Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Willapa, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:42AMSunset 5:13PM Friday January 28, 2022 4:02 AM PST (12:02 UTC) Moonrise 4:45AMMoonset 1:09PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ110 Grays harbor bar- 241 am pst Fri jan 28 2022 combined seas 2 to 4 feet, building to 6 feet around the ebbs. Bar conditions light. Maximum ebb currents will occur around 115 pm and 145 am Saturday. The afternoon ebb will be strong.
PZZ100 241 Am Pst Fri Jan 28 2022
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..High pressure remains in place another day, with light winds and areas of fog over the inland waters. The next frontal system will arrive over the weekend with increasing winds and building seas early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willapa, WA
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location: 46.68, -123.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 280541 AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 936 PM PST Thu Jan 27 2022

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will remain over the area through the day on Friday but the weekend will bring a much awaited pattern shift. Expecting a round of precipitation beginning Sunday and persisting through Tuesday becoming showery in the middle of the week. Snow levels will drop with the incoming system on Sunday reaching around 1500 ft by Monday night.

SHORT TERM. THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT . Little change in the near short term forecast as the high pressure ridge remains anchored over the region. This vertically stacked area of high pressure is fairly robust and continues to keep skies clear and conditions dry. While the last several nights have brought widespread fog, tonight the environment seems a bit less likely to see the same outcome. Wind are slightly higher and the lowest levels of the atmosphere are much drier than in previous days which means that most likely will see frost instead of fog. The areas that may see a bit of a frost/fog mix would be the southern Willamette Valley where winds have been weaker through the day today. Speaking of winds, they have remained elevated throughout the western Columbia River Gorge and around the Portland-Metro area. Forecast pressure gradients are -8 mb between Troutdale and the Dalles through at least Friday morning, however models have been trending a bit too low with this gradient. Observed values are closer to -10 mb over the last few hours. Based on this trend, expecting this gusty winds to persist through Friday morning through the western Gorge, and easing overnight through the Portland area. With these winds in place, expecting wind chill temperatures in those areas to be in the low 20s, with higher values further south (due to almost no wind).

Interestingly today, there was a very clear boundary of where the higher winds were occurring within the Portland-Vancouver area. Values varied in a matter of 1 mile or so. Given the localized nature of these winds, decided to keep the Air Stagnation Advisory in place for all of Portland even though the winds were present. They did not cover enough of the area to justify eliminating the advisory. In addition, the inversion will likely build back in overnight bringing a return of the stagnant air conditions.

Little change into Friday and Saturday as the ridge begins to flatten and makes way for the incoming front on Sunday. Likely will begin to see clouds filling in on Saturday with more mild temperatures and lighter winds. -Muessle

LONG TERM. SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY . A return to wetter weather is expected on Sunday as a front, stemming from the Gulf of Alaska, makes it's way southeast over the region. On Sunday afternoon will see winds transition to an onshore flow as the front makes landfall. Expecting some light precipitation on the leading edge, intensifying through the night into Monday. There is still quite a bit of disagreement in regards to the timing of the onset of precipitation on Sunday with ensemble models showing a variety of start times. However, in general it looks like the overall trend will be on Sunday evening.

As the front pushes inland, the winds will become a bit more northerly which will allow for colder air to filter into the area. This colder air will cause snow levels to drop to around 1500 ft by Monday night. While this seems like it could be the set up for widespread snow, that is not necessarily the case at this point. The big issue with the arrival of the cold air is the fact that the precipitation at that point will be showery and scattered in nature with limited accumulations. As it stands numerical ensemble models show around a less than 20% chance of low-land snow on Monday night into Tuesday, and nearly no chance south of Salem within the Willamette Valley. Now take all of that with a grain of salt as this snow potential will be greatly dependent on timing, placement, and precipitation rates. There is also a chance that the Valley, based on the wind direction becoming slightly more northwesterly, could be shadowed out of precipitation. At this point not hanging a hat on any amounts other than to say for low-lands, it looks minimal at best. The Cascades though will see accumulating snow and could see several inches between Sunday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. Elevations above 5000 ft could see greater than 8 inches during that time frame.

