Sunday, January16, 2022
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Oneonta, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 4:54PM Sunday January 16, 2022 5:03 AM EST (10:03 UTC) Moonrise 3:32PMMoonset 6:46AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oneonta, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.42, -75.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBGM 160616 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 116 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. Below zero temperatures are expected again tonight. A strong winter storm will bring accumulating snow and an icy mix to the area Sunday night and Monday, with the heaviest snowfall likely to be focused over the western half of New York. Accumulating lake effect snow will follow on Tuesday. A clipper system will bring another chance for light rain and snow to the area mid- week, with Arctic air returning late in the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. Some minor adjustments to the temperatures and sky cover this evening and through the overnight. Forecast discussion below on track.

330 PM update . Main concerns in the near term are focused on the cold temperatures expected tonight and below zero wind chills.

Very quiet weather expected the rest of this evening and tonight with a large dome of high pressure expected to settle in directly overhead. The presence of this high will allow for mostly clear skies again tonight and strong radiational cooling. Temperatures will be able to efficiently drop down below zero once again. However, the difference tonight will be the lack of wind which will keep wind chill values warmer than last night. A good portion of central NY is expected to see wind chills 0 to -10 deg F, however where winds increase from calm up to 5 mph, wind chills could briefly drop into the negative teens at times.

Will hold off on a Wind Chill Advisory at this time and advertise the cold wind chills with a Special Weather Statement through the night.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/. 330 PM update . The focus on Sunday then turns to the incoming winter storm expected to impact the region late Sunday through the day Monday with heavy snow to the west of I-81, periods of sleet and freezing rain along with accumulating snow along and east of I-81.

A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Steuben and Yates Counties in NY due to the higher confidence of heavy snow in that area. A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for the rest of central NY and most of ne PA. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Luzerne County PA due to the higher confidence of a quick 3 to 5 inches of snow Sunday evening before a change to a mix and then to mostly rain in the valley early Monday morning.

The synoptic pattern remains complex Sunday and Monday as a cutoff low over the Southeast US interacts with an incoming upper short wave over the Upper Midwest that will quickly drop southeast across the Ohio Valley Sunday morning. The interaction of these two features will be the determining factor in the track of the associated surface low and the entire system. The cutoff low is expected to fold back into the short wave and pull it slightly to the west. A warm front on the northern side of the system will usher in the initial round of precipitation with the air mass cold enough for all snow on the front end with temperatures starting out in the 20s Sunday evening. Strong forcing aloft and a weak band of mid level f-gen on the nwrn side of the low will combine with a strong influx of moisture from the Atlantic to produce a period of steady snow before midnight. Could see an initial 2 to 5 inches with this first round.

This initial band of snow is expected to become oriented sw-ne across wrn NY and impact portions of the central southern tier and the wrn Finger Lakes into the overnight hours. An additional 2 to 4 inches is possible overnight. At the same time, a nose of warm air is expected to push in from the southeast, which would act to change the snow over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain, and eventually all rain for parts of the Wyoming Valley and the lower elevations of ne PA . for at least a brief period of time.

The challenge with this storm system is the duration, intensity and location of this warm nose. There has recently been some concern that the warm wedge will work farther to the west than previously anticipated. The guidance has calmed down in that area (except for a few models), and is keeping the push of the warm air mainly east of Binghamton. The uncertainty with this warm nose is what has lead to the continuation of the Winter Storm Watch for most of the area. If this nose stays to the east and is relatively fleeting, then the impacts from ice (including keeping snow totals down) will be limited. However, if this warm wedge is stronger and lasts longer than anticipated there could be a lot less snow and more mix of sleet and freezing rain. We are hoping one more round of deterministic model guidance will allow for slightly better agreement about these thermal profiles before going Warning or Advisory.

Another feature with this system as it evolves early Monday morning will be the development of a dry slot over ne PA and into the I-81 corridor, combined with the formation of a precip shadow that will occur due to downsloping from the strong southeast winds off the Catskills and Poconos. This feature will likely limit the amount of precipitation during the Monday morning hours. Total snow amounts will range from 9 to 12 inches in the Warning area. There is greater uncertainty in the Watch area where 5 to 9 inches is possible. The lower end of the spectrum will be impacted by the addition of mixed precipitation.

The strong southeast winds will need to be watched closely as well, with the combination of the icy conditions and winds up to 40 mph possibly causing scattered power outages.

The system wraps up and begins to lift n/newd out of the area during the day Monday with precipitation ending south to north through the afternoon. As this occurs though, the cold air will wrap around the backside across nrn PA into s-central NY and change the mixed precipitation back over to all snow by the late afternoon. There will also be a shift of the winds to the w/nw and an increase as well up to 30 to 40 mph. Blowing and drifting snow will be likely, especially in the areas that see mostly snow with this system.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. Lake enhanced snow showers will linger across the CWA as the storm system continues to lift to the NE and one final ripple of energy pushes through the area. NW flow will fill in behind the departing low, advecting in 8850mb temps that will drop to -18C by early afternoon. This will allow for lake effect snow showers to set up across the northern Finger Lakes, Wyoming Valley and into Oneida county. Current wind fields show some upstream lake enhancement from the Georgian Bay, so lake effect bands could reach into Otsego and Chenango Counties. The best chance for lake effect across this area will be Monday night into early Tuesday afternoon. High pressure begins to build in Tuesday afternoon from the Great Lakes, injecting dry air and disturbing the NW flow which will allow for lake effect showers to weaken as the afternoon progresses, completely dissipating by Monday evening. Currently, an additional 3-5 inches of lake effect snow is possible from Monday night into Tuesday evening. Given the characteristics of lake effect snow, snowfall will be relegated to where these bands set up, with smaller amounts across the rest of the area mentioned above.

