Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Ketchum, WA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:52AMSunset 4:45PM Sunday January 16, 2022 5:23 PM PST (01:23 UTC) Moonrise 3:21PMMoonset 7:31AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ134 Admiralty Inlet- 253 Pm Pst Sun Jan 16 2022
Tonight..Light wind becoming S to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves less than 1 ft becoming 1 ft or less after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight.
Mon..S wind to 10 kt becoming se 5 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. A slight chance of rain in the afternoon.
Mon night..NW wind to 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Wind waves 1 ft or less. Rain likely in the evening then a chance of rain after midnight.
Tue..Variable wind to 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Wind waves 1 ft or less in the morning becoming less than 1 ft.
Tue night..S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..S wind 5 to 15 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less building to 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft or less after midnight.
Thu..S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming variable. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Fri..Light wind. Wind waves less than 1 ft.
PZZ100 253 Pm Pst Sun Jan 16 2022
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Weak surface ridge over the area will give way on Monday as a weak front arrives. High pressure briefly rebuilds Tuesday into early Wednesday before another front arrives later Wednesday. Surface ridging builds in more strongly late in the week with northerly or offshore flow developing.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Ketchum, WA
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location: 48.3, -122.44     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 162346 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 346 PM PST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. Weak upper level ridge over the area dissipating tonight. A pair of weak systems moving down from the northwest bringing a chance of rain to the area Monday and Tuesday. Stronger system Wednesday into Thursday. Upper level ridge building for the end of the week but light flow in the lower levels brings up the potential for widespread fog next weekend.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Satellite imagery shows a few places got out of the low clouds today. Biggest area of clearing was along the central coast. For the interior while visibility improved the inversion was strong enough to lock in the low clouds all day. Temperatures at 3 pm/23z were in the lower to mid 40s.

Upper level ridge over the area dissipating tonight. Light flow in the lower levels continuing keeping the low cloud deck intact. In addition middle level clouds out ahead of the next system spreading over the top of the low clouds overnight. Surface gradients are still light enough for some fog to form overnight. Lows will be in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

Weak system dropping down out of the northwest approaching Western Washington Monday afternoon. Increasing southerly surface gradients ahead of the system will scour out any remaining fog in the morning. Rain developing along the north coast with just a chance of rain elsewhere in the afternoon. Highs in the mid and upper 40s.

System moving through Western Washington Monday night. The system will be weakening as it moves through limiting rainfall amounts. Most interior locations will end up with a tenth of an inch or less. Higher amounts along the coast and the mountains. Snow levels will be slightly above the passes. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.

Upper level trough following the front Tuesday keeping a chance of rain in the forecast. This feature is also weak with snow levels only dropping down to around 4000 feet. Highs Tuesday again in the mid to upper 40s.

Tuesday night and Wednesday turning into a race to see which feature will develop the strongest. Upper level ridge trying to build offshore while a warm front moves over the top of the ridge. Models in good agreement that the warm front will be close enough to Western Washington Wednesday to keep a chance of rain in the forecast. Little change in the temperatures with the lows in the lower to mid 40s and the highs in the mid to upper 40s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Operational runs and ensembles in good agreement with the warm front Wednesday night and a cold front moving through Western Washington Thursday. Upper level ridge building behind the front Friday with the ridge remaining in place through the weekend. This ridge is stronger than the one this weekend with 500 mb heights in the lower 580 dms by Saturday. While the stronger ridge will keep the weather dry it also creates a stronger low level inversion which given all the low level moisture in the area will probably lead to at least areas of night and morning fog. Model surface gradients are light offshore which also is good for more persistent fog. For now will go with areas of night and morning fog. Model blend forecast highs are splitting the difference between a mostly sunny day which would give highs in the lower 50s versus a mostly foggy day like Sunday which would give highs in the lower to mid 40s putting highs in the mid to upper 40s every day in the extended. Felton

AVIATION. Upper ridge over the area today with westerly flow aloft will flatten on Monday as weak frontal system approaches the region. Light surface winds continuing tonight will help stratus/fog stay in place across much of the lowlands with associated LIFR/IFR conditions. Increasing low level southerly winds and increasing high/mid level clouds ahead of front should scour most stratus/fog out by Monday afternoon.

