Thursday, January20, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Great Barrington, MA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 4:52PM Thursday January 20, 2022 7:07 PM EST (00:07 UTC) Moonrise 8:37PMMoonset 10:10AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 418 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas subsiding to 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..W winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of snow and rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of snow and rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ300 418 Pm Est Thu Jan 20 2022
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Strong high pressure extending from the plains states to the great lakes will gradually build into the northeast through Friday night. Low pressure will then pass well south and east of the waters on Saturday. A cold front approaches on Sunday and passes through at night. High pressure briefly follows for Monday before another frontal system approaches from the west on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Great Barrington, MA
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location: 42.19, -73.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 202333 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 633 PM EST Thu Jan 20 2022

SYNOPSIS. A frigid air mass will be over the region the next few days. Combination of cold temperatures and breezy conditions will lead to dangerously cold temperatures tonight through Friday morning. Friday will be mainly clear but cold, with bitterly cold temperatures again Friday night. Temperatures moderate somewhat by the second half of the weekend into early next week, but will still remain below average for late January. Chances for appreciable precipitation remain low through at least the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. Wind Chill Advisory will be in effect between 7pm this evening until 10am Friday .

As of 630 PM EST . Frigid air mass continues to engulf the region early this evening. Strong cold advection continues in the wake of the cold front from this morning. A positively tilted upper level trough remain over southeast Canada, the Great Lakes Region and Midwest into the Northeast. A broad 1040 hPa continues to build in from the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Region. The northwest winds of 5-15 mph combined with the cold temps will yield wind chills temps of zero to 30 below across the region. Temps already fallen below zero in the southern Adirondacks with -4F at Old Forge and zero at Raquette Lake. We tried to account for these sharper temp trends with this update.

Previous near term .

Arctic airmass continues to infiltrate the region this afternoon and tonight. Temperatures at this time remain in the low 30s in portions of the Mid Hudson Valley, but only in the single digits across the Adirondacks per latest NYS mesonet obs. With a 1040 mb surface anticyclone located over the Midwest, there is a decent pressure gradient across our region, which is leading to breezy conditions with some gusts of 25-30 mph.

With strong cold advection into the region, temperatures will continue to fall through the evening and into tonight. The surface high slides eastward tonight, but remains to our west. Therefore, anomalously cold temperatures tonight will be advectively driven rather than radiatively driven for our area. Continued breezy conditions will likely keep the boundary layer mixed and prevent most areas from decoupling tonight. However, with an arctic airmass in place, low temperatures are still expected to drop into the -10s in the Adirondacks, with most other areas outside of the Mid Hudson Valley dropping into the negative single digits. Combination of breezy conditions and cold temperatures will lead to dangerously cold wind chills tonight. Areas outside of the Hudson Valley are expected to meet wind chill advisory criteria (temperatures below -15 to -20). Some of the higher elevations of the Adirondacks and southern Greens may see borderline wind chill warning criteria (-30F), but opted against any wind chill warnings as current thinking is that these <-30F readings will be isolated, so zone-average wind chill warning criteria will not be met.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Wind Chill Advisory will be in effect until 10am Friday .

Friday . the surface high will continue sliding eastward, and will eventually be located over upstate NY by tomorrow evening. With the high building overhead, the pressure gradient gradually weakens through the day tomorrow, so winds are expected to become lighter through the day tomorrow. However it will remain cold, as we will be under troughing aloft and the core of the arctic air will be overhead. Despite mostly clear skies, low sun angle and decreasing winds will keep daytime mixing rather shallow, which will also help keep daytime highs on the cold side. Currently expecting daytime highs in the single digits for the high terrain and 10s elsewhere.

Friday night . high pressure will be located overhead through the night with a shortwave ridge building in aloft. This will help promote subsidence and clear skies. Winds will become calm, especially after midnight. With most areas having at least a couple inches of snow on the ground, conditions will be nearly ideal for radiational cooling. Ended up well below NBM and MOS guidance with overnight lows Friday, especially across the Adirondacks. With an area of low pressure passing out to sea well to our south and east, this may enhance the pressure gradient enough across southeastern zones to lead to some light winds overnight, so did not go quite as far below guidance for the Mid Hudson Valley and Litchfield County compared to rest of the region. This may end up as one of the coldest nights of the winter, with lows approaching the -20s in the Adirondacks and most of the rest of the region below 0. Despite the cold temperatures, wind chills will will not be all that much colder than actual temperatures due to the light winds. Winds have to be at least 5 mph for wind chill headlines to be issued, and this criteria is not expected to be met tomorrow night, so did not consider any wind chill headlines at this time despite dangerously cold temperatures.

