Thursday, September23, 2021
Privacy Policy
L-36.com

Marine Weather and Tides
Wells, VT

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 6:48PM Thursday September 23, 2021 1:42 PM EDT (17:42 UTC) Moonrise 8:15PMMoonset 9:13AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wells, VT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.43, -73.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBTV 231727 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 127 PM EDT Thu Sep 23 2021

SYNOPSIS. Above normal temperatures and occasionally breezy conditions will prevail while we remain sandwiched between a broad low pressure system to our west with strong high pressure just off the Atlantic Coast. Light showers are possible today, mainly over northern New York. This evening into tonight, the front will move through accompanied by a line of moderate to locally heavy rain showers. Once the front moves east, a showery, but more seasonable pattern will unfold for the new week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 1232 PM EDT Thursday . The timing of the occluded front has been nudged up just a bit, based on present radar data. There's also several showers in rows to our south reminiscent of trade wind showers down in the tropics. None of those are reaching our forecast area, but it's an interesting thing to observe. Looking at upstream observations, the forecast looks like it's in excellent shape. Made minor tweaks to the next 24 hours forecast to fine tune ahead of the TAFs. We are observing widespread 15 to 30 mph gusts, and that will likely continue up until the front's crossing. We have reached 84 at BTV, and with that, had nudged the forecast up to 85 earlier. Perhaps we may see it get somewhat warmer still. Have a great day!

Previous discussion . (4 AM) . A deep plume of tropical air will continue to stream northward into our forecast area ahead of a cut off low to our west. A few showers are expected this morning on the western edge of our forecast area . mainly over the Saint Lawrence Valley . but elsewhere expecting a mainly dry morning as the plume of moisture retrogrades to our west this morning. Despite 850 mb southerly flow at 35 to 45 knots early this morning, surface winds will remain generally under 10 knots in lower elevations before sunrise. Between 6 and 8 AM this morning however, expecting breezy winds to increase at the surface as the boundary layer starts to mix out after sunrise. Should see southerly winds 10-20 mph with some occasional gusts up to 30 mph for the remainder of the day today. Temperatures today will be very warm for late September owing to the strong southerly flow. Expecting to top out a degree or two warmer in many locations that yesterday's highs. Look for highs in the lower 80s for the Champlain Valley, northern slopes of the Adirondacks, and the Saint Lawrence Valley. These locations will feel the brunt of the warm air advection and will also see some localized downslope warming especially north of the Adirondacks. Elsewhere, expect highs today in the 70s.

Tonight, the vertically stacked low to our west will finally lift northward from Michigan and into eastern Canada. The system will send a front eastward through our forecast area, bringing a round of moderate to locally heavy rain showers. Rain is expected to arrive in the St. Lawrence Valley late this evening, reach the Adirondacks around midnight tonight, the Champlain Valley around 5-8 AM Friday, the Green Mountains around 7 AM-10 AM Friday, eastern Vermont around 10 AM to noon Friday, the Northeast Kingdom around noon Friday, and then finally exit to the east late Friday afternoon. This timing does reflect a slightly faster shift from the guidance in the frontal passage, but overall forecast thinking remains the same. Several factors lining up to support some moderate to locally heavy rainfall including favorable upper level jet placement, ample moisture advection with high PW values (1-2 standard deviations above climatological norms), and boundary parallel flow that may support some training/backbuilding of cells. However, the earlier timing of the frontal passage will limit instability, which will limit rainfall rates. Overall expecting 0.5 to 1 inch of rain in lower elevations, and 0.75 to 1.5 inches of rain in higher elevations where a southeasterly LLJ will favor some enhancement to the rain showers over southern and eastern slopes of higher terrain. This expected rainfall is well below flash flood guidance and antecedent conditions are dry, indicating the area should be able to handle this forecasted QPF without any widespread flash flooding issues. Furthermore, rivers are still quite low thus no river flooding anticipated.

Overall thunderstorm potential as the front moves through doesn't look great thanks to limited instability. Can't rule out a rumble of thunder overnight tonight in northern NY and Friday morning in the Champlain Valley since there is some very marginal elevated CAPE, but no severe risk in these areas. The line of showers will encounter a slight increase in instability as it progresses east of the Green Mountains Friday so have continued with the mention of embedded thunderstorms possible in eastern Vermont Friday afternoon. Severe potential is low with the limited instability, but can't ignore the strongly sheared low levels in the environment . so not ruling out an isolated tstorm with some stronger wind gusts. The Storm Predication Center has a Marginal risk of severe weather over Vermont for Friday, with the risk contingent on amount of destabilization that will be able to occur. If clouds break Friday morning ahead of the frontal passage, thunderstorm potential would increase Will continue to evaluate.

