Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 4:15 AM   Moonset 7:02 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

LOZ044 Expires:202405070315;;749967 Fzus51 Kbuf 062329 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 729 pm edt Mon may 6 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-070315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 729 pm edt Mon may 6 2024
Tonight - West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly cloudy this evening, then becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday night - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less. Wednesday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast less than 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. Thursday - Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots. Showers. Waves 2 feet or less building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. Friday - Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 15 knots. Showers during the day, then a chance of showers Friday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. Saturday - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
the water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.

LOZ005
No data

FXUS61 KBGM 070009 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 809 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds into the region tonight, bringing beautiful weather conditions through Tuesday evening. An active weather pattern returns Tuesday night through the weekend, with chances for precipitation every day.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
640 PM Update...

No significant changes to the forecast with this update. The high level clouds are still progged to clear from NW to SE after midnight and into the early predawn hours Tuesday. This will allow for good radiational cooling and perhaps some patchy fog along the immediate river valleys. Overnight lows were lowered a touch in the normally colder locations...with Cortland, Norwich and Morrisville area possibly reaching the upper 30s by daybreak. Tuesday still looks like a phenomenal May day; with ample sunshine all day and highs well into the 70s with low humidity and light winds. A few valley locations could reach the lower 80s with the full sunshine expected to boost temperatures here...especially Chemung Valley, Binghamton metro area and Wyoming valley region.

330 PM Update...

Low clouds have cleared out of the area, with high level cirrus and some fair weather cumulus clouds popping up south of the Finger Lakes. A few isolated showers will be possible over the Wyoming Valley and Poconos this afternoon. Temperatures have climbed into the mid 60s to low 70s, which is what was expected.

Tonight, a surface high moving into the region tonight will bring clear skies, calm winds and dry conditions to the region.
Radiational cooling will develop, dropping temperatures into the low to mid 40s across the region. Models are showing very dry dewpoints sinking in from the north, with values in the mid to upper 30s. None of the ensembles were showing temperatures dropping below 40 so frost chances in the Finger Lakes growing zones is very low. We will monitor this as the afternoon and evening progresses. Some valley fog will be possible tonight with radiational cooling and clear skies. The dry surface air should limit this, but with leaves sprouting on the trees and evapotranspiration occurring, fog cannot be ruled out.

Tuesday will be a wonderful spring day, with high pressure overhead and temperatures in the 70s across the region. Sunny skies will persist into the afternoon hours before clouds move overhead from the SW ahead of an approaching warm front. NW flow from the high shifts to SW during the evening hours as a warm front approaches from the SW. Showers along this front will have to battle dry air in place from the high, limiting rainfall chances before midnight. After midnight, the center of the low moves into the region and rain showers span the CWA
There is some weak elevated instability modeled along and behind the front so a few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out, but severe weather is not expected. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s , with some upper 40s over the Tug Hill and northern Catskills.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A warm front will push through the area Wednesday morning. The best lift and moisture should translate north and east of our region. However, enough lift and moisture near the boundary look to be present for a few showers and thunderstorms. The environment looks highly sheared with some instability as well.
A fairly impressive wedge of mid-level dry air and steep low level lapse rates could factor in with wind and hail potential.
So while coverage looks lackluster what develops could become strong to perhaps severe. Wednesday should be the warmest day well into the 70's. After the cold frontal passage Wednesday enough of a colder airmass should advect in for lows to fall to around 50.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A very active pattern continues with another low pressure system moving through with a broad trough in place. Widespread rain looks to develop ahead of a warm front during the day Thursday than taper off to showers as the main low pressure system moves through Friday. Yet another system with some showers then follows for the weekend. Cooler with highs in the 50's and 60's and lows in the 40's.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/

VFR conditions are expected this evening and overnight for much of the region as high pressure begins to build into the region. With clear skies and calm winds settling in, radiational cooling is going to develop across much of NY. Important to note, clouds are a bit slower to move out than previously forecasted, skies are now not expected to clear out until 06Z. This could impact how much temperatures drop tonight with a shorter window of radiational cooling.

The big forecast challenge for tonight is the possibility of radiation fog developing. While guidance is not showing temps falling down to dewpoints, reliable aviation guidance still hints at the possibility of fog developing at RME/ELM/ITH/BGM. This means that there is a chance dewpoints do not fall as much as currently forecast. If that occurs, fog formation and IFR chances will be much higher than currently forecast. Given the chance for fog formation at the airports mentioned above, TEMPO MVFR visby was included for late tonight as confidence in IFR conditions is way too low.

If fog does not form, VFR conditions will be present through the TAF period. If it does form, VFR conditions at the aforementioned terminals will return mid morning through the afternoon.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Tuesday evening...Mainly VFR expected.

Tuesday overnight into Wednesday morning....Restrictions likely with a period of rain showers along a warm front.

Wednesday afternoon and night...Mainly VFR; except lingering MVFR possible at RME & perhaps SYR.

Thursday through Friday... Periods of showers with some restrictions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Albany
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:04 AM EDT     5.75 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:48 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:31 PM EDT     5.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:33 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:00 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Albany, New York, Tide feet

Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:47 AM EDT     5.55 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:19 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:14 PM EDT     4.90 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:33 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:31 PM EDT     0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Binghamton, NY,