Tuesday, November30, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Coopers, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 4:29PM Tuesday November 30, 2021 8:38 PM EST (01:38 UTC) Moonrise 2:22AMMoonset 2:22PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Coopers, NY
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location: 42.74, -75     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 010016 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 716 PM EST Tue Nov 30 2021

SYNOPSIS. Another round of snow showers and lake effect snow tonight, then Wednesday turns dry. Light snow moves back in Wednesday night before changing to rain into Thursday. On and off snow chances continue through the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/.

Only minor changes to the forecast discussed below.

Another trough is digging into southern Ontario with a cold front. This has touched off another round of light snow showers mainly north of the PA border. Behind the front, a shift back to wester/northwesterly flow will keep in chances for snow downwind of Lake Ontario. Some higher snowfall rates near an inch per hour are possible through around midnight, and gusty northwest winds may contribute to some blowing snow and drops in visibility. As for tonight, totals around 2 to 3 inches, and possibly even closer to 4 inches in far northwestern Oneida county, are possible. This does put us near advisory criteria, but especially with this being an overnight event, will continue to simply highlight this in the HWO instead of issuing a headline.

We cannot rule out some lingering lake effect flurries or snow showers through the morning, but a lack of moisture indicated by model soundings should help to cut down on additional accumulations. Additional totals Wednesday morning should be well below an inch, then snow showers largely taper off into the afternoon with a brief dry period and some more breaks in the clouds. Expect temperatures, starting in the 20s, to peak in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

A second shortwave trough and attendant weak surface cold front will bring some snow showers to the northern areas this evening, eventually evolving into lake effect snow showers east of Lake Ontario later tonight, behind the front. Wind vectors look to favor areas of the Tug Hill just north of Oneida County overnight, and wind shear will keep the lake effect showery and poorly defined. Some parts of NW Oneida County could see 2 to just under 4 inches of snow by Wednesday morning. Decided to forgo advisories for the time being, given the limiting factors and low-end nature of the event, at least within Oneida County.

Wednesday evening, a trough begins to dig into the Midwest. A warm front associated with this begins to lift into the region, touching off our next chances for some light precipitation overnight. However, with dry midlevels initially and warm air advection aloft, we may see a bit of freezing rain/freezing drizzle mixing in with snow before a gradual change over to rain for the second half of the night. Some patchy ice accumulations are possible, especially in any sheltered, cooler spots among the Catskills and Poconos. Otherwise, some light snow accumulations are possible as well, generally below an inch and mainly east of I-81. However, totals nearer to an inch are possible over northern Oneida county. Otherwise, expect a non- diurnal temperature trend Wednesday night as we achieve overnight lows in the 20s quite early in the night, then temperatures gradually rise through the pre-dawn hours.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. 300 PM Update .

Southwest flow will bring warmer air into the region on Thursday. Being in the warm sector with the low pressure system to our north, rain showers are expected throughout the day on Thursday. Strong 850mb flow and a tightening pressure gradient will result in some gusty winds as gusts could near 30 mph. Gusts for the daytime hours were bumped up from guidance by blending in the NBM 90th percentile. The warmest temperatures of the week are also expected with highs easily into the 40s and even low 50s in the valleys. Rain showers will continue through the overnight hours, though the highest chances will be across CNY with NEPA and Catskills drying out. A cold front will pass through the region late Thursday night and early Friday morning. Snow begins to mix in with the rain showers as cooler air moves in. Lows on Thursday nigh will fall into the 20s and 30s.

By sunrise on Friday morning, the dominate ptype will be snow, though the precipitation continues to taper off across CNY. Northwesterly flow will support the chance for some light lake effect snow showers across the Finger Lakes, Western Mohawk Valley, and the Tug Hill Plateau during the day. Weak high pressure moves in late in the day during the afternoon, which will bring an end to the snow showers. Snow accumulations should be light with most receiving less than an inch. Temperatures Friday will be in the mid and upper 30s with some valley locations in low 40s. Winds will remain blustery as well during the day with gusts over 20 mph possible. Winds are expected to become calmer by Friday night. A brief dry period is expected Friday night with drier air moving in and the weak high pressure in place. This will clear the skies some, but partly cloudy skies will be present. Low temps will range from the upper teens to upper 20s.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. 300 PM Update .

A weak low pressure will dip down from Ontario and sweep across the region. This system will bring some snow showers across CNY but is not expected to extend south into NEPA. Though some solutions like the Canadian do bring the system a little farther south, so the PA Northern Tier could see some flurries as well. After this systems passes through, there is the possibility for some lake effect snow showers late Saturday night and into Sunday morning. Otherwise, high pressure will bring a break dry conditons and a break from the precipitation. Looking ahead to early next week, models are indicating that a strong low pressure system will move across the Central US and into our region. There is quite a bit of uncertainty with the overall track and intensity. A more northern track would give us a nice warm up and rain showers before transitioning to snow when the cold front passes through. A more southern track would result in cooler temps, blustery winds, and more snow. This forecast uses the National Blend of Models (NBM) which does have temps near 40, but snow will be dominate across CNY with rain showers possible in NEPA during the afternoon. Certainly a system to watch in the upcoming days.

Temperatures during this period will be in the 30s and 40s during the day with a warm up possible on Monday. Overnight temps will be in the teens and 20s.

AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A weak wave will finish lifting northeast through KSYR-KRME this evening, followed by lake effect snow showers still impacting KRME for much of the overnight with fuel alternate required to IFR restrictions. Elsewhere moisture will be shallow enough for generally dry conditions with only minor MVFR to even VFR ceilings. KSYR should join the other terminals at VFR for the remainder of the TAF period by 12Z Wednesday, but MVFR ceiling around 3 kft agl is more likely to still linger at KRME for much of the day. Initial light southwest wind will veer more westerly late tonight through mid afternoon Wednesday with occasional gusts of 12-16 knots, then diminishing while backing more southwesterly late in the day.

Outlook . Wednesday night through Thursday . Warm front with restrictions and light mixed precipitation Wednesday night-early Thursday, changing to all rain. Southwesterly low level wind shear possible for a time; best chance KAVP.

Thursday night through early Sunday . Additional chances for on and off snow showers/associated restrictions as weak disturbances pass with lake effect for mainly the NY terminals.

Late Sunday through Sunday night . Approaching low pressure system brings increasing chance of snow/rain with restrictions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . HLC NEAR TERM . HLC/MWG SHORT TERM . BTL LONG TERM . BTL AVIATION . MDP


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 76 mi68 min 0 36°F 1012 hPa30°F
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 94 mi50 min S 9.9G14 35°F 1010 hPa31°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY40 mi45 minE 56.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist33°F31°F92%1011.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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This day00--E30----SE4E4E4--E3E4E5SE4E3E30SE3000E4E5
1 day agoE4000NW30W30NW4NE300NW4NW40W7W12NW13W12W12W7NW500
2 days ago00NW500SE30E4E6E6E4E4E5E5SE5E6E4E8SE5E5E5E5E4E3

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Tue -- 12:46 AM EST     4.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:43 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:30 PM EST     4.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:16 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:22 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:15 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:29 AM EST     4.34 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:17 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:14 AM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:13 PM EST     4.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:17 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 04:23 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:46 PM EST     0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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