Sunday, January16, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lubec, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:54AMSunset 5:50PM Sunday January 16, 2022 9:50 AM -01 (10:50 UTC) Moonrise 2:18PMMoonset 7:38AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lubec, ME
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location: 53.55, -0.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 160834 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 334 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will cross the area this morning and move off the coast this afternoon. Low pressure will track just west of Maine on Monday and exit across the Maritimes Tuesday. On Wednesday a weak low will move across the state. High pressure builds back toward the region from the west on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. High pressure over southern Quebec as of 8z will continue to progress over the area today, providing sunny conditions and decreasing winds. It will be a chilly start to the morning with the entire area below zero, but expect temperatures to rise into the teens by this afternoon. High pressure will slide offshore by 0z/7pm this evening with a ridge axis extending northwestward across the area and lifting northward through the night. Light winds, clear skies, and dry low level air should allow temperatures to cool efficiently across northern Maine before low level moisture and cloud cover builds in from south to north as the night progresses. Highlighted the colder valleys with lows in the single digits below zero, but far northern locations such as Van Buren and Estcourt Station could reach -10F. To the south, expect increasing temperatures and overrunning along the coastal front, which could produce some patchy snizzle due to potential lack of cloud ice. Expect any precipitation to be very light and non-measurable initially. Steadier precipitation will move towards the southwestern part of the forecast area around daybreak Monday as low pressure intensifies over Central Pennsylvania. There are discrepancies in onset time, with U.S. based models showing precipitation arriving before 12z but nearly all other guidance delaying the onset until after 12z for the forecast area. Leaning towards the later solution given the unrealistically fast erosion of cold, dry air in the low levels and the surface ridge.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. A strong area of low pressure is expected to be across central PA early Monday morning. The low is forecast to track to near Quebec City by Monday evening, and lift off into western Labrador on Tuesday. Precipitation will overspread the area Monday, starting in the morning across the Downeast Region and into the Central Highlands, and likely not reaching the Saint John Valley until around noon. Any snow or mixed precipitation along the coast will be very short lived and will change to rain with little/no accumulation. Inland areas will likely see from 4 to 7 inches of snow with the highest totals across the western half of the FA. There is a decent surge of warmer air that will work north during the day with the snow likely to mix with sleet or freezing rain and perhaps change to a period of rain late in the day or during the evening as far north as the eastern Saint John Valley. This still is looking like a solid advisory level event from Bangor north. Given the western track of the low confidence on warning level snowfall in the watch area is not great as enough warm air may cut down amounts a bit. For now, prefer to hold the watch for one more cycle as confidence is not high enough to go with warnings given the expected track of the low.

The other concern will be a very strong pressure gradient and jet and confidence is higher on the idea of high wind warnings along the coast and will plan to upgrade the watches to warnings. Local office studies indicate a high likelihood of 60 mph gusts along the coast Monday that should diminish late in the day as the wind shifts more into the south and the jet and pressure gradient weaken. Will hold off on wind advisories for interior Downeast as the wind concern could likely be addressed in winter weather advisories.

Temperatures should remain mild into Monday evening ahead of a cold front with patchy drizzle and fog in the warmer air. A strong cold front sweeps across the area after midnight with temperatures dropping off and the chance of snow showers and perhaps a squall. Windy and sharply colder on Tuesday with falling temperatures and the potential for some wind chill concerns by the evening across the north.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. High pressure builds in from the west and the wind will gradually diminish, and perhaps become very light/calm in the western valleys. Wind chills might be a concern for a time in the evening until the wind diminishes. It still looks like there will be the potential that the usual suspects in the northwest valleys could get down to 30 below.

The high quickly retreats east on Wednesday with low pressure to quickly move from the Great Lakes and into northern Maine Wed evening. Clouds will rapidly increase in the morning with a period of snow in the afternoon into the evening. This looks to be a light event with 1 to 3 inches of snow. Enough warm air may briefly sneak in right along the coast toward evening for a brief change to rain.

Colder air followed for the end of the week with below average temperatures. Other than some flurries or an isolated snow shower no significant weather systems are expected Thursday through Saturday. There could be enough wind for possible wind chill headlines Thursday or Thursday night before high pressure builds in at the end of the week with lighter wind.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. NEAR TERM: VFR through this evening. IFR ceilings develop tonight from south to north. Light winds through the majority of the period. South winds around 10 to 15 kts develop along the coast late tonight. LLWS is likely early this morning.

