Monday, October18, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Buffalo, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:31AMSunset 6:29PM Monday October 18, 2021 4:41 PM EDT (20:41 UTC) Moonrise 5:02PMMoonset 4:16AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ020 Upper Niagara River And Buffalo Harbor- 145 Pm Edt Mon Oct 18 2021
This afternoon..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers early.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mainly clear.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Sunny.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Mainly clear.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Wednesday night.
Thursday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots. Showers.
Friday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mostly cloudy. The water temperature off buffalo is 62 degrees.
LEZ020 Expires:202110182115;;887245 FZUS51 KBUF 181745 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 145 PM EDT Mon Oct 18 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-182115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buffalo, NY
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location: 42.85, -79.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 181904 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 304 PM EDT Mon Oct 18 2021

SYNOPSIS. Lingering showers south and east of lake Ontario will end tonight. Warmer and drier weather returns Tuesday and Wednesday before a cold front brings widespread showers Thursday. This will be followed by cooler weather for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A few broken bands of showers still continuing south of Lake Ontario this afternoon on the backside side of departing upper trough. This northwest flow activity will continue to weaken into tonight as lake induced equilibrium levels continue to lower and drier air starts to work into the area from the west. Surface high pressure will build towards our region tonight from the Ohio Valley. Subsidence and drier air associated with this feature will bring clearing skies, especially across western New York. With clearing skies along with lightening winds, river valley fog in the Southern Tier is likely.

Surface high pressure will move from the Ohio Valley to the Carolina coast Tuesday into Wednesday. This will provide a period of fair dry weather along with a warming trend with temperatures rebounding back into the 60s with even a few lower 70s possible.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Closed mid level circulation ejecting across the central CONUS still forecast to move into the Great Lakes Wednesday night and Thursday. Chances for showers will start to increase late Wednesday night and especially Thursday into Thursday evening, initially tied to a lead corridor of higher moisture followed by a combination of cold frontal dynamics and increasing height falls, then potentially some lake enhancement on a cooling westerly flow.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A cold front will exit the region to the east Friday morning. A northerly flow will move into the region as showers continue through the day. An upper level trough will move overhead and cold air aloft will move into the region. Temperatures at 850mb will fall below 0C and lake induced instability will produce clouds and rain downwind of the lakes. Multiple shortwave troughs and fronts will move through the region through the weekend. The low-level wind will be changing, making it hard to pinpoint lake band placement. A combination of lake effect showers and synoptically forced showers are possible through weekend.

A second cold front may move across the region Sunday-Monday bringing even colder temperatures to the region. Showers will continue with the potential for some wet snowflakes across the higher terrain.

Cool temperatures next weekend with highs in the low to mid 50s. Low temperatures will average the mid to upper 30s at the higher terrain to the low to mid 40s across the Lake Plains.

AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Mainly VFR flight conditions will prevail into this evening. Some cigs may briefly go below 3k feet through this evening. Scattered showers will lingering into this evening south and east of Lake Ontario. Surface northwest winds to near 25 knots as times this afternoon will diminish this evening.

Surface high pressure will push towards our region tonight, with mainly VFR flight conditions. Some river valley fog (IFR) is possible across the Southern Tier, including nearing the KJHW terminal late tonight.

High pressure centered over the Ohio valley will provide VFR weather Tuesday.

Outlook .

Wednesday . VFR. Thursday . Restrictions likely with periods of showers. Friday and Saturday . VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers.

MARINE. West to northwest winds will maintain small craft conditions on Lake Ontario through tonight.

Surface high pressure will slide from the Ohio Valley to near the Carolina coast Tuesday through Wednesday. A gradient on the northern side of this surface high over Lake Ontario will bring a westerly flow Tuesday into Wednesday, likely continuing small craft conditions on this lake through mid-week, possibly on Lake Erie.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Wednesday for LOZ043-044. Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for LOZ042.



SYNOPSIS . TMA NEAR TERM . TMA SHORT TERM . TMA LONG TERM . HSK AVIATION . TMA MARINE . Thomas/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 9 mi53 min NW 11G12 53°F 64°F1014.7 hPa41°F
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 11 mi53 min 55°F 1015 hPa
45142 - Port Colborne 15 mi41 min NW 14G19 57°F 64°F1016.1 hPa (-0.1)
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 16 mi53 min 53°F 1014.7 hPa
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 29 mi41 min NW 13G18 56°F 1016.5 hPa (-0.3)
45139 - West Lake Ontario - Grimsby 38 mi41 min NW 12G16 58°F 62°F1 ft1015.9 hPa (-0.5)
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 38 mi41 min NW 23G28 54°F 1015.9 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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W17
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G16
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G21
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N5
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G14
NE8
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E5
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NE4
SW2
G10
NW1
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G6
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G17
SW12
G15
NW9
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G17
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G20
W16
W13
G17
W17
G22

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY18 mi47 minWNW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F40°F61%1016.4 hPa
Niagara Falls, Niagara Falls International Airport, NY19 mi48 minWNW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F41°F62%1016.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBUF

Wind History from BUF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW16
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W18
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SW6W10W10W8W9W12NW9W8W7W8W5NW7W5W7W8W8NW7NW10
G18
NW13NW13NW11W8
1 day agoW12
G18
W8W8W13W12
G18
W12
G18
W9W12W9NW13
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W8W7W7W6W7W11W14
G21
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2 days agoNE64NE11E60S4SW3S3S6SW5SW11SW7NW10NW7NW8W8NW3W8W10W11W15
G22
W15
G22
W8NW13
G21

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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