Finally, looking at winds tonight . the core of the 40-50 knot pre- frontal low-level jet will move through overnight and is not expected to mix to the surface owing to stabilizing boundary layer overnight. That being said, will still be a breezy night for higher elevations before the rain starts. A slight southeasterly component to the low-level winds will favor some enhanced downsloping gusts (up to about 35 mph) on the northern slopes of the Adirondacks this evening and on the western slopes of the northern Greens tonight. Once the rain starts, winds will diminish to generally under 10 mph for the remainder of the day.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. As of 340 AM EDT Thursday . Precipitation associated with the frontal passage will quickly exit into New Hampshire Friday night, followed by a much drier airmass. With clearing skies and light winds, patchy valley fog will likely from overnight, especially in the favored locations in eastern VT. Lows will range from the mid 40s to the mid 50s. The drier weather will persist through Saturday into Saturday night as we'll remain under brief ridging at the surface. Fair weather cumulus will develop during the afternoon, especially over the higher terrain. These clouds will dissipate during the evening, but expect mid/high clouds to begin to increase overnight as an upper trough swings eastward from the Great Lakes. This feature will remain far enough to the west to preclude any rain until after daybreak Sunday. Highs on Saturday will be near to a few degrees warmer than normal, mainly in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Lows Saturday night will be similar to Friday night, mainly in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 340 AM EDT Thursday . Fairly unsettled weather is expected through the long term period as we look to remain under upper cyclonic flow much of the first half of next week. Although there are differences in the exact timing/placement/evolution of the upper trough, would expect isolated-scattered showers will be possible each day during peak heating hours. Not any one day will be a washout, but also can't completely say with certainty one day will be completely without showers. Have stayed with a model blend for PoPs for now owing to model to model differences. With the trough lingering overhead much of the period, expect temperatures will run a little cooler than normal.

AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Through 18Z Friday . Currently VFR conditions across the North Country with BKN cigs at 4,000 to 7,000 ft AGL. A cold front is slowly advancing from the west bringing moderate to heavy rain showers and reductions to MVFR cigs and vis. Light rain showers should arrive to KMSS within the next couple of hours, becoming heavier after 00z. Showers will then slowly track eastward through northern New York during the overnight hours and across Vermont on Friday morning. IFR cigs are most likely at KSLK and KMPV during this time. After 12z, cigs will lift from west to east as skies clear in the wake of the front.

In the meantime, we continue to observe gusty S/SE winds with gusts up to 20-25 mph. Said gusts will continue through late tonight, though expected to become less frequent. A low-level jet will develop after 00Z, and low-level wind shear is again expected tonight as surface gusts diminish from west to east. Turbulence is also expected, especially around higher terrain. After 00z, winds will begin to shift from the SW in the wake of the cold front and decrease to less than 10 knots. This will be the case for all terminals after 12z.

Outlook .

Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Sunday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA. Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.

MARINE. South winds 15 to 20 knots will increase to 25 knots today, with some occasional gusts up to 35 knots possible tonight ahead of a front. Winds will decrease Friday morning once moderate to locally heavy rain begins as the front moves through. Winds will be under 15 knots after the frontal passage midday Friday. Waves 1-3 feet today will build to 2-4 feet tonight, then diminish back to 1-3 feet Friday afternoon.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . Duell NEAR TERM . Duell/Haynes SHORT TERM . Hastings LONG TERM . Hastings AVIATION . Duell/Hammond MARINE . Duell


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT15 mi47 minSSE 18 G 2210.00 miPartly Cloudy and Breezy79°F65°F62%1014.6 hPa
Glens Falls, Floyd Bennett Memorial Airport, NY23 mi50 minSE 14 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F63°F58%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRUT

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last 24hrSE13
G20
SE13
G23
SE13SE14
G20
SE12
G20
SE12SE10SE8SE9SE12SE10SE7E9SE10SE9SE63SE12S9SE14SE19
G23
SE19
G25
S18
G27
SE18
G22
1 day agoSE14
G18
SE13SE11SE11SE11SE8SE8SE8SE8SE8SE8SE8SE7SE7SE9
G14
S8SE6SE10SE10S8S13S11SE9
G18
SE12
2 days agoCalm45SE8SE6E5SE12SE11SE9SE11SE10SE10SE9SE8SE4SE3SE5SE11S4SE4W5S5SE12SE14

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Troy
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:44 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:23 AM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:59 PM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:45 PM EDT     4.82 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
1.10.2-0.10.723.13.94.54.43.62.61.810.1-0.30.21.6344.64.84.33.32.4

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Albany
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:35 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:15 AM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 01:49 PM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:37 PM EDT     4.82 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.90.1-00.92.23.344.54.33.52.51.60.8-0-0.30.41.83.14.14.74.84.23.22.3

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE.