Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for New Buffalo, MI
April 27, 2024 2:01 AM CDT (07:01 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:46 AM Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 7:39 AM |
LMZ046 Michigan City In To New Buffalo Mi- 1057 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday evening - .
Rest of tonight - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Gusts up to 25 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Gusts up to 30 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 49 degrees and at michigan city is 47 degrees.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 49 degrees and at michigan city is 47 degrees.
LMZ005
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Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KIWX 270623 AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 222 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated strong to severe storms with hail and gusty winds this afternoon.
- Unseasonably warm and unsettled with periodic rain and storms through much of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 222 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Decaying arc of convection advancing newd out of wrn/cntrl IN will be out of ern areas around daybreak. Otherwise broad warm advection continues downstream of sfc cyclone and potent parent wave aloft over nw IA with modest theta-e riding poking into the srn lakes. LLJ weakens through morning and this aftn before some modest strengthening occurs tonight. Adequate low level theta-e ridge remains in place and with substantial diurnal destabilization will lead to redevelopment of showers/storms this aftn within sfc confluence zone broadly pinned through nrn IN/nw OH. This is expected to consolidate in time this evening as it shifts into nw IN/srn MI and where it is likely to persist into early Sun morning before lifting out. Some of these storms this aftn could be strong to severe with marginal hail/gusty winds.
Sun expected to be dry and quite warm as heights build through the wrn OH valley in response to next plains bowling ball wrecking havoc out west. Expect widespread 80+ degree temps. Plains low will release on a similar trajectory as the current sys, into sw ON by late Mon as cold front washes out ewd. Still some chance for showers late Sun night/but weakening low level flow/forcing portents little more. Brief/shallow sfc ridge follows Tue before trailing cold front in association with yet another potent nrn plains shortwave stalls out locally early Wed.
Thereafter late period muddles considerably owing to stalled frontal zone and continued parade of shortwave disturbances out of the wrn US. Suffice it to say unsettled wx the expectation through DY7 (Fri). Otherwise area will stay on warm side of the flow aloft with unseasonably warm temps persisting through the week before cooling down next weekend.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1257 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
After one round of rain yesterday evening, another round is on its way in as seen on local radar. Showers (and potentially a few embedded thunderstorms or rumbles of thunder) alongside increased low level jet winds surge in the 06Z-12Z timeframe. This will bring increased southerly winds with gusts near 25 to 35 kts at the surface through the day, but especially before 18Z.
Have kept the previous mentions of LLWS. Mainly MVFR ceilings are expected through the TAF forecast period. There may be a brief few hours of VFR ceilings this late this morning/early afternoon, before ceilings drop again this evening as vicinity showers become possible once again.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday for LMZ043-046.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 222 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Isolated strong to severe storms with hail and gusty winds this afternoon.
- Unseasonably warm and unsettled with periodic rain and storms through much of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 222 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
Decaying arc of convection advancing newd out of wrn/cntrl IN will be out of ern areas around daybreak. Otherwise broad warm advection continues downstream of sfc cyclone and potent parent wave aloft over nw IA with modest theta-e riding poking into the srn lakes. LLJ weakens through morning and this aftn before some modest strengthening occurs tonight. Adequate low level theta-e ridge remains in place and with substantial diurnal destabilization will lead to redevelopment of showers/storms this aftn within sfc confluence zone broadly pinned through nrn IN/nw OH. This is expected to consolidate in time this evening as it shifts into nw IN/srn MI and where it is likely to persist into early Sun morning before lifting out. Some of these storms this aftn could be strong to severe with marginal hail/gusty winds.
Sun expected to be dry and quite warm as heights build through the wrn OH valley in response to next plains bowling ball wrecking havoc out west. Expect widespread 80+ degree temps. Plains low will release on a similar trajectory as the current sys, into sw ON by late Mon as cold front washes out ewd. Still some chance for showers late Sun night/but weakening low level flow/forcing portents little more. Brief/shallow sfc ridge follows Tue before trailing cold front in association with yet another potent nrn plains shortwave stalls out locally early Wed.
Thereafter late period muddles considerably owing to stalled frontal zone and continued parade of shortwave disturbances out of the wrn US. Suffice it to say unsettled wx the expectation through DY7 (Fri). Otherwise area will stay on warm side of the flow aloft with unseasonably warm temps persisting through the week before cooling down next weekend.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 1257 AM EDT Sat Apr 27 2024
After one round of rain yesterday evening, another round is on its way in as seen on local radar. Showers (and potentially a few embedded thunderstorms or rumbles of thunder) alongside increased low level jet winds surge in the 06Z-12Z timeframe. This will bring increased southerly winds with gusts near 25 to 35 kts at the surface through the day, but especially before 18Z.
Have kept the previous mentions of LLWS. Mainly MVFR ceilings are expected through the TAF forecast period. There may be a brief few hours of VFR ceilings this late this morning/early afternoon, before ceilings drop again this evening as vicinity showers become possible once again.
IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 8 PM EDT Saturday for LMZ043-046.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN | 10 mi | 42 min | SSE 14G | 60°F | 29.85 | 56°F | ||
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN | 24 mi | 82 min | S 6G | 59°F | 29.91 | |||
SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI | 25 mi | 62 min | SSE 1.9G | 61°F | 29.92 | |||
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL | 42 mi | 44 min | SE 16G | 29.78 | ||||
CHII2 - Chicago, IL | 45 mi | 42 min | SSE 25G | 57°F | 57°F | |||
CNII2 | 46 mi | 17 min | S 13G | 58°F | 55°F | |||
45168 | 47 mi | 42 min | SSE 14G | 57°F | 47°F | 2 ft | 29.90 | 49°F |
OKSI2 | 48 mi | 122 min | ESE 8G | 59°F | ||||
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI | 49 mi | 32 min | ESE 14G | 60°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMGC MICHIGAN CITY MUNIPHILLIPS FIELD,IN | 8 sm | 26 min | no data | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 57°F | 55°F | 94% | 29.85 |
KPPO LA PORTE MUNI,IN | 15 sm | 26 min | SSE 06 | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 57°F | 55°F | 94% | 29.91 |
KSBN SOUTH BEND INTL,IN | 23 sm | 17 min | S 04 | 1/2 sm | Overcast | Hvy Rain Mist | 57°F | 55°F | 94% | 29.92 |
Northern Indiana, IN,
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