Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Everett, WA
May 31, 2024 6:21 PM PDT (01:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:11 AM Sunset 9:01 PM Moonrise 1:24 AM Moonset 1:04 PM |
PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 254 Pm Pdt Fri May 31 2024
Tonight - NW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain after midnight. Rain likely late.
Sat - S wind around 5 kt, backing to ne in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain.
Sat night - NW wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sun - SE wind 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain.
Sun night - SE wind 15 to 20 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain.
Mon - S wind around 10 kt, veering to W in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain.
Mon night - SE wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain.
Tue - S wind 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain.
Tue night - W wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft or less. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Wed - S wind around 5 kt, veering to N in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft or less. A chance of rain in the morning.
Wed night - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft or less.
PZZ100 254 Pm Pdt Fri May 31 2024
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - Surface ridging over the coastal and inland waters will weaken today ahead of a frontal system that will dissipate as it moves onshore Saturday morning. A stronger front will approach the waters Sunday night then sweep onshore early Monday morning. Another front is expected to arrive on Tuesday.
Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 312253 AFDSEW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 350 PM PDT Fri May 31 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will maintain mild and dry conditions into this evening. A weak cold front will brush the region Saturday bringing light rain. Two stronger frontal systems will cross the region Monday and Wednesday bringing atmospheric river moisture and heavy rainfall to much of western Washington Sunday through Tuesday.
High pressure looks to build across much of the western US for the second half of next week brining much warmer and drier conditions.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Upper level ridging continues to shift east with the ridge axis approximately over the Cascades at the time of this writing. Mostly clear skies over W WA as of 330 PM PDT this afternoon with some slight infiltration of high level cirrus. These high level clouds will only increase as the next weak frontal system approaches. Overnight will see mid and low level clouds filter in as the front draws closer. This front is expected to fall apart as it passes through the area Saturday. Best chances for rainfall appear to be on the Olympic Peninsula and the norther third of of the CWA, including portions of Whatcom and Skagit counties. The remainder of the area could still see some precip, but PoPs only enter into the chance category at best.
Moving into Sunday, W WA enters into an unseasonably active weather pattern. Key messages are as follows.
Key Messages for Upcoming Active Weather Pattern
* Late season atmospheric river pattern will develop Sunday through Tuesday.
* Moderate to heavy rainfall of 1-2 inches across the lowlands during this timeframe.
* Heavy rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches across the mountains during this timeframe. 55% chance for 3-day totals to exceed 3 inches in ending Wednesday morning.
* Snow levels above 4500 feet will will promote additional runoff with several area rivers in the Cascades forecast to enter Action or even Minor Flood Stage.
Sunday, the next much stronger frontal system will begin moving towards the Pacific Northwest as a shortwave trough ejects from a strong closed low over the Gulf of Alaska. Rain will spread inland well ahead of the warm front associated with this system by early Sunday morning, leading the way to a wet Sunday through and through.
Rainfall rates gradually increase through the day, reaching 0.05-0.1 inches per hour Sunday night, though NBM deterministic forecast rainfall rates keep 0.1 inch per hour rates confined to the Cascades and Olympics through the duration of this atmospheric river event.
Peak rainfall rates will occur Sunday night into early Monday morning, making for soggy and slow Monday morning commute. 1-day rainfall totals through Sunday night of 1-1.5 inches across the lowlands (60% chance for 1-day totals of at least 1 inch by 5 am Monday, with lower chances to around 30% at lower elevations near Puget Sound) and 2-3 inches across the Cascades and Olympics (45% chance for 1-day totals of at least 3 inches by 5 am Monday across the southwestern Olympics and Cascades in Snohomish County). This atmospheric river will continue to bring very wet conditions throughout the day Monday...however it is worth noting that the peak rainfall should wrap up during the morning hours. QPF amounts, while still elevated, do begin to ease some by Monday afternoon.
Though rainfall rates will subside through the day Monday, breezy and wet conditions will linger through the day as additional rounds of rain move across western Washington. Can't rule out a few lightning strikes Monday afternoon across the entire area as weak instability develops thanks to cold air aloft associated with the strong shortwave trough moving overhead. Currently there is a 20% chance for thunder Monday afternoon. Additional 1-day rainfall amounts from Monday morning through Tuesday morning will range from half to three quarters of an inch over the lowlands, one to one and a half inches over the Olympics, and 1-2 inches over the Cascades.
