Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Staatsburg, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 4:52PM Sunday January 16, 2022 7:40 PM EST (00:40 UTC) Moonrise 4:30PMMoonset 7:40AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 625 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.gale warning in effect through Monday morning...
Tonight..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Rain and snow likely early this evening, then rain late this evening and overnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Mon night..W winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Tue..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 625 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure along the carolina coast will intensify as it moves north through the mid atlantic region tonight, then across pennsylania and into upstate new york on Monday and into quebec Monday night. After high pressure builds in on Tuesday, a warm front will arrive on Wednesday, followed by a cold front Wednesday night. A large dome of high pressure will build from the west Thursday into Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Staatsburg, NY
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location: 41.83, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 170009 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 709 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. A complex storm system moving north from the Mid Atlantic States will bring a widespread snowfall turning to a wintry mix, as well as, windy conditions to the region for tonight through Monday. Cold and blustery conditions will occur Monday night into Tuesday, as the storm moves into the Canadian Maritimes. Temperatures will run below normal Tuesday, and another arctic cold front moves through after the mid week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. 6:30 PM EST Update: Low clouds have moved into the area as a deepening, negatively tilted mid-latitude cyclone over the mid- Atlantic continues to translate northward. The northern edge of the precipitation shield associated with this low pressure system is quickly advancing northward. Per METAR plots and radar, snow has been reported as far north as southwestern New York. Light snow/flurries were also seen falling over northeastern Pennsylvania into northern New Jersey. Flurries are beginning to encroach on our very southern areas. Snow will move into our southern areas between 7-9pm, Capital Region between 9-11pm, and northern areas between 11-midnight. Made adjustments to temperatures and dewpoints to reflect current observations and trends. Also made slight adjustments to PoPs/Wx grids. Forecast remains on track. See previous discussion below.

PREVIOUS. As of 428 PM EST .

Winter Storm Warning now issued from 10 pm tonight to 10 pm Monday for southern Herkimer, Montgomery and southern Herkimer Counties .

Winter Storm Warning for the eastern Catskills, Helderbergs, southern Adirondacks, Lake George Saratoga Region, southern VT and Berkshires continues for 10 pm tonight to 10 pm Monday .

Winter Weather Advisory for the Capital Region, Hudson Valley, Taconics, Washington County NY and southern Litchfield County CT tonight into Monday morning .

The sfc high that brought the frigid conditions today continues to shift east of the Gulf of Maine. Mid and upper level diffluence is moving over the Northeast ahead of a powerful storm over the southern Appalachians and the lower Mid Atlantic States. The Miller Type-A system will move north/northeast towards NY and and New England tonight.

Ahead of the main cyclone, strong isentropic lift evident on the 285K or 290K surfaces will overspread locations south of the Capital Region prior to 10 pm, and then the Capital Region north and east between 10 pm - 1pm. Tremendous QG lift will occur with strong low to mid level frontogenesis as Atlantic moisture is tapped. Good pcpn efficiency is expected early on with snow to liquid rations of 8-12:1. In fact, an anomalous low-level jet at H850 of 50-70+ knots will advect in the copious amounts of moisture. It looks like an atmospheric river along the Gulf Stream tapping the subtropics based on the integrated water vapor transport anomalies on the the latest NAEFS. In fact, the u-wind anomalies /easterlies/ are -4 to to almost -6 STDEVS greater than normal overnight prior to 12Z/MON. PWAT anomalies are 1 to 3 STDEVS above normal. The right entrance region of the poleward jet streak will also enhance the snowfall rates. In fact, snowfall rates will increase to 1 to 3 inches an hour in the early to mid morning hours based on the HREF probs. A laterally transitioning snowband based on the CSTAR cool season research will pivot across the region west of the Hudson River Valley into central and western NY.

Temps will begin in the teens to lower 20s and slowly climb overnight with thickening and lowering clouds. The upslope region winds along the eastern spine of the western New England higher terrain, and the eastern Catskills, and eastern Adirondacks will be strong for orographically enhanced heavy snowfall rates in the early to mid morning. Downsloping may decrease the snowfall in the upper Hudson Valley, as the cyclone approaches PA towards daybreak. The low will deepen to about 975-980 hPa with rapid cyclogenesis by 12Z/MON.

We did increase the snow totals in the Capital District to 3-7". The 12Z ECMWF continues to be on the cold side and advertise more snow from the Capital Region and southern Greens south and east. We leaned closer to a blend of GFS/NAM/GEFS Mean. The 12Z GEFS Plume shows a mean value around 6" for Albany with little mix.