Saturday will be another below normal but mainly dry with high pressure in control. The day will start off mainly clear, but the surface high slides to the east by Saturday evening. This will result in weak return flow/weak warm advection by Saturday afternoon. Even still, daytime highs will be mainly in the 10s to low 20s, which is 10-15 degrees below normal.

Saturday night, upper-level troughing to our north and west will drive a clipper system through Ontario and Quebec. This system will have very limited moisture and the best upper forcing will be displaced well to the northwest, so outside of a few snow showers across far northern Herkimer County, most of the region stays dry. However, with weak warm advection, some additional cloud cover will be possible, and the pressure gradient tightens again, which will prevent winds from becoming calm. Therefore, lows will be much warmer, mainly in the single digits to low 10s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. At the start of the long term period, upper level trough will be moving across the area for Sunday into Monday. With limited moisture in place, any snow showers will be due to lake effect and upslope, so will limit POPs for just the Mohawk Valley, Adirondacks and southern VT. Best chance looks to be for Sun aftn/eve, as lowering inversion heights by Monday thanks to nearby high pressure should allow for the lake effect to end. Temps look chilly thanks to the cool temps aloft. Daytime highs on Sun/Mon will mainly be in the 20s, with single digits and teens at night.

Another storm system will move across the region for Tuesday. While there will be more moisture available than the last system, models are still unclear on the exact track. Most models do show pieces approaching from both the northern and southern streams, but they don't appear to phase and will stay separate, so most of the forcing across our area will be thanks to the northern stream system. With temps aloft and at the surface below zero, any precip should be in the form of snow. Depending on the exact track, a light accumulation is possible across the area.

Behind this system, cold weather is expected across the area through the rest of the week. There could be some lake effect snow showers across northern and western areas, with temps remaining below normal. Highs will remain in the teens and 20s, with overnight lows below zero again by both Wed and Thursday nights.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Through 00z Saturday . VFR conditions will prevail through the 00z TAF cycle. A 1040 mb Arctic high building into the region from the west will result in dry, tranquil, and cold conditions with just a few high level clouds overhead through the TAF period.

Winds will be out of the north at 5-10 kts through Friday evening.

Outlook .

Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN. Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely SN.

HYDROLOGY. Dry weather continues through at least the end of the weekend and possibly into next week. Temperatures well below normal will allow river and lake ice to likely thicken and strengthen over the next several days.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . Wind Chill Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for CTZ001. NY . Wind Chill Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for NYZ032-033- 038>043-047-048-051-054-058-061-063-066-082>084. MA . Wind Chill Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for MAZ001-025. VT . Wind Chill Advisory until 10 AM EST Friday for VTZ013-014.

SYNOPSIS . Main/Wasula NEAR TERM . Main/Wasula SHORT TERM . Main LONG TERM . Frugis AVIATION . Evbuoma HYDROLOGY . Main/Speciale


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 32 mi37 min 0 22°F 1027 hPa4°F
TKPN6 33 mi49 min N 2.9G7 23°F 35°F1027.9 hPa4°F
NPXN6 40 mi97 min N 4.1 27°F 1025 hPa6°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 67 mi49 min N 16G20 29°F 36°F1024.3 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 71 mi49 min N 11G17 28°F 39°F1024.1 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA17 mi3.2 hrsWNW 710.00 miFair21°F6°F52%1022.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPSF

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrSW5SW5SW5SW9SW9SW8W4NW7NW7NW11
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1 day agoW6W555W600000000S10
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2 days agoNW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Hudson
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:35 AM EST     3.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:11 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:46 AM EST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:23 PM EST     4.13 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:54 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:38 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:28 PM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York
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Coxsackie
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:31 AM EST     3.63 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:12 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 11:24 AM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:35 PM EST     4.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:38 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
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