High temps for the period will continue to cool from the peak temps of today. Upper 50s to mid 60s are expected for Saturday while temps cool even further with both Sunday and Monday only seeing highs ranging in the mid 50s to around 60. The increased cloud cover from these systems will hamper the diurnal spread as overnight lows throughout the near term ranging in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
18/Kristell/Davis
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The atmospheric river pattern remains in place for Tuesday.
Ensemble guidance brings a brief lull in rainfall intensity late Monday into Monday night, before another round of moderate to heavy rainfall moves back into the region ahead of yet another front, expected to pass through on Wednesday. PWATs are lower with this second surge as are rainfall amounts. Rainfall will gradually subside in the transition from stratiform rain to showers through Tuesday afternoon and overnight. Showers look to linger through much of the day Wednesday post-front, with the 500 mb flow pattern favoring Puget Sound Convergence Zone formation across northern portions of the sound from Whidbey Island into northwestern Snohomish and Skagit Counties.
Total spread in possible rainfall amounts during the Sunday morning through Wednesday morning timeframe range from 1 to 3 inches across the lowlands to 2 to 6 inches across the mountains, though the most likely amounts range from 1 to 2 over the lowlands to 2 to 5 inches over the mountains. Probability for 3-day (5 am Sunday - 5 am Wednesday) rainfall amounts of at least 2 inches across the lowlands is around 20% and 70% for at least 4 inches across the southwest Olympics and Cascades in King, Snohomish, and Skagit Counties. Localized amounts of up to 6 inches cannot be ruled out across central Snohomish County according to the NBM (40% chance), which is where the highest event total liquid precipitation totals are likely to occur.
A few periods of breezy to gusty southwest winds are likely again Tuesday afternoon ahead of each of the aforementioned secondary front. Winds gusts between 20 and 25 mph are expected, with a 20-30% chance for gusts up to 30 mph. Strongest wind gust signal is across Whidbey Island and northward through the San Juan Islands and into the North Interior.
Upper-level ridging will slowly build across the West Wednesday through the remainder of the week. Showers will gradually dissipate through the day Wednesday, lingering into early Thursday over the mountains. A warm up then looks to commence as high temperatures climb into the 70s and near 80 by Friday. The 00Z run of the GFS and several additional GEFS members now bring a frontal system across the region Friday through Sunday, though the EC and ENS members largely keep the ridge in place. This can be seen in the long range ensemble cluster analysis, with the GEFS favoring a weaker ridge and the EC favoring ridge city. Definitely something to watch in the coming days. Didn't deviate from the NBM Thursday and Friday given this uncertainty, which keeps highs above normal, though mostly in the upper 70s rather than in the 80s as EC ensemble is predicting. For now, HeatRisk values remain the yellow/minor risk category Friday.
18/Davis
AVIATION
A weak upper ridge will slide eastward across Western Washington today with northwest flow aloft becoming west to southwesterly tonight. VFR conditions will prevail across the region into this evening before high level moisture will increase and lowering ceilings tonight ahead of an approaching weak frontal system. MVFR conditions in light rain will spread inland from the coast early Saturday morning.
KSEA...VFR into tonight. Ceilings lower tonight under increasing high and mid level clouds. MVFR in light rain expected to develop 12Z-15Z Saturday morning. Surface winds northerly with occasional shifts to the northeast or northwest 4 to 8 knots this evening before shifting to light southerly by 12Z Saturday. 27/18
MARINE
Surface ridging over the coastal and inland waters will weaken today ahead of a frontal system that will dissipate as it moves onshore Saturday morning. A stronger front will approach the waters Sunday night then sweep onshore early Monday morning. This system is likely to produce headlines for the coastal waters on Sunday. Unseasonably strong post-frontal onshore flow will likely generate headlines for both coastal and much of the inland waters late Sunday night into Monday. Another front is expected to arrive on Tuesday with elevated winds and choppy seas requiring additional headlines. 27/18
HYDROLOGY
A late season atmospheric river pattern is expected to develop Sunday through Tuesday, bringing ample rainfall to western Washington. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches across the lowlands and 2 to 4 inches, with a 40% chance for totals of up to 6 inches in central Snohomish County. With snow levels forecast to remain mostly above 5000 feet, runoff will be increased with river likely to run unusually high for this amount of rainfall after a relatively benign past month or two. Currently, the Snohomish, Skykomish, White, Skagit, and Skokomish Rivers are forecast to approach or enter Action Stage, with the Snoqualmie River forecast to near Minor Flood Stage at Carnation by Monday afternoon. This may impact use of the river flood planes that are normally dry this time of year. Area rivers are expected to crest between Sunday evening and Tuesday afternoon.
