Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 4:46 AM   Moonset 8:25 PM

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LOZ044 Expires:202405082115;;846645 Fzus51 Kbuf 081408 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 1008 am edt Wed may 8 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-082115- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 1008 am edt Wed may 8 2024
This afternoon - West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Tonight - West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Thursday - North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet. Thursday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Friday - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Saturday - Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. Sunday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 46 degrees.

LOZ005
No data

FXUS61 KBGM 081845 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 245 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

SYNOPSIS
An isolated thunderstorm or two is possible this afternoon and evening across the NY Thruway but most of the region will be warm and breezy with dry conditions. A cold front moves in tonight that will mark the beginning of a cooler pattern with frequent chances of rain showers into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
225 PM Update...

Dry air has really mixed into the boundary layer this morning that has reduced the chances of storms this afternoon and evening. A bit of surface convergence across the NY Thruway has been able to generate a bit more in the way of agitated cumulus as well as a couple of developing showers. Right now with the high shear, the storms move out of our area before they deepen into thunderstorms and it is likely that will persist into the early evening. A cold front is dropping south through the Great Lakes but the timing of its arrival will be after the better moisture and forcing leaves the region with low chances of precipitation mainly north of I90.

Tomorrow is looking much cooler with northerly flow advecting in cooler 850 mb temperatures. As the upper level trough slowly drops south through the day, a 500 mb shortwave and associated surface low moves through the mid Atlantic increasing chances of rain mainly in NEPA with CNY staying dry before sunset.
Tomorrow night, an inverted trough sets up with light rain overspreading the region. QPF amounts are looking light, largely staying under half an inch and the rain rates will also be light, likely staying below a 10th of an inch per hour.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
240 PM Update:

Friday will be the coldest day of the week as a shortwave trough moves into the region, towing in a cold air mass with it.
General rain showers can be expected for Friday, with high temperatures in the low-50s. Going into the weekend, the shortwave trough continues moving east into the region, with rain showers expected and chances of afternoon thunderstorms possible.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
240 PM Update:

After the aforementioned shortwave trough pushes east and out of the region Sunday night, we'll see a slight warming trend heading into the first half of the week, with temperatures potentially in the low to mid 70s by Wednesday. Conditions will be showery through the week, with chances for thunderstorms during the late afternoon into evening hours.

AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Dry air has moved in with VFR conditions at all terminals. A few showers are trying to develop around RME and SYR and will be monitored but most of the storms will stay to the east. Tonight, a cold front moves through with cigs falling back down to MVFR cor CNY terminals. ITH and SYR have the best chance at seeing IFR cigs briefly early in the morning. Cigs will begin to rise and scatter out later in the morning into the early afternoon.

Outlook...

Thursday afternoon...VFR

Thursday Night through Monday...Periods of showers with some restrictions as multiple disturbances pass through the region.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

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