Weak high pressure builds in from the west, but quickly transits the area ahead of the next clipper system moving in from the Great Lakes. Snow showers should begin Wednesday night, with the northern counties having the best chance for snow showers. Warm air advection ahead of the incoming cold front should allow for a rain/snow mix to occur during afternoon PoPs across the western Mohawk Valley, Finger Lakes and Twin Tiers.

Overnight lows Tuesday will be in the mid teens across the area with single digits across northern Oneida county. CAA throughout the day will keep highs across the CWA in the upper teens to low 20s with the Wyoming valley getting into the mid-20s. High pressure building in will bring a SE flow and WAA beginning Tuesday night. Overnight lows will occur around midnight before slowly increasing the rest of the night. Highs Wednesday will reach into to low to mid 30s across the area.

A cold front will push through Wednesday evening, bringing in another round of lake effect snow to the northern counties that will last into Friday. Location of these showers is highly variable and will come into focus later this week. Another blast of arctic air will follow the cold front, with another round of lows in the single digits into the weekend.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Clear skies and light winds will last through about midday, with high and mid clouds increasing in the afternoon, as winds shift to the southeast. Conditions will rapidly deteriorate from south to north, with VFR prevailing through about 23Z at AVP, and around 02Z (1/17) at SYR. After that it's a quick descent into MVFR and IFR, with visibility in snow the main driver of conditions initially. Ceilings will run a little higher at AVP given downsloping easterly flow, and the worst visby will likely be between 02Z and 05Z, after which snow will begin mixing with sleet and freezing rain. The mixed precip will start working into BGM after 05Z.

Strong low level wind shear will also develop after 00Z at all TAF sites.

Outlook .

Monday . Restrictions likely in snow then snow showers in the afternoon. Wintry mix or rain in the morning at KBGM and KAVP. Strong northwest wind gusts by the afternoon.

Monday night through Tuesday . Restrictions possible at the Central NY terminals due to lake effect snow showers and clouds.

Wednesday . Restrictions in scattered rain and snow showers, especially NY.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . Winter Storm Watch from this afternoon through Monday afternoon for PAZ038>040-043-044-048-072. Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EST Monday for PAZ047. NY . Winter Storm Watch from this afternoon through Monday afternoon for NYZ009-016>018-023>025-036-037-044>046- 055>057-062. Winter Storm Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EST Monday for NYZ015-022.

SYNOPSIS . BJT NEAR TERM . BJT/MWG SHORT TERM . BJT LONG TERM . JTC AVIATION . MPH/MWG


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 68 mi94 min 0 1°F 1031 hPa-7°F

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY49 mi71 minVar 510.00 miFair-6°F-11°F78%1028.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGM

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
Last 24 hrN11
G21
N9N14
G23
N15
G23
N11
G18
N12N11N11N8N9
G18
N11NW7NW6NW7NW6NW5000NE45E45E4
1 day agoN13N14N15N17
G22
N11N17N12
G20
N14
G21
N14N19NW15
G22
N12
G20
NW13
G21
N18
G25
N19
G25
N15
G25
N14
G25
N11N15
G24
NW11N9NW12
G19
NW15
G21
N15
G24
2 days agoSW500S3S5SW6SW6S4SE3SW6S5S5S6SW3SW4SW4SW30N3NW3N8N7N8N13

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tivoli
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:50 AM EST     3.22 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:40 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:55 AM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:20 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:59 PM EST     4.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:28 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:50 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:47 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3.1
1
am
3.2
2
am
2.9
3
am
2.2
4
am
1.5
5
am
0.8
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.2
8
am
0.6
9
am
1.5
10
am
2.5
11
am
3.3
12
pm
3.8
1
pm
4
2
pm
3.8
3
pm
3.1
4
pm
2.3
5
pm
1.5
6
pm
0.7
7
pm
0.1
8
pm
-0
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
1.3
11
pm
2.1


Tide / Current Tables for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Catskill
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:41 AM EST     3.15 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:41 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:49 AM EST     0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:50 PM EST     3.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:49 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 08:41 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Catskill, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
2.6
1
am
3
2
am
3.1
3
am
2.8
4
am
2.1
5
am
1.4
6
am
0.8
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.2
9
am
0.6
10
am
1.6
11
am
2.6
12
pm
3.3
1
pm
3.8
2
pm
3.9
3
pm
3.6
4
pm
3
5
pm
2.1
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
-0
10
pm
0.5
11
pm
1.4


Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.