Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Bunker Hill, KS
June 2, 2024 10:14 PM CDT (03:14 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:11 AM Sunset 8:59 PM Moonrise 2:31 AM Moonset 3:54 PM |
FXUS63 KICT 022335 AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 635 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated showers and storms this afternoon, especially north of Highway 50
- Additional storm chances tonight into Monday
- More rain chances through midweek
DISCUSSION
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
As of 3 PM Sunday afternoon, WAA near 700mb continues to generate isolated to scattered showers/storms mainly north of Highway 50.
These showers/storms will continue decreasing in coverage and intensity with eastward extent as the WAA diminishes.
Further west, a very similar setup to Saturday evening/this morning is emerging with convection developing across the higher terrain.
This convection is likely to gradually progress eastward into western KS. The best low-level theta-e will once again reside across western OK, which should steer any MCS mainly southwest of the forecast area. Short term radar trends will need to be monitored overnight. More storm development is possible towards dawn Monday if today's convection weakens overnight, allowing the LLJ to overspread western OK. This would bring the nose of the jet near the stateline. Like today, prolonged weak WAA near 700mb could support showers/storms through the day Monday. All of that to say, confidence remains quite low for widespread convection at any given location in our forecast area.
The active pattern will continue through at least midweek with weak perturbations translating across the Plains atop a weakly to moderately unstable environment. Confidence continues to increase for the active pattern continuing with the main midlevel ridge axis remaining west of the Plains. This result would keep shower/storm chances going and temperatures in the 80s.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 631 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VFR conditions are expected for most of this TAF period. There is a lot of uncertainty as far as thunderstorms for the this TAF period. At the moment, 11Z to 15Z appears to be the best time for thunderstorm activity. All terminals are likely to see this possibility with the KCNU the least likely. Confidence is rather low at this time so used PROB30 to cover this contingency.
Conditions favor strong to severe thunderstorms if it does develop. This activity is expected to end after 16Z tomorrow.
After that time, VFR conditions are expected.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 635 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated showers and storms this afternoon, especially north of Highway 50
- Additional storm chances tonight into Monday
- More rain chances through midweek
DISCUSSION
Issued at 313 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
As of 3 PM Sunday afternoon, WAA near 700mb continues to generate isolated to scattered showers/storms mainly north of Highway 50.
These showers/storms will continue decreasing in coverage and intensity with eastward extent as the WAA diminishes.
Further west, a very similar setup to Saturday evening/this morning is emerging with convection developing across the higher terrain.
This convection is likely to gradually progress eastward into western KS. The best low-level theta-e will once again reside across western OK, which should steer any MCS mainly southwest of the forecast area. Short term radar trends will need to be monitored overnight. More storm development is possible towards dawn Monday if today's convection weakens overnight, allowing the LLJ to overspread western OK. This would bring the nose of the jet near the stateline. Like today, prolonged weak WAA near 700mb could support showers/storms through the day Monday. All of that to say, confidence remains quite low for widespread convection at any given location in our forecast area.
The active pattern will continue through at least midweek with weak perturbations translating across the Plains atop a weakly to moderately unstable environment. Confidence continues to increase for the active pattern continuing with the main midlevel ridge axis remaining west of the Plains. This result would keep shower/storm chances going and temperatures in the 80s.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 631 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
VFR conditions are expected for most of this TAF period. There is a lot of uncertainty as far as thunderstorms for the this TAF period. At the moment, 11Z to 15Z appears to be the best time for thunderstorm activity. All terminals are likely to see this possibility with the KCNU the least likely. Confidence is rather low at this time so used PROB30 to cover this contingency.
Conditions favor strong to severe thunderstorms if it does develop. This activity is expected to end after 16Z tomorrow.
After that time, VFR conditions are expected.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KRSL RUSSELL MUNI,KS | 5 sm | 21 min | S 11 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 63°F | 69% | 29.79 |
Wichita, KS,
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