Thursday, October28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Presque Isle, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 8:09AMSunset 6:24PM Thursday October 28, 2021 5:23 PM ADT (20:23 UTC) Moonrise 11:10PMMoonset 2:25PM Illumination 46% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Presque Isle, ME
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location: 46.62, -68     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 281916 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 316 PM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build across the region later tonight into Friday. Low pressure will approach on Saturday and cross the area Sunday. The low is expected to move to the northeast on Monday with high pressure building in from the west later Monday into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/. Tonight . Clouds were dissipating nicely this afternoon as the drier air to the n has been steadily working its way in during the afternoon as high pres tries to wedge in. Most of the region should be seeing mostly clear skies w/the N winds dropping off as the ridge sets in leading to a chilly night w/cold air at the sfc. The exception to this will be across the ern 1/3 of the CWA, mainly the Washington County region. Like the way the GEM guidance was handling the sky conditions this afternoon and showing more extensive cloud cover along Maine-New Brunswick border. The satl wv imagery seemed to confirm this as it showed some deeper moisture in the mid levels trying to swing back into that part of the CWA. COuld be seeing a weak inversion setting up overnight, especially away from the coast. This will allow any llvl moisture to get trapped. Looking at some the mdl sndgs and the high resolution guidance such as the HREF, some fog is possible w/some cold temps expected. This will be especially true in the river valleys, and around the lakes, where the water temps are in the upper 40s to lower 50s allowing for that fog formation.

Friday looks to be a sunny day w/less wind as that high pres ridge slides into the region. A rather pleasant day w/afternoon temps rising into the low and mid 50s, which is above normal for late October. High clouds are expected to begin pushing to the ne ahead an apchg storm system.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. Friday Night . High pressure center just off to our east with low pressure beginning to approach from the SW. Could be some fog and low clouds developing and added to the forecast. Not as cool as Thursday night.

Saturday . Morning low clouds slow to burn off, plus increasing mid/high level clouds ahead of a broad cutoff upper low approaching from the SW. Models slower than they had been for when rain moves in from the west, and slowed down forecast just a touch, with rain arriving Saturday evening.

Saturday Night . Rain developing in the evening from west to east as the broad upper low approaches and a surface triple point low develops somewhere around Boston and moves north into Western Maine. This triple point will enhance the pressure gradient and could be quite breezy, especially Downeast coast. Too far out to do a wind advisory, but winds could approach advisory levels Saturday night near the coast . something to watch. Rain could also be heavy at times, especially Downeast. Can't rule out an embedded thunderstorm with unstable air aloft, and added slight chance of thunder to the waters and immediate Downeast coast.

Sunday . Rain tapers off from SW to NE through the day Sunday as the low pressure exits to the NW of the area and as the occlusion exits to the NE. Models trending a bit faster with rain exit, and followed this trend in our forecast. Airmass remains quite mild as cold advection doesn't really kick in until later Sunday night, so Sunday looks like the warmest day of the week with highs ranging from the mid 50s north to low to mid 60s Downeast. How warm we get depends on the amount of clearing.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. Cooler and dry Monday/Tuesday. Surface high pressure remains to our south so there will be a westerly breeze.

Lots of uncertainty Tuesday night to Friday. Overall, there will be a complex upper trough positioned over the Eastern US with the longwave trough axis remaining to our west. This will put us in fairly unstable SW flow on the east side of the trough, with potential shortwave troughs bringing precipitation. However, no real model agreement on timing of these shortwave through the period. As a result, went with chance PoPs Tue night onward. Temps gradually fall through the period to below average levels as the upper trough inches closer. Bottom line is the pattern is becoming more favorable for our first snow sometime Wed into next weekend. That said, just can't hang our hat on any one system yet during this period.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR for the most part right into Friday for all terminals. The caveat to this will be some river valley fog by early Friday morning, which could bring vsbys to MVFR and perhaps IFR. This will especially true for the northern terminals from KHUL northward. N winds 10-15 kt will be dropping back to around 5 kt tonight. N winds 5-10 kt for Friday.

SHORT TERM: Friday Night . Possible MVFR/IFR developing in low clouds in fog, but low confidence on where this occurs. East breeze.

Saturday . Morning MVFR/IFR, possibly improving to VFR in the afternoon but confidence is low. East breeze.

Saturday Night . Breezy areawide and windy near the coast, with wind from the E/SE. Low level wind shear likely. Significant rain areawide with IFR or worse.

Sunday . Improving conditions from SW to NE with possible VFR late in the day after AM IFR/MVFR. South breeze.

Sunday Night . Fog likely with IFR/MVFR. Light SW breeze.

Monday . Mainly VFR, though MVFR possible at times in the north. Breezy from the west.

Monday Night and Tuesday . VFR with a west breeze.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: Still seeing some wind gusts near 35 kt up the northern end of the outer zones, but the latest trend has shown winds coming down. Decided to lean w/the Small Craft Advisory in effect into Friday afternoon for all the zones. The gradient looks to hold a while longer into midday Friday and then drops off as high pres settle down from the n.

N winds 15-25 kt w/gusts to 30 kts over the outer zones tonight will drop off to 15 kts by later on Fri w/gusts to 20 kt by early Fri afternoon. Seas 5-7 ft tonight will subside to 3-4 ft by Fri afternoon.

SHORT TERM: Potential for gales from the SE Saturday night ahead of an approaching front. A bit too far out for a gale watch, but overnight shift may need to issue one. Seas building to around 10 feet late Sat night into early Sun. Winds diminishing rapidly Sunday and becoming SW. W/NW breeze Mon/Tue just below small craft levels with seas 3 to 5 feet Monday, subsiding to 1 to 3 feet Tuesday.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Friday for ANZ050>052.



Near Term . Hewitt Short Term . Foisy Long Term . Foisy Aviation . Hewitt/Foisy Marine . Hewitt/Foisy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME6 mi28 minN 1110.00 miFair51°F35°F54%1019.9 hPa
Caribou, Caribou Municipal Airport, ME18 mi30 minNNE 910.00 miFair53°F34°F48%1017.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPQI

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11
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2 days agoS30SW30000S300000N5N40NE45NE5E4N8E9NE9NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Fredericton, New Brunswick
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Fredericton
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Thu -- 12:43 AM ADT     2.02 meters High Tide
Thu -- 07:19 AM ADT     1.96 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 08:01 AM ADT     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:05 PM ADT     1.99 meters High Tide
Thu -- 03:17 PM ADT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:53 PM ADT     1.96 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM ADT     Last Quarter
Thu -- 06:18 PM ADT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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