Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Damariscotta, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 4:30PM Sunday January 16, 2022 8:43 PM EST (01:43 UTC) Moonrise 4:02PMMoonset 7:30AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ152 Coastal Waters From Port Clyde, Me To Cape Elizabeth, Me Out 25 Nm- 821 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
.storm warning in effect from 5 am est Monday through Monday afternoon...
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming se 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight, then increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 7 ft after midnight. A chance of snow and rain late with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..E winds 35 to 45 kt, becoming S 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 65 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft, building to 16 to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..SW winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 18 ft, subsiding to 10 to 15 ft after midnight.
Tue..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft, subsiding to 6 to 9 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft after midnight.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 7 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft, subsiding to 3 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ100 821 Pm Est Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. Low pressure tracks north through the appalachians and into canada tonight into Monday. A warm front lifts across the gulf of maine with strong southeast winds expected Monday morning. Winds shift to south and weaken later in the day, then shift to the west overnight as cold air moves back in.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Damariscotta, ME
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location: 43.93, -69.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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FXUS61 KGYX 170131 AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 831 PM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure tracking northward through the Appalachians will intensify as it tracks near New England on Monday. It will bring a period of heavy snow changing to rain as the temperature warms. Strong winds are also expected, especially along the coast. Low pressure pulls away Monday night with colder air moving in for the middle of the week. A weak system passes by to our north Wednesday and Thursday.

NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/. 830 PM Update . Ran through the forecast through tonight and tomorrow with a fine-toothed come with more runs of hires model information under our collective belt this evening Of note. incorporated more hires data into the temperature trend through tomorrow, dropped snowfall ratios just a bit, and increased QPF in the upslopes (including the foothills) through the Saco and Androscoggin River Valleys based on favorable SErly flow. All of these combine for relatively minor changes to the snowfall forecast . A little lower across the foothills and lakes region, a little higher in the Whites. The logic remains the same however; an intense bout of wet, heavy snow is expected to lead to significant travel impacts over the interior of the forecast area.

Also took a closer look at winds . over all very litte change to this aspect of the forecast, except to bring wind gusts up in the downslopes northwest of the Whites with the intense LLJ expected to downslope into the upper Connecticut River Valley. Issued a wind advisory centered on this threat for tomorrow morning.

Previously . High pressure pulls away to the east tonight while low pressure tracks north through the Appalachians. With a clear sky to start the night, we may see some decent drops in temperature before cloud cover comes in and blankets the area. Winds become easterly by morning in advance of the incoming low pressure system. Precipitation will likely begin by dawn for much of the area with snow the precipitation type expected. More on the storm in the short term section.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. Narrow band of warm, moist air being pulled into the low pressure system will translate northeast across our forecast area during the morning hours on Monday. A strong low level jet will be adding fuel to the system to produce heavy precipitation rates over the period of 4 to 8 hours. At the surface, the very cold air mass we've been dealing with the last few days will be hard to shove away by the less dense warm air. The easterly low level flow and inverted low level thermal profile will promote damming east of the mountains and the formation of a coastal front between this colder air and the more maritime air being pulled in off the Atlantic. The strong surge of moisture into this coastal front will likely be the source of the most intense precipitation through the morning, with the coastal front making progress inland with time. Thus we will see a transition from heavy snow to rain as the coastal front marches inland, with the precipitation itself ending rather quickly as as the dry slot moves in aloft. We could see a period of drizzle or freezing drizzle (depending on the temperature in each location) after the dry slot moves through, although it should be rather insignificant compared to the heavier precipitation that falls just ahead of it.

Behind the coastal front, the low levels will be less inverted allowing greater access to the extreme low level jet above, thus bringing the threat for some high winds. This threat will be greatest at the immediate coastline, but stronger wind gusts will be possible further inland as well once the coastal front arrives. Current High Wind Warning covers this threat well and will continue.

As for the snowfall itself, I think the biggest factor here is the intense snowfall rates expected as the surge of moisture slams into the coastal front. Snowfall rates of 1 to 3 inches per hour are likely which is enough to overwhelm road clearing operations and create more difficult driving conditions than usual. As a result, we were a bit more liberal than normal in placing Winter Storm Warnings as these heavy snowfall rates will create very difficult driving conditions for a period of a few hours Monday morning, even if the total snowfall is a bit less than 6 inches. The change over to rain on top of the snow will also make for more slippery conditions as well. The total snowfall amounts themselves are still somewhat uncertain considering the complication of heavy snowfall rates and an advancing coastal front which moves the rain/snow line. This is particularly true in coastal areas including the Portland metro which could see several inches pile up quickly if cold air holds on, or on the other extreme it could just start as rain.

