Sunrise 5:56 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 5:06 AM   Moonset 8:45 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 218 Pm Pdt Wed May 8 2024
.gale warning in effect through late tonight - .
Tonight - NW gales 35 kt - .becoming N 20 to 25 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 30 kt - .easing to 10 to 20 kt. Combined seas 9 to 12 ft dominant period 12 seconds in the evening. Thu - N wind 15 kt - .backing to nw 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 15 to 25 kt - .easing to 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves N 6 ft at 7 seconds. SWell nw 3 to 5 ft at 11 seconds. Thu night - N wind 15 to 20 kt - .becoming ne 5 kt after midnight, then - .veering to E early in the morning. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 10 to 15 kt - .veering to N 5 kt late in the evening, then - . Veering to ne after midnight. Wind waves nw 6 ft at 7 seconds. SWell nw 4 to 5 ft at 11 seconds. Fri - NE wind 5 kt - .backing to nw in the afternoon. Wind waves nw 3 ft at 7 seconds. SWell nw 5 ft at 11 seconds. Fri night - N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves nw 2 ft at 6 seconds. SWell nw 4 to 5 ft at 11 seconds. Sat - N wind 5 to 10 kt - .backing to nw in the afternoon. Wind waves nw 3 ft at 6 seconds. SWell nw 3 to 4 ft at 11 seconds. Sat night - N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves nw 4 ft at 6 seconds. SWell W 2 to 3 ft at 10 seconds. Sun - N wind 15 kt - .rising to 25 kt in the evening, then - . Easing to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves N 4 ft at 6 seconds. SWell W 2 to 3 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds. Mon - N wind 20 kt - .rising to 25 kt. Wind waves N 6 ft at 7 seconds. SWell nw 3 to 4 ft at 13 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.

PZZ300 218 Pm Pdt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - A thermal trough is resulting in moderate to strong north winds and very steep seas today and tonight. Winds will be strongest and seas highest for the waters south of cape blanco. The thermal trough will weaken Thursday and Thursday night, but lingering steep to very steep seas and gusty winds are expected. Lighter winds and seas expected Friday into the weekend.

FXUS66 KMFR 082333 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 433 PM PDT Wed May 8 2024

Updated AVIATION Section

SHORT TERM
through Saturday night...Aside from some fair weather cumulus over eastern Lake County, skies are clear across the region. Temperatures are running about 5 to 10 degrees warmer than this time yesterday, and this is the start of a sharp warming trend expected through the weekend. Today is a transition day as the pattern changes from a cool, showery spring pattern to one that is very common during the summer. High pressure aloft is strengthening over the eastern Pacific and will gradually nudge inland over the Pacific Northwest tonight into the weekend.
Meanwhile, at the surface, a thermal trough is strengthening along the coast, bringing gusty north to northeast winds across the region. These two features will be the dominant weather drivers through much of the weekend before the upper level ridge briefly weakens late weekend into early next week.

After a day of near normal temperatures today, afternoon highs will jump by another 10 to 15 degrees on Thursday as upper level ridging extends north and east into the Pacific Northwest. Additionally, with the thermal trough lingering through the remainder of the week and into the weekend, expect east to northeast winds to persist. The upper level trough that passed over the area earlier in the week will retrograde, moving back to the west and setting up over the Great Basin, just south of the ridge, creating east winds aloft that will enhance and align with the east winds at the surface. All of this will result in very warm temperatures through the end of the week and into the first part of the weekend. As a result, a strong Chetco effect is forecast for the southern coast near Brookings.

The Chetco Effect will peak on Thursday, with highs in Brookings expected to reach the 80s (and a few models even suggest 90 degrees is possible) Thursday afternoon and perhaps Friday as well. When the thermal moves inland on Friday into Saturday, the south coast will begin to cool as the marine layer regains control, while temperatures for most inland areas will reach their warmest Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon. Friday afternoon looks to be the hottest places like North Bend and Roseburg. The upper level high will take a west/east orientation and this pattern typically results in hot temperatures for those locations with slightly cooler temperatures elsewhere.

