Sunrise 6:33 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 10:48 PM   Moonset 7:50 AM

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GMZ432 Calcasieu Lake- 300 Pm Cdt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning - .
Tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Lake waters rough. Saturday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Lake waters rough. Saturday night - Southeast winds around 20 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Lake waters rough. Sunday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 35 knots. Lake waters rough. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Lake waters rough. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the evening, then a chance of showers after midnight. Monday - South winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Lake waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots, diminishing to around 10 knots after midnight. Lake waters rough. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday - South winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Wednesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters choppy. Wednesday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ400 300 Pm Cdt Fri Apr 26 2024
Synopsis - A tight pressure gradient between a series of lows over the southern plains and a surface high off the east coast will allow for a prolonged period of strong and gusty southerly winds. Sustained winds are likely to be near or above 20 knots through the weekend with gusts over 30 knots. This, along with building seas to as high as 10 feet offshore, will bring about a long duration small craft advisory conditions through the weekend. The onshore winds will decrease early next week as the high weakens off the east coast and no deep surface lows are expected to form over the southern plains.

FXUS64 KLCH 270453 AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1153 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 949 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Current obs across the region show a warm and muggy Friday night ongoing, with temperatures ranging from the 73 in Jasper to 78 in Lafayette, while dewpoints are in the mid 60s to mid 70s and skies are cloudy. Only real update made tonight was to tweak POPs over the next few hours to account for current trends, as a few light echoes have been moving across roughly the western half of the CWA over the last few hours. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track tonight.

17

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Sunday night)

Wx map shows an intensifying and nearly stacked surface low/mid to upper level shortwave over NE, a surface high over the NE U.S.
and a tight pressure gradient between the two features all the way to the Gulf. South winds of 20 mph with gusts near 30 mph continue over SE TX/SW LA, a little less elsewhere. Satellite shows mostly cloudy skies over the region, radar not showing any precipitation over our area. Further north across NE TX, a line of showers and thunderstorms expected to remain north of the region. Low end chances of showers and perhaps a thunderstorm (20% or less) in the forecast tonight.

Saturday, strong southerly winds will continue, with the ongoing Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 7 PM CDT. The Coastal Flood Advisory from 5 AM to 5 PM CDT was extended northward to include Southern Orange county and Southern Calcasieu parish. Due to the later times of high tide further north, the ending time was extended to 5 PM CDT. No significant precipitation expected Saturday through Sunday morning, as the main area of significant lift remains just to our Northwest. Elevated southerly winds likely to continue through Sunday, with wind and coastal flood advisories necessary once again.

By late Sunday afternoon through Sunday night, expect chances of showers and thunderstorms to increase across Southeast Texas and Central Louisiana, increasing to 50-70%. Much less chances expected further southeast over South Central Louisiana.

08/DML

LONG TERM
(Monday through next Thursday)

The beginning of next week is looking potentially wet and stormy as a front drifts into the region.

PWAT values are anticipated to increase into the 1.6 to 1.8 inch range across the region Monday ahead of the weak front while a short wave moves into the area. Lift from the incoming disturbance is expected to create widespread showers and storms, but mainly across the East TX Lakes across Cen LA with lesser chances toward the coast. With modest cape values some stronger storms may be possible, but the larger concern will be heavy rain as storms may be slow to move with and efficient rain producers.

Convection may linger into Tuesday, however ridging may return to the area by the middle of the week. Rain chances will decrease mid to late week, but isolated to low end scattered showers will be possible.

05

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Fri Apr 26 2024

A mix of VFR/MVFR cigs have prevailed through the evening, but recent obs suggest MVFR cigs are becoming more prevalent and should persist through the early Saturday morning. Southeast winds will remain elevated overnight, with the strongest winds expected at BPT/LCH (~15G25KT). Winds will strengthen again to 18-22 KT by mid to late Saturday morning with frequent gusts to 30+ KT by afternoon at BPT/LCH, and between 25 and 30 KT at AEX/LFT/ARA. A tight pressure gradient will maintain strong and gusty winds into Saturday evening. Meanwhile, MVFR cigs should improve to VFR by 16-18Z Saturday, lowering back into MVFR by 00-03Z Sunday at the southern terminals.

24

MARINE

A tight pressure gradient between a series of lows over the Southern Plains and a surface high off the east coast will allow for a prolonged period of strong and gusty southerly winds.
Sustained winds are likely to be near or above 20 knots through the weekend with gusts over 30 knots. This, along with building seas to as high as 10 feet offshore, will bring about a long duration Small Craft Advisory conditions through the weekend. The onshore winds will decrease early next week as the high weakens off the east coast and no deep surface lows are expected to form over the Southern Plains.

08/DML

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 69 87 67 87 / 20 10 0 20 LCH 71 84 71 84 / 10 0 0 20 LFT 72 86 71 86 / 10 0 0 10 BPT 73 83 73 83 / 20 0 0 30

LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for LAZ044-045-055- 073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.

Coastal Flood Advisory from 5 AM to 5 PM CDT Saturday for LAZ073- 074-241.

TX...Wind Advisory from 9 AM to 7 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ515-516-615- 616.

Coastal Flood Advisory from 5 AM to 5 PM CDT Saturday for TXZ615- 616.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Sunday for GMZ430-432-435- 436-450-452-455-470-472-475.

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Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:33 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:14 AM CDT     2.35 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:50 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:43 PM CDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:47 PM CDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana (2), Tide feet

Calcasieu Pass
Click for Map
Sat -- 06:33 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:21 AM CDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:50 AM CDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:51 PM CDT     1.57 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:11 PM CDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:48 PM CDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:47 PM CDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:48 PM CDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Calcasieu Pass, Lighthouse wharf, Louisiana, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

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