SHORT TERM: Mon: Conditions rapidly lower to LIFR in snow north and snow to rain at KBHB with mixed precipitation at KBGR. E wind increasing to 10 to 20 knots, except SE 30 to 40 knots and gusty at KBHB and 20 to 30 knots and gusty at KBGR. LLWS expected with 70 knot wind possible at FL020.

Mon night: Conditions will slowly improve to MVFR with diminishing wind. The wind will slowly back into the SW at around 10 knots.

Tue: MVFR north, and VFR at KBGR and KBHB. West wind increasing to around 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots. Patchy blowing snow north.

Tue night: VFR with diminishing west wind.

Wed: VFR to start, lowering to IFR in -sn in the PM and into eve. S wind 5 to 10 knots.

Thu: VFR with west wind increasing to 10 to 15 knots.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: SCA conditions and light to moderate freezing spray will continue early this morning. A freezing spray advisory remains in place until 9AM. A window of quiet weather is expected from this afternoon through early evening. Winds and seas will deteriorate very quickly overnight, particularly after midnight. Gale force winds are expected across a majority of the waters by daybreak Monday.

SHORT TERM: Have upgraded the storm watch to a warning for Monday. A brief window of a few hours of near hurricane force wind is possible and this will need to be monitored as we get closer to the event. A prolonged period of gales will likely follow for Monday night into Tuesday, which will likely be followed by small craft advisories for Tue night. The wind and seas will likely be below SCA levels Wednesday before another round of small craft advisories or perhaps even low end gales for Wed night and Thursday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. Splash-over and minor coastal flooding are possible on Monday, however, at this time the highest seas and wind do not appear to line up with the late morning high tide. A storm surge of around 2 ft is expected late morning. Astronomical tides are such that splash-over is a concern, especially and minor coastal flooding is possible. The highest wind/seas will occur later in the day mitigating the threat of more significant impacts. In fact, the highest storm surge will likely occur around the time of low tide late in the day.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . Winter Storm Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening for MEZ003-004-010. High Wind Warning from 7 AM to 5 PM EST Monday for MEZ029-030. MARINE . Storm Warning from 7 AM to 5 PM EST Monday for ANZ050>052. Freezing Spray Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for ANZ050>052.



Near Term . MStrauser Short Term . CB Long Term . CB Aviation . MStrauser/CB Marine . MStrauser/CB Tides/Coastal Flooding . CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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On 03/09/2021 the NDBC primary processing servers were shut off due to a facilities issue. Station pages on the NDBC website are not updating and there is no ETR at this time. We will update this banner as we learn more.
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
62144 - North Sea 95 mi51 min W 15 44°F 3 ft1022.3 hPa (+1.4)40°F

Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for Immingham, England
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Immingham
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:47 AM GMT     6.18 meters High Tide
Sun -- 07:39 AM GMT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:08 AM GMT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:07 AM GMT     1.97 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 02:17 PM GMT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:12 PM GMT     Sunset
Sun -- 05:06 PM GMT     6.41 meters High Tide
Sun -- 11:32 PM GMT     1.86 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Immingham, England, Tide feet
12
am
2.6
1
am
3.4
2
am
4.4
3
am
5.4
4
am
6
5
am
6.2
6
am
5.8
7
am
5.1
8
am
4
9
am
3.1
10
am
2.3
11
am
2
12
pm
2.3
1
pm
3.1
2
pm
4.2
3
pm
5.2
4
pm
6.1
5
pm
6.4
6
pm
6.2
7
pm
5.6
8
pm
4.5
9
pm
3.5
10
pm
2.6
11
pm
2


Tide / Current Tables for Whitby, England
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Whitby
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Sun -- 02:54 AM GMT     4.88 meters High Tide
Sun -- 07:48 AM GMT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:14 AM GMT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:09 AM GMT     1.89 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 02:12 PM GMT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:16 PM GMT     5.06 meters High Tide
Sun -- 04:10 PM GMT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:33 PM GMT     1.73 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Whitby, England, Tide feet
12
am
3.5
1
am
4.2
2
am
4.7
3
am
4.9
4
am
4.6
5
am
4.1
6
am
3.4
7
am
2.7
8
am
2.2
9
am
1.9
10
am
2
11
am
2.6
12
pm
3.4
1
pm
4.1
2
pm
4.7
3
pm
5
4
pm
5
5
pm
4.5
6
pm
3.7
7
pm
3
8
pm
2.3
9
pm
1.8
10
pm
1.8
11
pm
2.2


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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.

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