Davis
SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Wednesday morning for Bellevue and Vicinity-East Puget Sound Lowlands-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area- Olympics-Seattle and Vicinity-Tacoma Area-West Slopes North Cascades and Passes-West Slopes North Central Cascades and Passes-West Slopes South Central Cascades and Passes- Western Skagit County.
PZ...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 350 PM PDT Fri May 31 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will maintain mild and dry conditions into this evening. A weak cold front will brush the region Saturday bringing light rain. Two stronger frontal systems will cross the region Monday and Wednesday bringing atmospheric river moisture and heavy rainfall to much of western Washington Sunday through Tuesday.
High pressure looks to build across much of the western US for the second half of next week brining much warmer and drier conditions.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Upper level ridging continues to shift east with the ridge axis approximately over the Cascades at the time of this writing. Mostly clear skies over W WA as of 330 PM PDT this afternoon with some slight infiltration of high level cirrus. These high level clouds will only increase as the next weak frontal system approaches. Overnight will see mid and low level clouds filter in as the front draws closer. This front is expected to fall apart as it passes through the area Saturday. Best chances for rainfall appear to be on the Olympic Peninsula and the norther third of of the CWA, including portions of Whatcom and Skagit counties. The remainder of the area could still see some precip, but PoPs only enter into the chance category at best.
Moving into Sunday, W WA enters into an unseasonably active weather pattern. Key messages are as follows.
Key Messages for Upcoming Active Weather Pattern
* Late season atmospheric river pattern will develop Sunday through Tuesday.
* Moderate to heavy rainfall of 1-2 inches across the lowlands during this timeframe.
* Heavy rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches across the mountains during this timeframe. 55% chance for 3-day totals to exceed 3 inches in ending Wednesday morning.
* Snow levels above 4500 feet will will promote additional runoff with several area rivers in the Cascades forecast to enter Action or even Minor Flood Stage.
Sunday, the next much stronger frontal system will begin moving towards the Pacific Northwest as a shortwave trough ejects from a strong closed low over the Gulf of Alaska. Rain will spread inland well ahead of the warm front associated with this system by early Sunday morning, leading the way to a wet Sunday through and through.
Rainfall rates gradually increase through the day, reaching 0.05-0.1 inches per hour Sunday night, though NBM deterministic forecast rainfall rates keep 0.1 inch per hour rates confined to the Cascades and Olympics through the duration of this atmospheric river event.
Peak rainfall rates will occur Sunday night into early Monday morning, making for soggy and slow Monday morning commute. 1-day rainfall totals through Sunday night of 1-1.5 inches across the lowlands (60% chance for 1-day totals of at least 1 inch by 5 am Monday, with lower chances to around 30% at lower elevations near Puget Sound) and 2-3 inches across the Cascades and Olympics (45% chance for 1-day totals of at least 3 inches by 5 am Monday across the southwestern Olympics and Cascades in Snohomish County). This atmospheric river will continue to bring very wet conditions throughout the day Monday...however it is worth noting that the peak rainfall should wrap up during the morning hours. QPF amounts, while still elevated, do begin to ease some by Monday afternoon.
Though rainfall rates will subside through the day Monday, breezy and wet conditions will linger through the day as additional rounds of rain move across western Washington. Can't rule out a few lightning strikes Monday afternoon across the entire area as weak instability develops thanks to cold air aloft associated with the strong shortwave trough moving overhead. Currently there is a 20% chance for thunder Monday afternoon. Additional 1-day rainfall amounts from Monday morning through Tuesday morning will range from half to three quarters of an inch over the lowlands, one to one and a half inches over the Olympics, and 1-2 inches over the Cascades.