Another hot day is expected Saturday as the thermal trough shifts farther inland, though temperatures along the coast will cool by several degrees. High temperatures over the next few days will be more in line with early July than early May, with highs 10 to 20 degrees above normal for this time of year.

Heat Risk values do show some moderate impacts possible for those sensitive to heat both Friday and Saturday for valleys west of the Cascades. We aren't too far from when the typical first 90 degree day of the year occurs in Medford (May 20th), and we do expect temperatures to adequately cool during the overnight hours, so any impacts should be brief. It should be noted though that this is the first sharp warm up of the year and most of us aren't acclimated to these temperatures. So take it easy if working/recreating outdoors over the next few days. If you plan to seek relief in the area's waterways, remember that these water sources are fed by snowmelt and the water is COLD. Wear a life jacket and take frequent breaks from the cold water to warm up. Don't forget about pets...they need shade and water too, and please please never leave children unattended in a closed vehicle!! /BR-y

LONG TERM
(Sunday through Wednesday)...Dry and warm weather is expected to continue through the forecast period. The one day that may be in question will be Sunday afternoon and early evening for portions of northern Cal. Sunday, very weak upper troughing will set up over the area. The forcing is pretty weak. The operational GFS shows a stronger trigger which could be enough to warrant a slight chance of thunderstorms in northern California mid to late Sunday afternoon and early Sunday evening. However, the majority of the individual GFS ensemble members don't show anything.
The troughing while weak is a little more pronounced in the operational ECMWF, but there is no trigger. The ECMWF individual ensembles show several members hint at something. Therefore we'll keep a light chance of storms in for Sunday afternoon and early Sunday evening.

Monday, a drier stable northwest flow sets up with the mean ridge west of the forecast area. There could be some building cumulus around and east of Mount Shasta Monday afternoon and evening, but mid level moisture is lacking and the pattern is not one which is favorable for thunderstorms. The pressure gradient will be tighter resulting in gusty afternoon and early evening breezes east of the Cascades and Modoc County. The thermal trough will be along the coast in the morning with breezy east winds at the mid slopes and ridges for the coastal mountains in southwest Oregon.

Tuesday through Wednesday will be dry, with the ridge centered offshore. Temperatures will still be above normal, but not as warm as what we are expecting later this week into this weekend.
-Petrucelli

AVIATION
09/00Z TAFs...Expect VFR to prevail through Thursday.
Gusty north to northeast winds will occur this evening, gusting up to 20 to 25 kt inland and around 30 kt at North Bend, easing during the mid-late evening. Expect gusty NNE breezes again Thursday afternoon, but slightly lower than today, generally in the 15-25 kt range. -Spilde

MARINE
Updated 200 PM Wednesday, May 8, 2024...A strong thermal trough will persist through tonight. This will result in moderate to strong winds, with winds strongest south of Cape Blanco with gales and very steep seas. Winds will increase north of Cape Blanco later this afternoon into tonight. Wind speeds should remain on the high end of Small Craft, however very steep wind driven seas will result in Hazardous Seas Warning conditions for the all of the northern waters. The thermal trough will weaken Thursday and Thursday night, but lingering gusty winds and steep to very steep seas are expected. Lighter winds and seas expected Friday into the weekend. -CC

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Gale Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 2 PM PDT Thursday for PZZ350- 356-370.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ350-370.

Hazardous Seas Warning from 5 AM to 2 PM PDT Thursday for PZZ376.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Wedderburn
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:02 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:07 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:54 AM PDT     -1.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:21 PM PDT     5.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:37 PM PDT     1.94 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:47 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon, Tide feet

Brookings
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:03 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:08 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:42 AM PDT     -1.87 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:13 PM PDT     5.80 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:25 PM PDT     2.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:45 PM PDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Medford, OR,