Wednesday, August16, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Rome, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 8:03PM Wednesday August 16, 2017 11:23 AM EDT (15:23 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 2:38PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Friendsville , PA
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location: 41.88, -75.96     debug

Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 161112
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
712 am edt Wed aug 16 2017

Other than morning fog, passing high pressure will provide for
quiet weather today through Thursday. However, showers and
thunderstorms are expected Thursday night through Friday night
as a low pressure system impacts the region.

Near term through Thursday
340 am update...

fairly quiet period in the near term, with main issue being
areas of fog that will be locally dense early this morning and
probably again early Thursday.

Not everyone got rain yesterday, but much of the area from
finger lakes to twin tiers-western catskills did, as well as
scranton and a stripe around the mohawk valley. With the
clearing that occurred overnight, radiational cooling has
allowed quite a bit of fog to develop. This time of year it is
common for valley fog to form, but moisture from the very recent
rainfall is resulting in more significant coverage than
typical. It may take a good 1-2 hours after dawn for it to mix
out. Low stratus can also be found creeping over the mohawk
valley area.

Despite the early fog, a very nice partly cloudy to sunny day is
in store courtesy of building high pressure. Temperatures will
be close to climatology with highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.

Winds will be a fairly light 5-10 mph out of the northwest, and
dewpoints will be quite tolerable in mid 50s-near 60.

High thin clouds will try to start advecting in late tonight,
but likely not enough to prevent another fog night especially
for valleys of the twin tiers to western catskills. Lows will be
in the 50s, as high pressure drifts overhead.

A slight upper ridge will move into the region Thursday, with
rising height-thicknesses but not much warming being realized
at the surface. Temperatures will not change much - perhaps up
just a couple degrees west of i-81 - but dewpoints will begin to
edge higher. Still a decent day with increasing high clouds;
thin at first but becoming more opaque late afternoon-evening as
warm front approaches. A slight chance of a late afternoon
shower or isolated thunderstorm will appear towards bath elmira
wilkes-barre but wetter times will be inbound.

Short term Thursday night through Friday
An active stretch of weather will begin Thursday night with the
passage of a warm front associated with surface low pressure
moving northeast across the northern great lakes. Showers will
overspread western ny and the finger lakes area Thursday night
spreading east overnight. Localized thunder will be possible
with elevated convection especially over the finger lakes and
south of lake ontario where showalter indices will be near zero
with modest mid-level lapse rates.

The warm front will move north of the area on Friday with rain
chances possibly diminishing slightly during the morning, then a
cold front will approach the area from the west during the
afternoon. Details on the convective environment along and ahead
of the cold front are not very clear at this time range,
however it appears that there will be at least some instability
available across the region during the afternoon with mlcape
values possibly over 1000 j kg if some clearing occurs. Mid-
level winds and deep layer shear will be 25 to 35 kts so the
combination of shear and instability could be enough for a
severe risk during the afternoon. Precipitable water values will
also be approaching 2.0 inches during the afternoon so
localized convective rain will also be a possibility. Convective
details will be strongly influenced by the amount of clearing,
if any, that can occur between the warm and cold fronts late
Friday morning into the afternoon.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
The cold front will move east of the area later Friday night
with showers and storms ending from west to east. There may be a
few days of dry weather Saturday through Monday as high pressure
builds across the area. Confidence in dry weather Saturday
through Monday is high with good agreement between the main
operational models. The chance of showers and storms will
increase again on Tuesday as the next short wave digs southeast
from the upper mid-west. The overall flow pattern continues to
be unseasonably strong for mid-august with strong westerlies
bringing shower chances every few days and the overall trough
over eastern north america not allowing for any significant heat
waves for at least the next 7 to 10 days.

Aviation 11z Wednesday through Sunday
Mainly clear sky combined with moisture from recent rainfall is
produced an almost ideal fog low cloud night for much of the
area. Most terminals will still deal with lingering issues
12z-14z. However, after the fog burns off,VFR conditions are
expected today through early evening, courtesy of building high
pressure, with few-sct in the 2-5 kft agl range. Valley fog will
redevelop tonight, especially for kelm including potential for
near airport minimums. Kith-kbgm and possibly kavp may also get
restrictions late tonight. Winds through the period will
generally be light variable, except for northwest 4-8 knots mid
morning through afternoon.


Thursday... Restrictions from valley fog in early morning,
especially kelm, otherwiseVFR.

Thursday night through Friday night... Periodic restrictions
from showers and thunderstorms as system moves through area.

Saturday through Sunday..MainlyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Mse
long term... Mse
aviation... Mdp

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY29 mi31 minN 83.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F63°F79%1017.6 hPa

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
1 day agoN8NW9NW8NW7------------------S7S5SW7SW6S6S4S4SW5SW8SW5S4
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.