Again, there is quite a bit of variability and uncertainty in the long term with confidence being fairly low. There are a lot of moving parts with this system and the picture is still fuzzy as to how they will all come together. Will continue to monitor but as it stands, not overly concerned for any significant snowfall. -Muessle

AVIATION. 06Z TAFs . Offshore flow will continue over the next 24 hours, albeit gradually weaken. This will maintain predominantly VFR conditions at most taf sites with a few exceptions. First, expect fog to once again redevelop at KEUG and result in LIFR conditions returning between ~09-12z Friday and persisting through ~18z Friday. In addition, low clouds offshore should gradually push towards the coast on Friday and result in LIFR or IFR conditions developing along the coast, but considerable uncertainty in timing the arrival of these clouds remains. There is some consensus among models that it will occur in the mid to late afternoon around 00z Saturday, but again confidence in that level of detail is still relatively low.

Otherwise, expect light winds away from the mouth of the Columbia River Gorge where gusty easterly winds will continue. In addition, frost will once again develop on surfaces unaffected by the wind between now and 16z Friday.

For detailed regional Pac NW aviation weather information, go online to: https://weather.gov/zse

KPDX AND APPROACHES . Decreasing offshore will maintain VFR conditions at the terminal through 06z Saturday. Weakening winds should allow some frost to develop towards 12-15z Friday, though. /Neuman

MARINE. Weakening offshore flow should gradually result in winds turning from easterly to southerly tonight into Friday. Overall, expect rather benign conditions through Saturday considering it is January. A front appears likely to drop southeastward across the waters Sunday. This storm system will bring an increase winds and seas, but conditions appear likely to only top out in low end Small Craft Advisory level wind thresholds of around 20 to 25 kt Sunday. Seas may approach 10 ft behind this storm system towards Monday. An additional storm system will be possible towards the middle of next week, but many models suggest high pressure will return and bring another period of north to northeast winds to the waters. /Neuman

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OR . Air Stagnation Advisory until 4 PM PST Friday for Cascade Foothills in Lane County-Central Coast Range of Western Oregon-Central Columbia River Gorge-Central Willamette Valley-Coast Range of Northwest Oregon-Greater Portland Metro Area-Lower Columbia-Northern Oregon Cascade Foothills-South Willamette Valley-Upper Hood River Valley.

WA . Air Stagnation Advisory until 4 PM PST Friday for Central Columbia River Gorge-Greater Vancouver Area-I-5 Corridor in Cowlitz County-South Washington Cascade Foothills- Willapa Hills.

PZ . None.



www.weather.gov/portland

Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland www.twitter.com/NWSPortland


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TOKW1 - 9440910 - Toke Point, WA 16 mi45 min E 8.9G9.9 37°F 44°F1027.4 hPa
WPTW1 - 9441102 - Westport, WA 28 mi87 min E 12G13 37°F 46°F1026.5 hPa
46211 - Grays Harbor, WA (036) 33 mi37 min 45°F3 ft
ASTO3 - 9439040 - Astoria, OR 33 mi45 min SSE 6G8.9 40°F 41°F1026 hPa
46243 - Clatsop Spit, OR - 162 40 mi37 min 49°F4 ft

Wind History for Toke Point, WA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrE10
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G12
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hoquiam, Bowerman Airport, WA26 mi70 minE 70.50 miFog32°F30°F92%1027.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KHQM

Wind History from HQM (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrE15E14E11E12E12E16E16E16E13E13E13E10E12E10E11E10E9E7E6E6E7E5E5E7
1 day agoE11E9E12E7E10E10E12E11E9E12E11E11E12E8E8E6E11
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2 days agoE10E11E12E10E8E9E9E11E15E12E13E8E9E10E9E9NE7E9E5E8E8NE6E5E7

Tide / Current Tables for Willapa City, Willapa River, Washington
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Willapa City
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:12 AM PST     4.97 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:45 AM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:43 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:47 AM PST     11.64 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:08 PM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:32 PM PST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:12 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 11:47 PM PST     8.85 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Willapa City, Willapa River, Washington, Tide feet
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7.5
1
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6.6
2
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5.6
3
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5
4
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5.3
5
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6.5
6
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8.1
7
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9.5
8
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10.7
9
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11.4
10
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11.6
11
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10.9
12
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9.3
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7.1
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4.8
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2.4
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0.8
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0.7
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1.6
7
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3
8
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4.6
9
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6.3
10
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7.7
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8.6


Tide / Current Tables for South Bend, Washington
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South Bend
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:00 AM PST     3.89 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:45 AM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:43 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:17 AM PST     10.70 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:09 PM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:11 PM PST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 05:13 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 11:03 PM PST     7.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

South Bend, Washington, Tide feet
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6.3
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5.3
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4.3
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3.9
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4.5
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5.9
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7.6
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9
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10.1
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10.7
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10.5
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9.3
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7.3
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2.6
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0.6
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-0
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1.3
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2.9
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4.6
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6.2
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7.5
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8


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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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