High temps for the period will continue to cool from the peak temps of today. Upper 50s to mid 60s are expected for Saturday while temps cool even further with both Sunday and Monday only seeing highs ranging in the mid 50s to around 60. The increased cloud cover from these systems will hamper the diurnal spread as overnight lows throughout the near term ranging in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
18/Kristell/Davis
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The atmospheric river pattern remains in place for Tuesday.
Ensemble guidance brings a brief lull in rainfall intensity late Monday into Monday night, before another round of moderate to heavy rainfall moves back into the region ahead of yet another front, expected to pass through on Wednesday. PWATs are lower with this second surge as are rainfall amounts. Rainfall will gradually subside in the transition from stratiform rain to showers through Tuesday afternoon and overnight. Showers look to linger through much of the day Wednesday post-front, with the 500 mb flow pattern favoring Puget Sound Convergence Zone formation across northern portions of the sound from Whidbey Island into northwestern Snohomish and Skagit Counties.
Total spread in possible rainfall amounts during the Sunday morning through Wednesday morning timeframe range from 1 to 3 inches across the lowlands to 2 to 6 inches across the mountains, though the most likely amounts range from 1 to 2 over the lowlands to 2 to 5 inches over the mountains. Probability for 3-day (5 am Sunday - 5 am Wednesday) rainfall amounts of at least 2 inches across the lowlands is around 20% and 70% for at least 4 inches across the southwest Olympics and Cascades in King, Snohomish, and Skagit Counties. Localized amounts of up to 6 inches cannot be ruled out across central Snohomish County according to the NBM (40% chance), which is where the highest event total liquid precipitation totals are likely to occur.
A few periods of breezy to gusty southwest winds are likely again Tuesday afternoon ahead of each of the aforementioned secondary front. Winds gusts between 20 and 25 mph are expected, with a 20-30% chance for gusts up to 30 mph. Strongest wind gust signal is across Whidbey Island and northward through the San Juan Islands and into the North Interior.
Upper-level ridging will slowly build across the West Wednesday through the remainder of the week. Showers will gradually dissipate through the day Wednesday, lingering into early Thursday over the mountains. A warm up then looks to commence as high temperatures climb into the 70s and near 80 by Friday. The 00Z run of the GFS and several additional GEFS members now bring a frontal system across the region Friday through Sunday, though the EC and ENS members largely keep the ridge in place. This can be seen in the long range ensemble cluster analysis, with the GEFS favoring a weaker ridge and the EC favoring ridge city. Definitely something to watch in the coming days. Didn't deviate from the NBM Thursday and Friday given this uncertainty, which keeps highs above normal, though mostly in the upper 70s rather than in the 80s as EC ensemble is predicting. For now, HeatRisk values remain the yellow/minor risk category Friday.
18/Davis
AVIATION
A weak upper ridge will slide eastward across Western Washington today with northwest flow aloft becoming west to southwesterly tonight. VFR conditions will prevail across the region into this evening before high level moisture will increase and lowering ceilings tonight ahead of an approaching weak frontal system. MVFR conditions in light rain will spread inland from the coast early Saturday morning.
KSEA...VFR into tonight. Ceilings lower tonight under increasing high and mid level clouds. MVFR in light rain expected to develop 12Z-15Z Saturday morning. Surface winds northerly with occasional shifts to the northeast or northwest 4 to 8 knots this evening before shifting to light southerly by 12Z Saturday. 27/18
MARINE
Surface ridging over the coastal and inland waters will weaken today ahead of a frontal system that will dissipate as it moves onshore Saturday morning. A stronger front will approach the waters Sunday night then sweep onshore early Monday morning. This system is likely to produce headlines for the coastal waters on Sunday. Unseasonably strong post-frontal onshore flow will likely generate headlines for both coastal and much of the inland waters late Sunday night into Monday. Another front is expected to arrive on Tuesday with elevated winds and choppy seas requiring additional headlines. 27/18
HYDROLOGY
A late season atmospheric river pattern is expected to develop Sunday through Tuesday, bringing ample rainfall to western Washington. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches across the lowlands and 2 to 4 inches, with a 40% chance for totals of up to 6 inches in central Snohomish County. With snow levels forecast to remain mostly above 5000 feet, runoff will be increased with river likely to run unusually high for this amount of rainfall after a relatively benign past month or two. Currently, the Snohomish, Skykomish, White, Skagit, and Skokomish Rivers are forecast to approach or enter Action Stage, with the Snoqualmie River forecast to near Minor Flood Stage at Carnation by Monday afternoon. This may impact use of the river flood planes that are normally dry this time of year. Area rivers are expected to crest between Sunday evening and Tuesday afternoon.
