Tuesday, October19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elizabeth, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 6:03PM Tuesday October 19, 2021 6:23 PM EDT (22:23 UTC) Moonrise 6:00PMMoonset 5:59AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202110192100;;937094 Fzus61 Kbuf 191721 Glfsl Forecast For The Saint Lawrence River Including The Thousand Islands Region National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 121 Pm Edt Tue Oct 19 2021 Slz022-024-192100- Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 121 Pm Edt Tue Oct 19 2021
This afternoon..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly cloudy early, then becoming partly Sunny.
Tonight..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly cloudy.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Partly to mostly Sunny.
Wednesday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of showers overnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers.
Friday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A chance of rain showers during the day.
Saturday..North winds less than 10 knots becoming west. Mostly cloudy.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth, NY
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location: 44.17, -73.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 191946 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 346 PM EDT Tue Oct 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will briefly build in tonight into tomorrow with dry conditions and above normal temperatures through Thursday. Our next system will move across the area Thursday bringing widespread chances for rain. Behind this front, more seasonable conditions are expected for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. As of 341 PM EDT Tuesday . Clouds are slowly beginning to dissipate across the St Lawrence Valley as high pressure builds into the region. This clearing will slowly make its way eastward through the evening hours, although clouds will likely hang around the high terrain due to impressive orographic lift associated with strong N/NW upwards up 50 kt this evening. Composite radar continues to show light echos across VT associated with shortwave energy dropping down from Canada but surface observations still show very little precipitation reaching the ground. Have kept mention for sprinkles/summit snow flurries through about 7 PM after which the forecast trends dry for the remainder of the period. Lingering low level clouds and persist winds will keep temps from dropping too much, most locations will remain in the 40s overnight with readings in the 30s for the far NEK of VT. Temps rebound nicely for Wednesday as brief ridging passes overhead. Partly to mostly sunny skies along with relatively light winds are expected as temps warm above normal into the upper 50s to low/mid 60s. Summit level winds will begin to abate Wednesday night as upper level jet associated with departing upper level trough most east of the area. Briefly clear skies are likely early Wednesday night before high clouds associated with an advancing warm front move in. Scattered showers are possible across northern NY towards Thursday AM as this feature moves northward. Temps should once again remain fairly mild with most places staying in the upper 40s/low 50s.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. As of 341 PM EDT Tuesday . The most active day of the week continues to look like Thursday with another sharp frontal passage expected. Much like the last system that went through, low pressure will track to our northwest on Thursday with the attending warm front lifting through the region and north of the Canadian border by early afternoon. Overrunning showers will be most prevalent across northern tier counties through mid-day, then focus across the St. Lawrence Valley in the afternoon as the remainder of the area becomes entrenched in the warm sector and associated mid-level dry slot. Forecast soundings indicate some gustiness in the Champlain Valley with channeled southerly flow and a 925mb jet of 25-35kts, but mixing isn't ideal so capped surface gusts around 20kts. Later in the afternoon/evening as the low tracks north the cold front will swing in from west to east with showers increasing in areal coverage through midnight. Post-frontal passage, additional upslope and lake effect showers are likely into early Friday morning on west- northwest flow before ending.

In regard to temps, ahead of the cold front on Thursday highs will push back above seasonal normals and range from the low 60s north to upper 60s south, but post-frontal passage Thursday night, lows drop back close to normal in the 40s and 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 341 PM EDT Tuesday . Heading into the end of the week and weekend our forecast will be largely dominated by a broad upper trough situated over much of the eastern CONUS. Center of the upper low remains north of the border through the weekend with little forcing to support showers across the region. Hence the forecast trends dry, but with continued cloudiness and temps falling back below normal. Highs begin in the 50s Friday, lower to the 40s and 50s Saturday, and widespread 40s on Sunday. Lows follow suit in the 30s and 40s with some areas likely see the first frost of the this warm fall season.

Late Sunday through Monday models diverge in the strength and track of the parent upper low dropping southward into the Northeast. ECMWF and GDPS offer a weaker open trough while the GFS has a closed circulation. As you would expect, the resulting PoP is quite different from the GFS, but with better agreement among the other models will trend the forecast dry for now.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Through 18Z Wednesday . VFR conditions expected mainly through the period except for localized MVFR at KSLK after 06z. Upper level trough remains with shortwave energy moving through flow aloft leading to widespread 8000-10,000 ft ceilings across the airspace. Main aviation concern will be the increase in LLWS associated with a core of 30-40 kt winds at 2000 ft AGL. Wind gusts 15-25 kt this afternoon will keep LLWS confined to the terrain, however a winds abate towards 00z LLWS concerns will present at all TAF sites through 07z. Winds will slacken aloft to less than criteria, after which the threat for LLWS will abate. After 15z Wednesday any MVFR ceilings will lift to VFR through the remainder of the period.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance RA. Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance RA. Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA. Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . LaRocca NEAR TERM . LaRocca SHORT TERM . Lahiff LONG TERM . Lahiff AVIATION . LaRocca


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 98 mi54 min 63°F 65°F1007.7 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Saranac Lake, Adirondack Regional Airport, NY27 mi33 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy53°F43°F69%1010.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSLK

Wind History from SLK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--4W40454W633W9
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W7--SW4SW7SW116W7
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1 day agoSW34435W7W4W400W3000054666--W10
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2 days agoW7SW7W76W8
G16
W7464SW4SW7SW5W3W4SW4SW55SW8NW4W5435W4

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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