Since the track of the low is an inland hugger, after the thump of snow. The winds will likely gust from the east to southeast at 40-55 mph off the higher terrain of the Greens, Berkshires, Litchfield, Hills and Taconics. Downsloping could help some of the gusty winds to mix into the valleys and where winds can mix down some downed large tree limbs, trees and power outages are possible.

The snow will transition to a brief period of sleet/freezing rain and then to rain from the Hudson River Valley eastward, as the dry slot moves through the region in the late morning into the afternoon. A lull in the pcpn is likely and temps may warm into the mid 30s to around 40F in the the lower elevations briefly.Light glazes of ice are possible.

The H500-700 circulation will move over the region, as the 975-980 hPa sfc low moves between KBGM to KALY and then towards northern VT by 18Z/MON. Colder air will rush back into the region, as deformation zone snowfall moves into the area. With all the cold air aloft and steep mid level lapses rates, a rumble of thunder could be possible. Snowfall amounts by the late morning should be in the 3-7" range in the Capital District/mid Hudson Valley, and southern Litchfield County with 5-10" is most other locations with possibly over a foot in the southern Greens, high peaks of the Berkshires and the eastern Catskills.

Additional snowfall in the way of lake effect, and west to northwest upslope snows will impact the region late in the afternoon into Monday night. The Winter Weather Advisory only runs until noon. The Warnings run until 10 pm. The max temps will be in the upper 20s to around 40F, but will quickly fall in the below freezing across the area in the early evening. The colder air may move in from the south and west with this system! There will be impressive gradients with the snowfall too!

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Monday night . The upslope snow showers continue across the western Adirondacks, southern Greens, northern Taconics and Berkshires. Additional snow amounts of 1 to 4 inches are possible in the upslope areas. Some tallies could reach 18 inches in the southern Greens. Other snow showers may impact the forecast area prior to midnight before decreasing. The winds will be from the northwest at 15 to 25 mph with gusts 30-40 mph with some blowing and drifting snowfall. In the cold advection temps will fall back into single digits and teens with some below zero readings over the southern Adirondacks.

Tuesday . The flow aloft shifts to the north to northwest and the lake effect fetch will begin to decrease, as the cyclone moves into the Gulf of St Lawrence and the Canadian Maritimes. It will remain blustery and cold with decreasing clouds. NW winds of 10-20 mph with gusts 25-35 mph. Highs will be in the teens to lower to mid 20s in the valley areas, and single digits to mid teens over the higher terrain. Temps will be about 10-15 degrees below normal.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A narrow area of high pressure will bring mainly dry weather through Tuesday night with wind gradually subsiding and then shifting to the south to southeast after midnight. It will turn out quite cold with lows ranging from the single digits below zero across the Adirondacks and southern Greens to the single digits above zero to low teens elsewhere.

A clipper system will pass north and west of the area on Wednesday, though some lift along a northward progressing warm front will bring some snow showers to the area, mainly north of I-90. Otherwise, southerly flow will lead to a decent rebound of temperatures during the afternoon with highs reaching the upper 20s/lower 30s in the higher elevations to the mid- to upper 30s in the valleys. Lingering moisture Wednesday night (including moisture advecting northeastward from a separate system across the Deep South) could lead to additional rain/snow showers ahead of a passing cold front which could favor areas south and east of Albany. Overall, looking at a marginal snow accumulation for this event. Lows Wednesday night drop into the single digits in parts of the Adirondacks to the teens and 20s elsewhere.

Cold air advection dominates the region on Thursday with temperatures struggling to rise much from the morning lows, despite some partial sunshine in spots. Northwesterly flow off the Great Lakes will likely lead to some lake-effect snow showers favoring the Mohawk Valley and perhaps Schoharie Valley and eastern Catskills. Otherwise, looking at mainly dry weather.

High pressure looks to be positioned overhead Friday into next weekend. However, guidance does hint at northern and southern stream systems near our region. Whether they phase or not could be the deciding factor whether or not we could be looking at an impactful system or not. Overall deterministic guidance suggests the phasing does not occur, but the ensembles have a wide range of solutions. Will hold to NBM pops at this time, which introduced slight to low chance this far out. At this time, highs Saturday look to be mainly in the teens to lower 20s with highs Sunday in the 20s to lower 30s.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. A strong low pressure system will approach from the southwest tonight, then track near or west of the TAF sites during Monday.

