corridor of upper-50 dew points will seep northward into Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania, perhaps supporting some surface-based showers and/or thunderstorms by mid-afternoon. We'll have to monitor the instability trends on Thursday, as there is a chance for some of these "power showers" to transport high-momentum air aloft, down to the surface (50 to 55 knots at the 700 mb level). The best area for severe-level wind gusts to occur would be east of the I-77 corridor in the mid to late afternoon, coincident with the SPC SWODY2 marginal risk.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Secondary cold front Thursday night as the low pressure system exits into Quebec with a another batch of should largely be isolated showers as it comes through. From there, a series of waves will traverse the region in broad cyclonic flow as the main closed low spins around the James Bay region in Canada. The first weak upper system passes south of the CWA Friday, followed by another slightly further north bringing low end POPs back into the mix Friday night. A trough axis lobe in the main circulation drops in from the northwest Saturday into Saturday night, but confidence too low on any significant POPs at this point. In the end, it will be mildly unsettled with a consistent reinforcement of the chillier airmass that will leave highs in the 50s, and widespread 30s Saturday night. Still watching for frost, but again, this will be highly dependent on cloud cover, and will sort this detail out in days coming.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Upper low finally drops southward into the Great Lakes, finally pushing a final cold front through Sunday, but get some diverging model solutions on the next system. Could see a quick advance back north as a warm front later Sunday into Sunday night as the pattern becomes dominated by an upper low/Colorado surface low that will track eastward. Warming trend expected as a result early next week.

AVIATION /12Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/. VFR conditions across the TAF sites early this morning with mainly VFR to persist through the TAF period. Only changes from this TAF update were to include VCTS mention on Thursday at TOL/FDY starting at 9/10Z respectively, and at CLE from 14Z onwards. Anticipate additions of vcts/vcsh mention, as well as prob30s and/or tempo groups for all TAF sites once the exact timing of the rain/thunder can be nailed- down. Kept ceilings at low-end VFR for now, but can't rule out lower, MVFR ceilings and/or vsbys in precipitation.

Winds will generally remain south to southwesterly, 5 to 10 knots, through the TAF period. Some higher gusts of 18 to 20 knots may be possible at ERI later this afternoon.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible in showers and/or thunderstorms on Thursday. Non-VFR likely in lower ceilings Thursday night into Friday. Non-VFR may persist Friday into Saturday with lower ceilings and scattered showers.

MARINE. Small Craft Advisory continues for Willowick east through early afternoon, and for now, it is fairly marginal. Winds expected to east later today fora short period of time, and the surge again out of the SW tonight and especially Thursday ahead of a strengthening low pressure system tracking into the western Great Lakes. Looking at sustained 20-30kts out of the SW Thursday into Thursday night prior to a cold frontal passage expected Thursday, so may need another SCA in that time frame from at least a wind standpoint.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for LEZ147>149.

SYNOPSIS . Kahn NEAR TERM . Kahn SHORT TERM . 26 LONG TERM . 26 AVIATION . Kahn MARINE . 26


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45165 3 mi35 min SW 12G14 53°F 62°F1 ft
TWCO1 3 mi35 min SSW 13G16 62°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 8 mi57 min SSW 5.1G6 52°F 1019.6 hPa47°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 12 mi45 min SW 11G12 57°F
CMPO1 19 mi135 min SW 5.1G8 51°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 26 mi45 min SW 11G13 57°F 1020.5 hPa (+0.0)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 33 mi57 min SSW 5.1G8 54°F 64°F1019.7 hPa43°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 45 mi45 min SW 8.9G12 52°F 1019 hPa
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 48 mi120 min S 1 49°F 1021 hPa
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 49 mi45 min WSW 12G16 60°F 1020.2 hPa52°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH12 mi52 minSSW 410.00 miFair49°F43°F80%1021.1 hPa
Lambertville, Toledo Suburban Airport, MI18 mi50 minSSW 310.00 miFair49°F46°F92%1020.7 hPa
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI19 mi50 minW 310.00 miFair47°F44°F89%1020.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW11SW9SW9W14
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SW10SW6SW6SW5SW6SW5SW4SW5SW40S300S3S4
1 day agoW4W304W5W10NW6NW9NW10W6W3W30SW5SW40SW3SW40SW30SW4SW4SW4
2 days agoW7W9W9W13NW16W15NW14W16
G24
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Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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