Tuesday, September28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Rocky Ridge, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 7:22PM Tuesday September 28, 2021 1:27 AM EDT (05:27 UTC) Moonrise 10:48PMMoonset 1:55PM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:202109280830;;287266 Fzus61 Kcle 280201 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 1001 Pm Edt Mon Sep 27 2021 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis.. Low pressure of 29.80 inches north of lake erie will move a cold front south across the lake this evening into the overnight hours. High pressure of 30.10 inches will build south behind the front and persist through Wednesday, strengthening to 30.30 inches over lake erie by Friday. High pressure will settle south to ohio valley on Saturday. Lez162-163-280830- detroit river lt. To maumee bay oh to reno beach oh beyond 5nm offshoreline to us-canadian border- reno beach to the islands oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- 1001 pm edt Mon sep 27 2021
Rest of tonight..West winds 10 knots or less becoming north 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Northeast winds less than 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..Light and variable winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Ridge, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 280207 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1007 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021

SYNOPSIS. A cold front will move southward across the local area tonight through early Tuesday morning. High pressure builds southward from Canada by Tuesday evening, lingering over the region through Saturday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Latest guidance indicates that low-level moisture and cloud cover may be more extensive than previously forecast, so increased sky cover through Tuesday afternoon. A few showers have developed across the far southern edge of the forecast area and have PoPs beginning to ramp up a bit over the next few hours. As of now, it appears that the best shower/thunderstorm chances will lie to the southeast of the local area tonight.

Previous Discussion . A weak upper-level trough and associated surface cold front move south across the area tonight into Tuesday morning. Isolated to scattered showers may develop along and ahead of this cold front late tonight. Sufficient instability with MUCAPE around 1000 J/kg will be present for some thunderstorm development as well. Sufficient instability in the hail growth zone, along with steep mid-level lapse rates, could lead to some hail with the strongest thunderstorms, particularly with initial thunderstorms. Deep-layer shear of around 40 knots will also be present, which could potentially result in some mid- level rotation in storms. If this does happen, larger hail may be possible, though 1000 J/kg MUCAPE is unlikely to support a strong enough updraft to produce large hail.

By Tuesday, precipitation chances become nil, with high temperatures closer to near normal (highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s). Overnight lows will cool down to near 50s, with some patchy fog possible as winds become near calm.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. The upper level flow will become nearly stationary as a blocking pattern develops during the short term period. An amplified trough over the east and west will leave an amplified ridge, and associated high pressure, over the area. Winds through the period will generally be light and with a northerly component. By Thursday morning, models suggest winds shifting to northeasterly as a backdoor cold front moves through the area. The overall airmass remains dry however, so the weak boundary may only bring slightly cooler temperatures. High temperatures will be near normal in the 60s to low 70s, with overnight lows dropping into the 40s to low 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The long term period begins in a similar pattern to the short term as the upper level ridge remains strong through Friday. The biggest uncertainty is when the amplified, blocking pattern aloft will finally break down and the flow again become progressive. There is very little model agreement in exact timing, with the general idea of it happening sometime over the weekend. As the system becomes more progressive, the chance of showers increases with the southwesterly flow on the leading edge of the trough. Have opted for isolated showers beginning Saturday evening through much of the long term, however this will need to continue to be monitored and refined. Temperatures will remain near normal through the period.

AVIATION /00Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/. VFR conditions expected through the majority of tonight before a cold front approaches from the north later tonight. Scattered showers may impact Northeast Ohio/Northwest PA within the next 6 hours, although there's still some uncertainty in the placement, timing, and coverage of any precipitation that develops. As of now it appears that KERI has the best chance at seeing any showers. Regardless, the front will usher low-level moisture into the area, which will introduce MVFR conditions to terminals along and east of the I-71 corridor. IFR ceilings are possible at KCAK/KYNG for a few hours mid to late morning. Can't rule out brief IFR ceilings at KCLE/KMFD during the same timeframe, but did not include in this update due to low confidence. Ceilings should lift to VFR by around or shortly after 18Z Tuesday afternoon.

Southwesterly winds will decrease below 10 knots this evening and will rapidly shift to the north or northeast behind the front late tonight or early Tuesday morning before increasing to around 10 knots by Tuesday afternoon.

Outlook . Non-VFR with patchy fog may be possible Tuesday night and Wednesday night.

MARINE. Southwest winds across Lake Erie continue to weaken as a cold front approaches from the north. Currently, a Small Craft Advisory remain in effect for the near shore zone off of Erie, PA where waves 3-5 feet are expected to persist into the evening. As a result, there is also a high risk of rip currents possible. Near sunset, winds across the lake will weaken to 5-10 knots and waves will diminish to 1-3 feet. The aforementioned cold front is expected to move south across the lake tonight, allow for a shift of winds to become north then northeasterly. Winds will be 10-15 knots, building waves to near 3 feet. High pressure builds over the lake and will remain through at least Thursday as an upper level blocking pattern occurs. Wednesday into Thursday there is a chance for a backdoor cold front to move across the lake.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Saunders NEAR TERM . Maines/Saunders SHORT TERM . Campbell LONG TERM . Campbell AVIATION . Maines MARINE . Campbell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45165 10 mi38 min NE 14 G 18 65°F 66°F2 ft
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi28 min NNE 19 G 22 63°F
TWCO1 10 mi38 min NNE 19 G 22 66°F
CMPO1 12 mi118 min SSW 2.9 G 5.1 70°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi28 min N 8 G 12 65°F 1009.9 hPa (+0.4)
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi58 min NNE 5.1 G 9.9 65°F 1010 hPa61°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi58 min NNE 6 G 8 68°F 68°F1009.1 hPa61°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi28 min SW 5.1 G 6 72°F 1008.8 hPa (+0.0)
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi38 min N 14 G 16 67°F 68°F1009.8 hPa62°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi103 min Calm 66°F 1010 hPa

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monroe, Custer Airport, MI24 mi33 minN 410.00 miFair63°F58°F86%1011.2 hPa
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi35 minNNE 910.00 miFair67°F60°F79%1010.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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W14W13W11W7W3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE9
1 day agoS7SW5SW6SW5SW5SW6SW5SW7SW11W13
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2 days agoS8S11S12S8S7S7SW8W7W5NW10NW14W10NW14
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W12W14W11W6SW3SW5SW3CalmS4S6

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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