Friday, October15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Buffalo, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 6:07PM Friday October 15, 2021 10:34 PM CDT (03:34 UTC) Moonrise 4:19PMMoonset 1:27AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 1001 Pm Edt Fri Oct 15 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday afternoon...
Overnight..Northwest wind 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Waves 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet.
Saturday..Northwest wind 15 to 25 knots. Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet.
Saturday night..Northwest wind 15 to 25 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots. Clear. Waves 4 to 7 feet occasionally to 9 feet.
Sunday..West wind 10 to 20 knots. Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet. The water temperature at st. Joseph is 67 degrees and at michigan city is 66 degrees.
LMZ046 Expires:202110161030;;748991 FZUS53 KIWX 160201 NSHIWX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1001 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ046-161030-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Buffalo, MI
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location: 41.79, -86.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 152320 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 720 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021

SYNOPSIS. Issued at 340 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021

Scattered showers will persist in spots through this afternoon, with overall coverage increase this evening across the area. Colder air will settle in tonight and persist into the weekend with highs on Saturday only in the 50s.

SHORT TERM. (This Evening through Saturday) Issued at 340 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021

Surface low already moving into NW Ohio with initial batch of showers and storms accompanying it. Lagging cold front south of the low was well depicted by fine line of showers and isolated storms from Portland to Van Wert. Any severe threat will exist with this line as well any storms ahead of it where temps remain in the lower to middle 70s, with more stable 60 degree temps right behind the line (Van Wert 64 vs Lima 74). Thus far storms have behaved with window of opportunity likely done by 21 or 22Z with focus then shifting to the impacts of second, stronger front and arrival of the main upper level trough that will be deepening and become negatively tilted over the area tonight. The increase in forcing from the associated 120+kt jet streak is already apparent with showers slowly trying to expand both in our NW areas as well as back into IL. Expecting a fast uptick in precip coverage heading into the 00-03Z period, possibly faster than current depicted in the forecast. Concerns for heavy rain will be limited by lower, but still sufficient PWATs around 1.25 inches or so and progressive nature of the trough. As a result amounts should generally be under a quarter inch with a few exceptions towards a half inch possible.

Saturday will be rather chilly compared to recent weeks with highs only in the 50s and a stiff NW wind, especially during the afternoon as shot of colder air passes over the Great Lakes. This cold pool may allow for the development of a few showers during the afternoon hours across NE parts of the forecast area, warranting holding onto slgt chc pops in that area.

LONG TERM. (Saturday Night through Friday) Issued at 340 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021

First half of the period tranquil with cool (more seasonable) nights in the 40s and highs slowly moderating through the 60s and even some 70s into the middle of next week. Upper level energy south of Alaska will march slowly east over the weekend into next week, starting to impact our area by Wednesday with chances for showers. Blend of models worked out fine, so no changes made to them.

AVIATION. (For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening) Issued at 720 PM EDT Fri Oct 15 2021

Challenging aviation forecast this evening (especially for KFWA) with highly variable ceilings across the area. Lower level portion of the cold front has cleared the terminals and allowed for some minor dry air advection but one more round of midlevel deformation/fgen will support additional light rain tonight. Drier profiles noted for KSBN and better chance for remaining VFR there overnight. Concensus guidance keeps KFWA low MVFR through much of the night though given better moisture profiles. Some pockets of clearing are expected but overall prefer to lean on concensus and maintain fuel alternate through the overnight. Return to VFR tomorrow with gusty WNW winds.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IN . NONE. MI . NONE. OH . NONE. LM . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Sunday for LMZ043-046.



SYNOPSIS . Fisher SHORT TERM . Fisher LONG TERM . Fisher AVIATION . AGD

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 10 mi35 min WNW 15G18 58°F 1013 hPa (+1.6)40°F
45026 - St. Joseph, MI 15 mi25 min W 12G18 58°F 67°F3 ft1012.8 hPa47°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 24 mi55 min WNW 8G11 59°F 1013.5 hPa
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI 25 mi35 min WNW 13G17 58°F 1012.9 hPa (+0.7)
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 42 mi47 min SSW 1.9G2.9 1012 hPa
JAKI2 44 mi95 min W 4.1G8 57°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 45 mi35 min W 8.9G12 58°F 46°F
CNII2 46 mi20 min W 6G7 56°F 43°F
45168 47 mi25 min WSW 12G18 59°F 67°F1012.4 hPa48°F
OKSI2 48 mi95 min WNW 2.9G6 58°F
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 49 mi35 min 18G20 58°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Michigan City Municipal Airport, IN7 mi40 minNW 610.00 miLight Rain54°F46°F77%1013.2 hPa
South Bend International Airport, IN23 mi41 minNW 510.00 miLight Rain55°F52°F90%1012.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMGC

Wind History from MGC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3000SE300000SE3000N30N9N7N50N50W3NW4
1 day agoS7S9
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S8SW5S3S5SW8NW3W3W5W4S4S4SW60S3S3000
2 days ago0000----------000SE5SE4S7S3S3S5SE3SE4SE6S8S7S8

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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