KSEA . LIFR/IFR in stratus and fog persisting into Monday morning. Ceilings expected to lift to MVFR or perhaps VFR Monday afternoon. Surface winds light northerly becoming southerly overnight and rising to 5 to 10 knots Monday afternoon. 27

MARINE. Weak surface ridge over the area will give way on Monday as a weak front arrives. High pressure briefly rebuilds Tuesday into early Wednesday before another front arrives later Wednesday. This front has might produce advisory level winds across area waters, but could weaken significantly before it arrives. Surface ridging builds in more strongly late in the week with northerly or offshore flow developing. 27

HYDROLOGY. No river flooding forecast for the next 7 days.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WA . None. PZ . None.

www.weather.gov/seattle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 11 mi54 min 0 43°F 1022 hPa42°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 21 mi54 min ENE 1.9G2.9 44°F 46°F1022.4 hPa
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 21 mi34 min 0G1.9
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 35 mi48 min SSW 2.9G5.1 43°F 46°F1022.4 hPa
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 42 mi54 min 1022.1 hPa
CPMW1 42 mi54 min NW 1.9G1.9 42°F
CPNW1 42 mi54 min W 2.9G4.1 42°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 44 mi24 min NNW 2.9G5.1 42°F 1022 hPa (+0.0)42°F

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last 24 hrW4
N3
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N5
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W3
SW3
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G6
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SW5
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E1
NE5
NW3
G6
W3
W4
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NE2
G5
NE1
NE1
E2
G5
E2
G5
SE1
SE1
SE3
SE2
SE3
SE1
SE1
E2
G5
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W4
W2

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Whidbey Island Naval Air Station - Ault Field, WA12 mi28 minN 010.00 miOvercast42°F38°F85%1022.9 hPa
Burlington/Mount Vernon, Skagit Regional Airport, WA12 mi49 minN 09.00 miA Few Clouds43°F41°F93%1021.7 hPa
Arlington Municipal Airport, WA17 mi28 minN 010.00 miOvercast42°F39°F89%1022.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNUW

Wind History from NUW (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hrN5N4N300E3000000E4E4E3E3000W4W3W400
1 day ago0SE3E6SE8NW7NW5SE4E5E4E60E50E3SE50E5E4E3W3NW4W4NW50
2 days ago0SE4SE300S3E3S4E3E6E7E7E7SE6SE6E5E8E8SE5E9W500W4

Tide / Current Tables for Stanwood, Washington
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Stanwood
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:54 AM PST     7.39 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:30 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:54 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 12:45 PM PST     2.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:08 PM PST     6.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:20 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:44 PM PST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Stanwood, Washington, Tide feet
12
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-0.3
1
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0.4
2
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2
3
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4.1
4
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5.9
5
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7
6
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7.4
7
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7
8
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6.2
9
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5.1
10
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3.9
11
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3
12
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2.5
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2.4
2
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4.4
3
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6.3
4
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6.2
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5.8
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5.2
7
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4.3
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3.3
9
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2.1
10
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1
11
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0.2


Tide / Current Tables for Deception Pass, Washington Current
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Deception Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:12 AM PST     -0.05 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:44 AM PST     -5.94 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:32 AM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:56 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:26 AM PST     0.04 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:32 AM PST     3.79 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:10 PM PST     -0.04 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:20 PM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:44 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:23 PM PST     -6.73 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 08:49 PM PST     0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Deception Pass, Washington Current, knots
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5.9
1
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5.3
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4.1
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1.4
4
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-4.4
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-5.7
6
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-5.9
7
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-5.6
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-4.8
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-3.1
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2.3
11
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3.6
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3.7
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2.9
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0.9
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-4
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-5.8
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-6.7
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-6.6
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-5.7
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-4.2
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1.3
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4.2
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5.7


Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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