Occasional MVFR Cigs will continue to develop at KALB, KPSF and KPOU through 03Z/Mon, and may reach KGFL closer to 03Z/Mon.

Then, precipitation should overspread the TAF sites this evening, in the form of snow. Current timing suggests a start time of 01Z-02Z/Mon at KPOU, 02Z-04Z/Mon at KALB and KPSF, and 03Z-05Z/Mon at KGFL. Vsbys should quickly become IFR/LIFR within an hour of snow starting, with moderate to occasionally heavy intensity at times, along with MVFR to occasional IFR Cigs.

As warmer air aloft approaches from the south and southeast, snow should mix with or change over to sleet/freezing rain from south to north after midnight, initially at KPOU (between roughly 06Z-08Z/Mon), then at KPSF and KALB (roughly between 07Z- 10Z/Mon), and last at KGFL (between 10Z-12Z/Mon). Precipitation should then change to plain rain for a period during Monday morning, except possibly remaining freezing rain or a mix of sleet/snow and freezing rain at KGFL. Mainly IFR conditions are expected through Monday morning, with the possibility of some LIFR/VLIFR due to areas of fog developing.

For Monday afternoon, steadier precipitation should become more showery and spotty, with rain or a mix of rain/snow showers transitioning back to snow showers at all TAF sites, although precipitation may taper off at KPOU. Vsbys should generally range between MVFR and VFR by mid to late afternoon, although could dip to IFR within any snow showers. Cigs should be mainly MVFR, then may lift to VFR toward 00Z/Tue.

Light/variable winds early this evening should become north to northeast and increase to 5-10 KT later this evening, and 8-14 KT after midnight, with some gusts of 20-30 KT possible at KPSF and perhaps KPOU toward 12Z/Mon. These winds will continue Monday morning, before shifting into the southeast to south between 15Z-18Z/Mon as the low passes the region, then into the southwest to west between 21Z/Mon-00Z/Tue.

Low level wind shear is likely at all the TAF sites after 03Z-05Z/Mon, and continuing through around 14Z/Mon, as surface winds remain from the north to northeast at 8-14 KT, while winds around 2000 FT AGL increase from the east/southeast to 40-50+ KT.

Outlook .

Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Chance of SHSN. Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Scattered SHSN. Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact Scattered SHRA. SHSN. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. Ice will continue to allow ice to thicken on area rivers, streams, lakes and reservoirs through the week.

A winter storm will bring a widespread snowfall to the region tonight into Monday evening. Some mixing with sleet, freezing rain or rain is possible in southern and eastern areas, but this precipitation will not have any immediate impact on area rivers and streams.

Total liquid equivalent of 0.5-1.0" is possible in the valleys, with 0.75" to 1.50" or so over the higher terrain. Most will form in the way of snow or sleet, except maybe a quarter to half inch of rain over the mid Hudson Valley, and NW CT.

Behind this storm, mid to late January cold weather is expected through much of the week. Any additional light precipitation will be in the form of snow. As a result, river and streams levels are expected to remain steady into next week. Another cold surge of below normal temperatures is possible by the end of week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM EST Monday for CTZ001. Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST Monday for CTZ013. NY . Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM EST Monday for NYZ032-033- 038>042-047-048-051-058-063-082-083. Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST Monday for NYZ043-049- 050-052>054-059>061-064>066-084. MA . Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM EST Monday for MAZ001-025. VT . Winter Storm Warning until 10 PM EST Monday for VTZ013>015.

SYNOPSIS . Wasula NEAR TERM . Evbuoma/Wasula SHORT TERM . Wasula LONG TERM . Rathbun AVIATION . KL HYDROLOGY . NAS/Wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPXN6 1 mi71 min NNE 1 21°F 1023 hPa6°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 13 mi71 min 0 22°F 1021 hPa9°F
TKPN6 13 mi53 min 0G1.9 23°F 35°F1021.4 hPa10°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 60 mi53 min ENE 7G11 29°F 39°F1019.9 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY13 mi48 minNNW 310.00 miOvercast22°F7°F52%1020.1 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY24 mi56 minVar 410.00 miMostly Cloudy21°F10°F63%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOU

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:00 AM EST     2.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:03 AM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:09 PM EST     3.28 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:55 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:20 AM EST     3.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:25 AM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:40 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:29 PM EST     3.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:29 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:17 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
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