Sunrise 6:00 AM   Sunset 7:48 PM Moonrise 11:57 PM   Moonset 7:59 AM

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FXUS65 KLKN 271015 AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 315 AM PDT Sat Apr 27 2024

SYNOPSIS
Patchy fog expected early this morning in some valleys given the recent precipitation across the area with mostly dry weather expected today. Unsettled pattern brings low probabilities of precipitation into the forecast beginning tonight and thru at least mid week, primarily across northern Nevada.
Breezes will also continue across the forecast area.

SHORT TERM

Patchy fog expected early this morning in the typical fog prone valleys, primarily the western half of the forecast area as skies have been clear most of the night, creating a more conducive environment for fog formation. Further east, a few lingering light valley rain and mountain snow showers reside along the UT/NV state line and will dissipate by the afternoon as the most recent weather system continues to progress east. Otherwise generally dry weather under partly cloudy skies will be in place during the day along with northwesterly breezes gusting 20 to 30 mph. Winds trend lighter tonight. Daytime high temperatures will be in the 50s, with overnight lows in the mid 20s to mid 30s.

Upper energy embedded within mean northwesterly flow passes across the forecast area late tonight and tomorrow. This is expected to bring a modest increase in PoPs with a light valley rain shower/mountain snow shower or two possible across the forecast area. Little to no accumulation expected under any activity and weather will be mostly dry otherwise. Skies remain partly cloudy during the day, becoming mostly clear Sunday night.
Westerly breezes in place during the afternoon with gusts around 20mph. Look for daytime high temperatures in the mid 50s to mid 60s and overnight lows in the upper 20s to upper 30s.

LONG TERM
Monday through next Friday.

Monday an upper level low will approach the Silver State out of the Pacific Northwest. Tightening pressure gradients surrounding the upper-level low, will produce windy to gusty winds through Monday afternoon. West to Northwest winds of 20-25 mph with gusts 30-40 mph will be possible for much of the area. Some isolated to scattered showers may result in areas north of I-80 in northern Elko county. Rainfall is expected to be fairly light and up to a hundredth or two. Highs are forecasted in the upper 50s to lower 60s, with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

A series of shortwaves move through the northern part of the state and areas north, Tuesday and Wednesday. Each day, cooler air filters in. Highs Tuesday are forecasted in the upper 50s to lower 60s, while highs Wednesday are forecasted in the mid 50s, with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s each night for much of the area. Due to the shortwave passages both Tuesday and Wednesday, there may be a stray shower or two across northern Nevada.
However, the current probability is less than 15%.

Thursday a ridge looks to build into the area leading to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 60s. Lows will also be warmer in the mid to upper 30s. Increasing high clouds may be observed heading into Friday out ahead of the next potential system Saturday. Friday will be warm with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s, and lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

AVIATION
Patchy fog is possible across portions of western and northern NV early this morning, with a 20% chance at KWMC and KBAM, and a 10% chance at KEKO where clouds will be a little slower to scatter out. Dry across the region this afternoon. W-NW winds increase during the afternoon, with gusts of 20-25kt at most terminals, though slightly stronger gusts of 25-35kts at KTPH.

HYDROLOGY
Elevated flows continue across many streams, creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to snow melt and recent rainfall. Cooler temperatures are expected the next few days, including freezing temperatures at night at higher elevations, which will likely slow high elevation snow melt.
There will be opportunities for light rain and higher elevation snow showers across northern Nevada through the first half of the week but hydrologic impact should be minimal as wetting rains are not expected.

The Bruneau River is currently in minor flood stage but could fall to below flood stage in the coming days. However, the river is expected to remain elevated and within action stage.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in action stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days. The river is forecast to reach minor flood stage next week.

The Humboldt River at Comus is currently in action stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days. The river is forecast to reach minor flood stage next week.

The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in minor flood stage.
The river is forecast to remain in minor flood stage thru next week.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City is currently in minor flood stage. The river is forecast to remain in minor flood stage thru next week.

Wildhorse Dam is expected to slowly rise in the coming days but will remain in action stage.

The Mary's River near Deeth is currently in action stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days. The river is forecast to reach minor flood stage early next week.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM PDT early this morning Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range.

Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM PDT early this morning ABOVE 7000 FEET in White Pine County.

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