Rocky Ridge, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rocky Ridge, OH

May 5, 2024 7:12 AM EDT (11:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:22 AM   Sunset 8:38 PM
Moonrise 3:59 AM   Moonset 4:53 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:202405051415;;653214 Fzus61 Kcle 050807 Glfle
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 407 am edt Sun may 5 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

Synopsis - A trough of 29.90 inches will track across lake erie today, pulling a cold front south behind it. A ridge averaging 30.20 inches will move east across the great lakes region tonight through Monday. A warm front with pressure of 29.50 inches lifts northeast across lake erie on Tuesday. A stronger area of low pressure tracks out of the plains towards the eastern great lakes by Thursday evening.
lez162>164-051415- detroit river lt. To maumee bay oh to reno beach oh beyond 5nm offshoreline to us-canadian border- reno beach to the islands oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- the islands to vermilion oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- 407 am edt Sun may 5 2024

Today - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. A slight chance of showers early. Waves 2 feet or less.

Monday - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Waves 2 feet or less.

Monday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely during the day, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Showers likely Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 2 feet.

Thursday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rocky Ridge, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 051034 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 634 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front brings showers and thunder storms today, exiting to the east tonight. High pressure builds in from the north for Monday. A warm front comes through Tuesday, followed by a cold front Tuesday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
630 AM Update...
Some POP timing changes for the afternoon into the evening, but the main components of the forecast are still mainly the same.
Also adjusted the forecast high temperatures slightly as well.

Previous Discussion...
Cold front stretching from Michigan through Indiana and western Kentucky will track eastward into western Ohio over the next few hours, then into the CWA through the late morning and afternoon.
Currently, ahead of the cold front, convection firing along PVA in the southwesterly flow aloft. The cold front coming through later today will provide forcing for convective initiation after 16Z.
Modest SBCAPE becomes available with some heating, but with modest lapse rates and in the mid levels and low/mid level flows less than 25kts, only expecting some wind gusts and perhaps some hail. Still outlooked for a marginal risk from SPC generally east of I-71 but think any issues with convection today would be isolated, although non-zero. Cold front should be east of the CWA by 03Z Monday with low and mid level clearing. Surface high pressure over the Great Lakes will then build in from the north tonight taking POPs south of the CWA Meanwhile, a trough axis again in the southwesterly flow will begin moving into the Ohio Valley, bringing POPs northward again, but coming up short of the southern zones by 00Z Tuesday.
Behind the cold front, a bit cooler weather expected Monday with mid 60s north to lower 70s south.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
High pressure over the eastern Great Lakes will shift to New England by Tuesday. At the same time, a 120 knot upper level jet rounds the base of the Plains trough with the trough becoming oriented from Minnesota to the Central Great Lakes. Low level moisture advection ramps up as a surface trough weakens while reaching the local area.
Slowed down chances of rain although pops remain fairly high as the warm front lifts north Tuesday afternoon and evening. Instability may reach 1500-2000 J/kg of ml CAPE. 0-6km shear values vary based on different model solutions but could be in the 30-50 knot range.
The Storm Prediction Center has included most of the western half of the area in a Slight Risk for severe weather with a marginal risk extending a little farther east to nearly the Ohio/Pennsylvania state line. High temperatures are forecast to reach the mid 70s to near 80 degrees with dewpoints climbing into the low 60s along the front. Organized convection appears possible both along the northward moving warm front and ahead of the cold front that will settle back south Tuesday evening. Most lingering activity should exit the area to the east Wednesday morning. Cooling behind the front on Tuesday looks negligible with highs on Wednesday back into the upper 70s. Can not rule out a low chance of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon on Wednesday depending on the where the frontal boundary stalled.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Another area of low pressure is forecast to track northeast from the southern Plains to the Central Great Lakes on Thursday bringing more showers and possibly thunderstorms. A stronger cold front will push south across the area Thursday night into Friday morning as the upper level trough deepens overhead. High temperatures will be below normal Friday and Saturday and followed guidance trends in lowering temperatures a few degrees for both days. Temperatures will generally be in the low 60s but may not get out of the 50s in NW Pennsylvania where 850mb temperatures may be as low as 3-4C. Models are struggling with how to handle the interaction between this trough and another piece of energy diving south out of Canada. In general expecting the weekend to be on the cool side of normal with scattered showers and a broad cyclonic flow.

AVIATION /12Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/
More shower/isolated storm development this morning largely east of CLE/CAK. Cold front will be moving in from the west, and with some additional heating/mixing that will lift some of the lower ceilings out ahead of it, more thunderstorms are expected later this afternoon through the evening. However, timing of this has it most likely to occur after 16Z which puts it east of the I-71 corridor, mainly from CLE/MFD and east. Some gusty winds can be expected in the scattered thunderstorms, and only use TEMPO for CAK and YNG. Other terminals carrying VCTS/CB for a couple hours in the afternoon. Behind the cold front, it will take a few hours for the ceilings to clear out into the overnight portion of the forecast, and winds can be expected to become northerly late in the forecast period.

Outlook...Non-VFR likely with periodic showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday into early Wednesday with another frontal system.

MARINE
A trough will cross Lake Erie today, pulling a cold front southeast across the lake. Winds veer to the north behind the front and increase to 10 to 20 knots with waves building to 1 to 3 feet. Winds veer to northeasterly on Monday as high pressure builds from the central to eastern Great Lakes. An active pattern will follow for the remainder of the week. A warm front will lift north across the lake on Wednesday with southwesterly winds of 10-15 knots. A second area of low pressure is expected to track near Lake Erie on Thursday, pulling a stronger cold front south behind it on Friday.
The track of this low may change and have an effect on wind direction, speeds, and wave heights. Tentatively conditions look to approach Small Craft Advisory criteria by Friday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi73 min S 8G8.9 63°F 29.8563°F
CMPO1 12 mi103 min SSW 2.9G5.1 64°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi73 min S 6G6 64°F 29.86
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi55 min W 2.9G4.1 62°F 29.8462°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 22 mi55 min S 2.9G6 65°F 29.8560°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi73 min SSW 4.1G5.1 65°F 29.83
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi43 min S 5.8G7.8 57°F 53°F29.8856°F
45203 37 mi43 min SW 5.8G7.8 64°F 60°F1 ft63°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi88 min WSW 1.9 64°F 29.8963°F
OWMO1 46 mi73 min SSW 2.9 64°F 62°F


Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPCW ERIEOTTAWA INTL,OH 17 sm17 minS 067 smOvercast64°F64°F100%29.89
KTDZ TOLEDO EXECUTIVE,OH 24 sm19 minSW 04M1/4 sm-- Fog 64°F61°F88%29.90
KTTF CUSTER,MI 24 sm17 mincalm1/4 smOvercast Fog 61°F59°F94%29.89
Link to 5 minute data for KTDZ


Wind History from TDZ
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Cleveland, OH,



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