Tuesday, November30, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Canaan, CT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 4:24PM Tuesday November 30, 2021 8:10 PM EST (01:10 UTC) Moonrise 3:15AMMoonset 3:16PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 457 Pm Est Tue Nov 30 2021
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late this evening and overnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..W winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ300 457 Pm Est Tue Nov 30 2021
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Weak high pressure will be in place tonight through Wednesday with a warm front approaching Wednesday night. The warm front lifts north of the area on Thursday followed by a cold front Thursday night. High pressure will largely be in control Friday into the weekend outside of a weak frontal system on Saturday. High pressure then builds in for Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Canaan, CT
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location: 42.06, -73.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 302339 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 639 PM EST Tue Nov 30 2021

SYNOPSIS. A light accumulation of snow is expected across portions of the western Adirondacks tonight as a low pressure system crosses the region. Another low pressure system will bring more widespread precipitation to the area Wednesday night into Thursday evening. Expecting snow to transition to rain Thursday and back to snow as the precipitation tapers off Thursday evening. Our next systems will bring chances for snow showers to the area Friday night into Saturday and again Sunday night and Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. UPDATE. Made some minor changes to expand/increase PoPs across mainly the northern half of the area based on observations and some webcams indicating snow showers reaching the ground across the Adirondacks, upper Hudson Valley and into the southern Greens early this evening. Will mention a dusting of snow in most of these areas, with 1-2" in the western Adirondacks with some lake enhancement developing by late this evening.

PREVIOUS[0348]. Weak upper energy tracking through the region along with some lake effect moisture will bring areas of snow flurries and snow showers to our area this evening. Some dustings will occur in some places with the best chances for an inch or two in the southern Adirondacks, where low level flow off the lakes will bring some snow bands extending into those areas.

Some breaks in the clouds are likely in the mid Hudson Valley, NW CT and perhaps as far north as the Capital Region well after midnight and toward daybreak. Some clouds may anchor to terrain in the Berkshires, Taconics, southern Green Mountains and eastern Catskills. Temperatures will fall the most where the breaks in the clouds can occur later tonight, and where snow cover exists in the southern Adirondacks, Taconics, Berkshires and southern Green Mountains. Lows in the mid 20s to near 30.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. Brief period of weak cold advection to neutral temperature advection Wednesday with gusty west winds in the morning, transitioning to light southwest and south winds toward evening as weak warm advection begins. A mix of clouds and sun with more clouds than sun in areas of terrain. Highs Wednesday around 40 to mid 40s with some 30s higher terrain.

The next northern stream upper energy organizes in Canada and warm advection increases through Wednesday night. Boundary layer winds turn west southwest and increase rapidly while mid and high clouds spread across the region. There may be some snow showers into the southern Adirondacks, Schoharie Valley and eastern Catskills late Wednesday night with increasing isentropic lift and moisture advection.

Increasing low level frontogenesis and convergence approaches western areas Thursday morning with increasing chances for snow showers mixing with and changing to rain showers. The rain and snow showers will expand through the southern Adirondacks and Lake George Saratoga Region through the morning, then spread south and east through the afternoon across the rest of the area.

There could be some isolated to scattered scattered rain and snow showers Thursday morning in eastern NY and western New England but there could be some periods of thin clouds and filtered sun in the morning, too. The mid Hudson Valley and NW CT may see only isolated to scattered showers until late Thursday afternoon and evening. South winds will be light in the morning but could become gusty late in the afternoon with some of the strong boundary layer winds potentially mixing to the surface. Highs Thursday in the mid 40s to around 50 with around 40 to lower 40s higher terrain.

The cold front tracks through the region Thursday evening and night with a changeover of rain showers to snow showers. There could be some dustings in some areas but the better chances for accumulating snow Thursday night into Friday is with the lake effect snow band activity into the southern Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley. Winds will be gusty from the west and northwest Friday as cold air spreads across our region. Highs Friday in the upper 30s to mid 40s with upper 20s to mid 30s higher terrain.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. The period starts out Friday night with a zonal northwest flow aloft across the Great Lakes and Northeast. Much of the night should be dry, although a few light snow showers may occur late as a fast moving and moisture-starved clipper type system approaches from SE Canada. The surface cyclone is forecast to track SE across northern/central New England on Saturday, with its trailing cold moving across our region. So a few additional snow showers will be possible, especially across higher terrain areas on Saturday.

