Thursday, October28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cross Village, MI

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 8:12AMSunset 6:29PM Thursday October 28, 2021 4:02 PM EDT (20:02 UTC) Moonrise 11:26PMMoonset 2:30PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ342 Norwood Mi To 5nm West Of Mackinac Bridge Including Little Traverse Bay- 303 Pm Edt Thu Oct 28 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..East wind 10 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Friday..Northeast wind 10 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Slight chance of showers. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ342 Expires:202110290315;;925438 FZUS53 KAPX 281903 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 303 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior. Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LMZ342-290315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cross Village, MI
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location: 45.58, -85     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 281849 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 249 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

NEAR TERM. (Through Tonight) Issued at 227 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

. Breezy and Mild Overnight; Chance of Showers far South .

High Impact Weather Potential . None is expected.

A fairly deep area of low pressure (993 mb) currently centered across southeastern Missouri will continue to track slowly eastward tonight. This system is expected to bring increasing and thickening clouds to northern Michigan through the night. Meanwhile, the northern shield of rain showers associated with this system may graze far southern counties after midnight. Dry air at low levels, however will make it tough for rain to actually hit the ground so will keep pops in the chance category. Easterly winds are expected to continue to be a bit on the gusty side. Temperatures are not expected to fall off all that much due to the combination of the wind and cloud cover so raised lows into the mild mid and upper 40s.

SHORT TERM. (Friday through Sunday) Issued at 227 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

Closed upper low in the TN Valley Friday moves slowly east and north into the vicinity of Lake Ontario by Sunday. Models then have it open up and swept east quickly on Sunday, although timing of that happening must be suspect. Upper trough over W Canada rotates into the northern Great Lakes during that same time period. Surface low in the Canadian trough moves into Ontario by Sunday. This will keep the colder air from reaching the Great Lakes by deflecting the return northeastern flow on the close low. So mild conditions continue at least through the weekend.

Moist flow on the northeast side of the low will draw in above climatological PWATs Friday and Saturday and bring the chance for some showers especially south of M-55. As the low moves northeast, the deeper moisture shifts east out of the area Sunday. The second low will bring a chance for some showers to the U.P. Sunday.

With the low so close, pressure gradient will be tight early on in the weekend, so gusty winds expected Friday and then slowly diminishing through Sunday morning.

Highs will be mainly in the 50s through the period, still about 5 to 10 degrees above normal. Lows will be around 40.

LONG TERM. (Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 227 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

Confidence in the extended forecast is not high at this point due to uncertainties in the movement of the upper low. In any case, temperatures will be lowering during the period, closer to normal. A cold front moves through the region as the Canadian trough settles over the northern U.S. A few disturbances moving across the Great Lakes will bring the chance for showers through the entire period. Temperatures will cool enough during the nighttime hours, that flurries or light snow are possible.

Highs will be mainly in the 40s. Lows in the 30s early, then 20s the rest of the week.

AVIATION. (For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon) Issued at 131 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

Almost all of the IFR/MVFR cigs have dissipated across the TAF sites but still can't rule out a patch or two of this from drifting across the region this afternoon. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected into early tonight. MVFR cigs are then expected to reform later tonight and largely hold into Friday morning as low pressure moves by to the south. There will be a chance of rain late tonight into Friday with the best chance at mbL. Easterly winds will be gusty this afternoon and to a lesser degree on Friday as well.

MARINE. Issued at 227 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

Gusty easterly winds will continue through Friday with small craft advisories posted for several nearshore zones on Lake Huron and Lake Michigan. This is in response to low pressure moving by to our south. Winds will slowly diminish going into Friday night and Saturday morning.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MI . NONE. LH . SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 8 PM this evening to 6 PM EDT Friday for LHZ349. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 6 PM EDT Friday for LHZ347-348. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 6 AM EDT Friday for LHZ345-346. LM . SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 6 AM EDT Friday for LMZ341-342. LS . NONE.

NEAR TERM . AS SHORT TERM . KF LONG TERM . KF AVIATION . AS MARINE . AS


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WSLM4 19 mi92 min E 30 54°F 55°F1008.9 hPa45°F
45194 19 mi62 min 54°F 55°F2 ft
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 20 mi62 min ESE 23G28 54°F 55°F1008 hPa (-2.0)48°F
45175 21 mi27 min 21G23 54°F2 ft
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 39 mi82 min E 8.9G14 61°F 1007.5 hPa
NABM4 - Naubinway, MI 42 mi82 min E 18G21 56°F 1008.5 hPa
SRLM4 48 mi62 min E 22 53°F 55°F44°F

Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
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E8
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G28
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N8
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NE5
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NE14
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NE11
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N10
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G15
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G13
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G16
N9
G13
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G14
NW8
G11
N7
G10
N6
G10
N10
N6
G10

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pellston Regional Airport of Emmet County, MI11 mi68 minESE 14 G 2210.00 miFair57°F41°F55%1008.9 hPa
Harbor Springs, Harbor Springs Airport, MI12 mi67 minE 15 G 2110.00 miFair60°F42°F52%1007.8 hPa
Charlevoix, Charlevoix Municipal Airport, MI24 mi67 minE 1110.00 miFair61°F42°F50%1007.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPLN

Wind History from PLN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6E11SE8E7E5E8SE5SE6SE80E6E6SE3E30E4E3SE5E8SE7SE10
G18
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1 day agoN10N8N7N5N4NW6NW500000000000000SE3SE5SE5
2 days agoNE7
G19
N11NE10N8NE6N10N10N9N4NE9
G16
NE5N4NE5N5N8N5N6NW6N7N11N12NE11N6N9

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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