Thursday, October28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Hampden, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 5:30PM Thursday October 28, 2021 5:28 PM EDT (21:28 UTC) Moonrise 11:21PMMoonset 2:21PM Illumination 45% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 331 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
.gale watch in effect from Saturday afternoon through late Saturday night...
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 6 ft.
Fri..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..E winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..E winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain in the evening, then showers after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers, mainly in the morning.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
ANZ100 331 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. Winds will gradually diminish tonight. High pressure builds out of canada and into the maritimes through Friday night. The next frontal system arrives Saturday night with an east to southeast wind increasing to potentially gale strength ahead of the front's arrival Saturday and especially Saturday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hampden, ME
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location: 44.75, -68.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 281916 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build across the region later tonight into Friday. Low pressure will approach on Saturday and cross the area Sunday. The low is expected to move to the northeast on Monday with high pressure building in from the west later Monday into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. Tonight . Clouds were dissipating nicely this afternoon as the drier air to the n has been steadily working its way in during the afternoon as high pres tries to wedge in. Most of the region should be seeing mostly clear skies w/the N winds dropping off as the ridge sets in leading to a chilly night w/cold air at the sfc. The exception to this will be across the ern 1/3 of the CWA, mainly the Washington County region. Like the way the GEM guidance was handling the sky conditions this afternoon and showing more extensive cloud cover along Maine-New Brunswick border. The satl wv imagery seemed to confirm this as it showed some deeper moisture in the mid levels trying to swing back into that part of the CWA. COuld be seeing a weak inversion setting up overnight, especially away from the coast. This will allow any llvl moisture to get trapped. Looking at some the mdl sndgs and the high resolution guidance such as the HREF, some fog is possible w/some cold temps expected. This will be especially true in the river valleys, and around the lakes, where the water temps are in the upper 40s to lower 50s allowing for that fog formation.

Friday looks to be a sunny day w/less wind as that high pres ridge slides into the region. A rather pleasant day w/afternoon temps rising into the low and mid 50s, which is above normal for late October. High clouds are expected to begin pushing to the ne ahead an apchg storm system.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Friday Night . High pressure center just off to our east with low pressure beginning to approach from the SW. Could be some fog and low clouds developing and added to the forecast. Not as cool as Thursday night.

Saturday . Morning low clouds slow to burn off, plus increasing mid/high level clouds ahead of a broad cutoff upper low approaching from the SW. Models slower than they had been for when rain moves in from the west, and slowed down forecast just a touch, with rain arriving Saturday evening.

Saturday Night . Rain developing in the evening from west to east as the broad upper low approaches and a surface triple point low develops somewhere around Boston and moves north into Western Maine. This triple point will enhance the pressure gradient and could be quite breezy, especially Downeast coast. Too far out to do a wind advisory, but winds could approach advisory levels Saturday night near the coast . something to watch. Rain could also be heavy at times, especially Downeast. Can't rule out an embedded thunderstorm with unstable air aloft, and added slight chance of thunder to the waters and immediate Downeast coast.

Sunday . Rain tapers off from SW to NE through the day Sunday as the low pressure exits to the NW of the area and as the occlusion exits to the NE. Models trending a bit faster with rain exit, and followed this trend in our forecast. Airmass remains quite mild as cold advection doesn't really kick in until later Sunday night, so Sunday looks like the warmest day of the week with highs ranging from the mid 50s north to low to mid 60s Downeast. How warm we get depends on the amount of clearing.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Cooler and dry Monday/Tuesday. Surface high pressure remains to our south so there will be a westerly breeze.

Lots of uncertainty Tuesday night to Friday. Overall, there will be a complex upper trough positioned over the Eastern US with the longwave trough axis remaining to our west. This will put us in fairly unstable SW flow on the east side of the trough, with potential shortwave troughs bringing precipitation. However, no real model agreement on timing of these shortwave through the period. As a result, went with chance PoPs Tue night onward. Temps gradually fall through the period to below average levels as the upper trough inches closer. Bottom line is the pattern is becoming more favorable for our first snow sometime Wed into next weekend. That said, just can't hang our hat on any one system yet during this period.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR for the most part right into Friday for all terminals. The caveat to this will be some river valley fog by early Friday morning, which could bring vsbys to MVFR and perhaps IFR. This will especially true for the northern terminals from KHUL northward. N winds 10-15 kt will be dropping back to around 5 kt tonight. N winds 5-10 kt for Friday.

SHORT TERM: Friday Night . Possible MVFR/IFR developing in low clouds in fog, but low confidence on where this occurs. East breeze.

Saturday . Morning MVFR/IFR, possibly improving to VFR in the afternoon but confidence is low. East breeze.

Saturday Night . Breezy areawide and windy near the coast, with wind from the E/SE. Low level wind shear likely. Significant rain areawide with IFR or worse.

Sunday . Improving conditions from SW to NE with possible VFR late in the day after AM IFR/MVFR. South breeze.

Sunday Night . Fog likely with IFR/MVFR. Light SW breeze.

Monday . Mainly VFR, though MVFR possible at times in the north. Breezy from the west.

Monday Night and Tuesday . VFR with a west breeze.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Still seeing some wind gusts near 35 kt up the northern end of the outer zones, but the latest trend has shown winds coming down. Decided to lean w/the Small Craft Advisory in effect into Friday afternoon for all the zones. The gradient looks to hold a while longer into midday Friday and then drops off as high pres settle down from the n.

N winds 15-25 kt w/gusts to 30 kts over the outer zones tonight will drop off to 15 kts by later on Fri w/gusts to 20 kt by early Fri afternoon. Seas 5-7 ft tonight will subside to 3-4 ft by Fri afternoon.

SHORT TERM: Potential for gales from the SE Saturday night ahead of an approaching front. A bit too far out for a gale watch, but overnight shift may need to issue one. Seas building to around 10 feet late Sat night into early Sun. Winds diminishing rapidly Sunday and becoming SW. W/NW breeze Mon/Tue just below small craft levels with seas 3 to 5 feet Monday, subsiding to 1 to 3 feet Tuesday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Friday for ANZ050>052.



Near Term . Hewitt Short Term . Foisy Long Term . Foisy Aviation . Hewitt/Foisy Marine . Hewitt/Foisy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 41 mi59 min NE 12G15 53°F 55°F1013.9 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 49 mi85 min N 18G23 54°F 56°F2 ft1014.1 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 59 mi85 min N 19G23 53°F 55°F8 ft1012.7 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME4 mi36 minNNE 14 G 2110.00 miA Few Clouds52°F35°F53%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBGR

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE12
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2 days agoNE3NE5NE3NE5NE5N5NE4NE6N7N6NE6N8N9NE8NE7NE11NE9NE13NE9NE12NE12NE11NE13NE13
G20

Tide / Current Tables for Hampden, Penobscot River, Maine
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Hampden
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:08 AM EDT     10.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:57 AM EDT     3.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 05:11 PM EDT     12.02 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:43 PM EDT     1.96 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Sandy Point, Penobscot River, Maine
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Sandy Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:50 AM EDT     8.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:43 AM EDT     2.64 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 04:53 PM EDT     9.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:29 PM EDT     1.60 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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