It will turn colder and drier Saturday night into Sunday morning, as a surface anticyclone tracks eastward across our region during this time. Winds should be light at least, although temperatures will be below normal ranging from single digits in the Adirondacks to lower 20s in the Hudson Valley and Litchfield CT. Sunday should remain dry, as the cyclone tracks east to the New England coast and upper level heights rise as well. A southerly flow will develop, especially during the afternoon.

The next chance of precip arrives Sunday night as the pattern amplifies in response to a potent/progressive upper level trough tracking from the upper Midwest into the upper Great Lakes. Isentropic lift ahead of this system could result in at least scattered snow showers, with some light accumulation possible mainly in favored southerly flow upslope areas.

There are differences among the guidance with regards to the main surface cyclone track (ECMWF over upstate NY and GFS across SE Canada), but there is at least loose consensus for the system's cold front to quickly push eastward across our area on Monday. Temperatures should get warm enough for a tranistion to rain showers in the Hudson Valley and Litchfield CT prior to the cold front passage, with either rain/snow mix or snow showers in the higher terrain. Either way, due to the progressive movement and pedestrian moisture (PWATs not anomalous at this time) available QPF looks light to moderate. So while some mountain snow accumulation is possible, heavy precip does not appear likely.

Breezy, cooler and mainly drier conditions expected Monday night into Tuesday in wake of the cold front passage. Some lake effect snow may occur in favored spots in a potential westerly flow regime.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Through 00z/Thu . A warm front will lift northward across the region this evening followed by a cold front pushing eastward late tonight into early Wednesday morning. We are currently at mixed VFR/MVFR cigs but a gradual lowering to predominately MVFR is anticipated for most tonight, though IFR cigs cannot be ruled out at times at KGFL/KPSF. An isolated snow shower or flurry cannot be ruled out at any site into early Wednesday morning, which could briefly reduce visibility to MVFR and possibly even IFR for a time, though coverage does not appear to be high enough to include more than VCSH at KALB/KPOU/KPSF. Slightly higher confidence for snow showers at KGFL so included a tempo through 04z/Wed.

We look to turn to drier conditions and a return to high end MVFR or low end VFR conditions on Wednesday. KPSF may be the last to lift to VFR.

Wind will be out of the south to southwest at 4-8 kt through tonight, then shift to the west to southwest at 7-14kt Wednesday with a few higher gusts at KALB/KPSF. Wind will then decrease to 4-8 kt toward 00z/Thu.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN. Thursday: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Likely SHRA. Thursday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Chance of SHRA. Friday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN. Saturday: Low Operational Impact Slight Chance of SHRA. SHSN. Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic issues are anticipated this week. While there may be some light precip over the next few days, most of this will be very light and will be in the form of snow. However, rain is expected Thursday. River and stream levels will remain fairly steady through the week. Some ice will start to develop on some of the lakes, rivers and reservoirs across the high terrain.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

EQUIPMENT. The KENX radar will be down through mid December to refurbish and replace the pedestal.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . NAS NEAR TERM . NAS/JPV SHORT TERM . NAS LONG TERM . JPV AVIATION . Rathbun HYDROLOGY . NAS EQUIPMENT . ALY Staff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 32 mi161 min SE 1 36°F 1012 hPa29°F
TKPN6 33 mi53 min S 6G8.9 36°F 42°F1013.5 hPa31°F
NPXN6 37 mi161 min S 8.9 37°F 1014 hPa31°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 58 mi53 min WNW 1.9G4.1 38°F 47°F1014.2 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 62 mi53 min WNW 1.9G5.1 38°F 49°F1013.5 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA26 mi-43123 minSSW 710.00 miOvercast31°F26°F82%1012.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPSF

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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This dayNW8NW9----W6----W8--0--0W30W30SW56SW7SW5SW6SW7--SW6
1 day ago000SE300N40SW3SW4W5W5NW9NW9NW8NW6NW5NW7NW8W10W10
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2 days agoW60W7W7W6W4000W3W5000SW4S5SE35SE600000

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Hudson
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:33 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:17 AM EST     4.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:17 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:24 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:02 PM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:29 PM EST     3.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:19 AM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:00 AM EST     3.97 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:17 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:24 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 05:48 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:12 PM EST     3.74 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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