As the warm front lifts northward, winds become southerly and weaken, while temperatures warm into the 30s and 40s. The warm front clears the forecast area by mid afternoon, and precipitation south of this front should be mainly in the form of drizzle if it occurs. Colder air wraps in behind the low Monday night, with an area of lift potentially wrapping around for some more light snow before ending, mainly in the mountains.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Very cold and windy conditions will occur Tuesday around the periphery of the departing storm system. This could aggravate and potential power outage issues as wind chill values lower with time. Otherwise dry conditions through Tuesday night with wind chill values running from zero to 25 below during the nighttime period.

12Z operational guidance and model ensembles remain in relatively good agreement bringing an area of low pressure up the Saint Lawrence Seaway Wednesday into Thursday. The highest chance for snowfall will be over northern areas where light accumulations of snow can be expected.

A cold, Canadian high pressure system will build into the region Friday. Temperatures by Saturday morning will remain below zero across most of the region away from the coast.

Low pressure may move up the Eastern Seaboard next weekend, however there is little agreement amongst the operational or ensemble solutions. The Canadian model is the outlier at this time, bringing a storm near the 40N/70W benchmark Saturday night.

AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Short Term . VFR conditions transition to MVFR and IFR by morning as a frontal system arrives. Expect a period of heavy snow transitioning to rain for southern NH and coastal ME. Strong ESE winds are likely at the coast, with even stronger winds aloft leading to low level wind shear. This all only lasts about 4 to 8 hours before winds become lighter out of the south and precipitation lightens up and ends.

Long Term . Mainly VFR conditions Tuesday, but with windy conditions continuing. Pockets of MVFR conditions Wednesday and Wednesday night in any periods of light snow or snow showers. Otherwise, VFR conditions Thursday and into the weekend.

MARINE. Short Term . Easterly flow increases ahead of a warm front lifting northward attached to a strong surface low tracking to our west. Winds ramp up quickly in a narrow 4 to 8 hour window Monday morning with gusts to Storm Force expected. Some gusts to Hurricane Force are also possible especially across the eastern Gulf of Maine. Winds shift to the SSW and weaken behind the warm front around midday. Eventually a shift to westerly flow in cold advection begins late Monday night.

Long Term . Gale force winds are expected on Tuesday and Tuesday night around the periphery of the departing storm system. Winds remain strong with SCA conditions possible Wednesday into Wednesday night as winds back to the west and southwest.

HYDROLOGY. Heavy rain is expected on the coast after a short period of snow Monday. With frozen ground in place, urban flooding will be possible as 1-2 inches of rain is expected.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. The strongest winds of our upcoming storm match up closely with the time of high tide. Still expect a 2-3 foot storm surge during the mid to late morning high tide on Monday using a blend of the latest ESTOFS and ETSS runs. Storm force winds will allow for 20+ foot waves to develop offshore as well as the nearshore environment. Therefore, beach erosion and splash-over may be significant in some areas, especially coastal Cumberland, Coastal York and Coastal Rockingham counties where Coastal Flood Warnings have been issued.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Winter Storm Warning from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for MEZ012>014-018>021-033. Winter Storm Warning from 3 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for MEZ007>009. High Wind Warning from 5 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for MEZ022>028. Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 AM to noon EST Monday for MEZ025>028. Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Monday for MEZ022>024. Coastal Flood Warning from 9 AM to noon EST Monday for MEZ023- 024. NH . Winter Storm Warning from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for NHZ004>012-015. Winter Storm Warning from 3 AM to 7 PM EST Monday for NHZ001>003. Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 1 PM EST Monday for NHZ001>003. High Wind Warning from 5 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for NHZ014. Winter Weather Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Monday for NHZ013. Coastal Flood Warning from 9 AM to noon EST Monday for NHZ014. MARINE . Storm Warning from 5 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for ANZ150>154.



UPDATE . Casey NEAR/SHORT TERM . Kimble LONG TERM . Cannon


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf 15 mi99 min S 14G18 29°F 2 ft
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 24 mi99 min SSW 9.7G14 28°F 40°F1 ft
44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME 47 mi43 min S 9.7G16 31°F 45°F1024.4 hPa17°F
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 48 mi55 min 21°F 36°F

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Last 24 hrNW21
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wiscasset Airport, ME15 mi50 minN 010.00 miFair13°F9°F84%1026.3 hPa
Rockland, Knox County Regional Airport, ME19 mi47 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds18°F15°F88%1026.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KIWI

Wind History from IWI (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrW733430000000W30SW4W6S40S5SW40000
1 day agoN10
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2 days agoNE300000000003NE35N8N464
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Tide / Current Tables for Muscongus Harbor, Muscongus Sound, Maine
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Muscongus Harbor
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:45 AM EST     1.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:30 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:52 AM EST     9.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:01 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:26 PM EST     0.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:26 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:31 PM EST     8.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Muscongus Harbor, Muscongus Sound, Maine, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Sheepscot River (off Barter Island), Maine Current
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Sheepscot River (off Barter Island)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:39 AM EST     -0.82 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:51 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:31 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:47 AM EST     0.70 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:57 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:16 PM EST     -1.10 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:41 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:21 PM EST     0.53 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:31 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sheepscot River (off Barter Island), Maine Current, knots
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