Davis
SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Wednesday morning for Bellevue and Vicinity-East Puget Sound Lowlands-Everett and Vicinity-Hood Canal Area-Lower Chehalis Valley Area- Olympics-Seattle and Vicinity-Tacoma Area-West Slopes North Cascades and Passes-West Slopes North Central Cascades and Passes-West Slopes South Central Cascades and Passes- Western Skagit County.
PZ...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
WPOW1 - West Point, WA | 28 mi | 81 min | NNE 13G | 59°F | 30.05 | 46°F | ||
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA | 30 mi | 51 min | W 4.1G | 64°F | 51°F | 30.08 | ||
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA | 34 mi | 51 min | N 9.9 | 63°F | 30.04 | 46°F | ||
BMTW1 | 39 mi | 51 min | W 8.9G | 66°F | 30.05 | |||
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA | 39 mi | 21 min | WNW 7G | 56°F | 30.06 | 49°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPAE SNOHOMISH COUNTY (PAINE FLD),WA | 9 sm | 28 min | N 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 66°F | 43°F | 43% | 30.04 | |
KAWO ARLINGTON MUNI,WA | 10 sm | 25 min | W 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 68°F | 46°F | 46% | 30.03 |
Marysville
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:25 AM PDT 11.54 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:24 AM PDT Moonrise
Fri -- 05:13 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:24 AM PDT 3.81 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:06 PM PDT 7.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:03 PM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:25 PM PDT 1.93 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:00 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:25 AM PDT 11.54 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:24 AM PDT Moonrise
Fri -- 05:13 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:24 AM PDT 3.81 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:06 PM PDT 7.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:03 PM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 06:25 PM PDT 1.93 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:00 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Marysville, Quilceda Creek, Washington, Tide feet
12 am |
11.5 |
1 am |
11.4 |
2 am |
10.6 |
3 am |
9.2 |
4 am |
7.4 |
5 am |
5.7 |
6 am |
4.5 |
7 am |
3.9 |
8 am |
3.9 |
9 am |
4.7 |
10 am |
5.7 |
11 am |
6.7 |
12 pm |
7.2 |
1 pm |
7 |
2 pm |
6.2 |
3 pm |
5.1 |
4 pm |
3.9 |
5 pm |
2.7 |
6 pm |
2 |
7 pm |
2.1 |
8 pm |
3.1 |
9 pm |
4.9 |
10 pm |
7.1 |
11 pm |
9.3 |
Port Gamble Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:21 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:25 AM PDT Moonrise
Fri -- 03:44 AM PDT -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:15 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:26 AM PDT 0.41 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:04 PM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:05 PM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:28 PM PDT -0.57 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:54 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:01 PM PDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:23 PM PDT 1.14 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:21 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:25 AM PDT Moonrise
Fri -- 03:44 AM PDT -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:15 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:11 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:26 AM PDT 0.41 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:04 PM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:05 PM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:28 PM PDT -0.57 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 05:54 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:01 PM PDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:23 PM PDT 1.14 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Port Gamble Bay, Washington Current, knots
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
-0.2 |
2 am |
-0.6 |
3 am |
-0.8 |
4 am |
-0.8 |
5 am |
-0.6 |
6 am |
-0.4 |
7 am |
-0 |
8 am |
0.2 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.4 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
0 |
1 pm |
-0.2 |
2 pm |
-0.4 |
3 pm |
-0.6 |
4 pm |
-0.5 |
5 pm |
-0.3 |
6 pm |
0.1 |
7 pm |
0.5 |
8 pm |
0.9 |
9 pm |
1.1 |
10 pm |
1.1 |
11 pm |
0.9 |
Seattle/Tacoma, WA,
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