Thursday, October21, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Austinburg, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:41AMSunset 6:33PM Thursday October 21, 2021 4:59 PM EDT (20:59 UTC) Moonrise 6:16PMMoonset 7:34AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ148 Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh-conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 406 Am Edt Thu Oct 21 2021
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 pm edt this afternoon through Friday morning...
Today..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers late this morning. Showers early this afternoon, then showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest 15 to 25 knots. Showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to less than 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday night..Northwest winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees, and off erie 62 degrees.
LEZ148 Expires:202110211415;;021023 FZUS51 KCLE 210806 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 406 AM EDT Thu Oct 21 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ148-149-211415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Austinburg, OH
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location: 41.76, -80.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 212026 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 426 PM EDT Thu Oct 21 2021

SYNOPSIS. Cold front located from central Lake Erie to Mount Gilead late this afternoon will continue to move eastward, reaching the Ohio Pennsylvania border around sunset. A trough will then linger through the weekend. Another low pressure system will approach the area on Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. A cold front was located from central Lake Erie to Mount Gilead late this afternoon. This boundary will continue to move eastward, reaching the Ohio Pennsylvania border around sunset. These storms will have a chance of being surface based with the lift being enhanced by a 50-60 knot 7H jet. If storms can grow to a sufficient depth they could bring some of the stronger wind to the surface.

As the cold front passes a westerly wind will become gusty and continue into the overnight hours. Strongest winds look to be during the evening and along the lakeshore through the overnight. As the cold advection increases in the wake of the cold front we will see an increase in showers off of the lake. Best chances for these showers will from around 11 pm through 5 am. It will be cooler tonight with lows in the 40's to around 50.

Clouds should decrease across NW OH Friday morning while lake effect cloud cover covers the eastern half of the CWA. Scattered showers are expected to flow off the lake through the day, especially from the Mid-Ohio region to the OH/PA border. It will be much cooler on Friday with highs in the lower to mid 50's. However a few spots across NW PA may remain in the upper 40's.

High pressure will ridge northward into the region from the south Friday night. However an upper level trough is still located over the central Great Lakes. This combined with cooler air flowing over the Great Lakes should keep skies on the cloudy side. there could be a few showers across NE OH into NW PA but believe most will remain over the lake. Temperatures will be on the cool side with lows ranging from the upper 30's to mid 40's.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. The upper level trough will pivot east across the area on Saturday. Although the surface reflection will be weak, westerly low level flow will develop on Lake Erie and lake effect rain showers are expected to develop. The passage of the upper trough will provide both moisture and support and raised pops to likely for the lakeshore counties east of Cleveland. Moisture at 700mb strips away by 03Z and coverage of showers will decrease through the overnight hours.

A break is expected between systems on Saturday night with strong moisture advection and isentropic ascent bringing chances of rain back to the area on Sunday. It will likely take until Sunday afternoon for rain to fill back in across NW Ohio.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Low pressure will move east across the Upper Ohio Valley on Monday. The 12Z ECMWF has come into better agreement with the other long range models on Monday, with the system pulling away to the east on Tuesday. We can expect a brief break in precipitation in the Tuesday to Wednesday time frame before the next strong trough approaches from the west on Wednesday.

AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/. MVFR/IFR showers are occurring across northeast OH into NW PA. This round of showers and isolated thunderstorms will move eastward through 20Z. Attention then shifts westward to a cold front that is located from The Islands to east of KFDY. Showers and thunderstorms along this boundary should be a bit strong with gusty winds the primary threat. MVFR and brief IFR conditions are expected with this line of showers/thunderstorms. Southwest winds become west in the wake of the cold front and become gusty. Gusts may reach 30 knots at times into the evening. Also in the wake of the cold front we expect to see a period of MVFR ceilings. KMFD area may see some IFR at times, especially overnight if the lake effect showers develop. These lake effect showers will impact much of the eastern half of northern OH into NW PA overnight. Scattered showers and the MVFR conditions will continue into Friday afternoon.

Outlook . Periods of Non-VFR Friday afternoon through Sunday with lower ceilings and scattered showers. Non-VFR possible again on Monday in rain and lower ceilings.

MARINE. A strong cold front is located across western Lake Erie with an abrupt wind shift to the west and eventually north behind the front. Winds behind the front will increase to 20-25 knots with gusts as high as 35 knots this evening. Small Craft Advisories remain in effect for all nearshore waters for tonight. The cold front will exit to the southeast on Friday with winds decreasing fairly quickly as high pressure builds into the Upper Great Lakes. Generally good marine conditions will continue through the weekend.

The next system will approach the Great Lakes region from the Plains Sunday night into Monday. Easterly winds will increase to 20-25 knots and Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed into Tuesday with high winds and waves. This will also result in rising water levels on the western basin of Lake Erie. Low pressure is expected to pass south of Lake Erie on Tuesday then depart to the east Tuesday night.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for LEZ145>149. Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for LEZ142>144.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . MM SHORT TERM . KEC LONG TERM . KEC AVIATION . MM MARINE . KEC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 9 mi89 min SSW 6G13
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 22 mi71 min S 14G16 64°F 63°F1006 hPa62°F
45197 41 mi49 min WSW 12G16 64°F 65°F2 ft1007.4 hPa61°F
45164 44 mi59 min 18G23 64°F 64°F3 ft
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 44 mi71 min S 2.9G9.9 63°F 64°F1007.4 hPa58°F
45167 48 mi59 min 18G23 63°F 64°F3 ft
EREP1 49 mi71 min SSW 5.1G8.9

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH9 mi66 minSSW 76.00 miFog/Mist62°F59°F90%1008.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHZY

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S4S6SW7SW6S6S5S6S6S6S6S6S4S7S6S6S12
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1 day agoW8000S4SW8SW5SW3SW30000SW30S3SW7W9SW9W10SW7SW11SW7SW6
2 days agoNW70000000S30000S3S3S3SW4W7W6W7W11
G16
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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