Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rome, PA
May 6, 2024 4:42 PM EDT (20:42 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:50 AM Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 3:55 AM Moonset 5:43 PM |
Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 061951 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 351 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds into the region tonight, bringing beautiful weather conditions through Tuesday evening. An active weather pattern returns Tuesday night through the weekend, with chances for precipitation every day.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
330 PM Update...
Low clouds have cleared out of the area, with high level cirrus and some fair weather cumulus clouds popping up south of the Finger Lakes. A few isolated showers will be possible over the Wyoming Valley and Poconos this afternoon. Temperatures have climbed into the mid 60s to low 70s, which is what was expected.
Tonight, a surface high moving into the region tonight will bring clear skies, calm winds and dry conditions to the region.
Radiational cooling will develop, dropping temperatures into the low to mid 40s across the region. Models are showing very dry dewpoints sinking in from the north, with values in the mid to upper 30s. None of the ensembles were showing temperatures dropping below 40 so frost chances in the Finger Lakes growing zones is very low. We will monitor this as the afternoon and evening progresses. Some valley fog will be possible tonight with radiational cooling and clear skies. The dry surface air should limit this, but with leaves sprouting on the trees and evapotranspiration occurring, fog cannot be ruled out.
Tuesday will be a wonderful spring day, with high pressure overhead and temperatures in the 70s across the region. Sunny skies will persist into the afternoon hours before clouds move overhead from the SW ahead of an approaching warm front. NW flow from the high shifts to SW during the evening hours as a warm front approaches from the SW. Showers along this front will have to battle dry air in place from the high, limiting rainfall chances before midnight. After midnight, the center of the low moves into the region and rain showers span the CWA
There is some weak elevated instability modeled along and behind the front so a few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out, but severe weather is not expected. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s , with some upper 40s over the Tug Hill and northern Catskills.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A warm front will push through the area Wednesday morning. The best lift and moisture should translate north and east of our region. However, enough lift and moisture near the boundary look to be present for a few showers and thunderstorms. The environment looks highly sheared with some instability as well.
A fairly impressive wedge of mid-level dry air and steep low level lapse rates could factor in with wind and hail potential.
So while coverage looks lackluster what develops could become strong to perhaps severe. Wednesday should be the warmest day well into the 70's. After the cold frontal passage Wednesday enough of a colder airmass should advect in for lows to fall to around 50.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A very active pattern continues with another low pressure system moving through with a broad trough in place. Widespread rain looks to develop ahead of a warm front during the day Thursday than taper off to showers as the main low pressure system moves through Friday. Yet another system with some showers then follows for the weekend. Cooler with highs in the 50's and 60's and lows in the 40's.
AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
645 AM Update...
Widespread MVFR are across the area for most sites still. Some IFR at some sites this morning. Cigs and vsbys improve today to be VFR. VFR tonight. No valley fog expected at this time. A cold front is making its way southeast through CNY now and AVP this afternoon. IFR along the front and at BGM/AVP ahead of it.
BGM will remain IFR until around 18z, then VFR by 20z. Through 14z cigs and possibly vsbys will be around airport minimums.
AVP has fallen to IFR cigs. IFR until 18z then VFR at 22z.
SYR/RME will remain MVFR until 16z then lift to VFR.
ITH should be IFR from 12 to 15z then lift to VFR at 17z. ELM is MVFR and may get IFR 12 to 14z before lifting to VFR at 17z.
Light winds under 7 kts early this morning, turning west and northwest at 4 to 8 kts this morning and afternoon. Tonight winds light and variable to calm.
Outlook...
Tuesday through Tuesday evening...Mainly VFR expected.
Tuesday overnight into Wednesday morning....Restrictions likely with a period of rain showers along a warm front.
Wednesday afternoon and night...Mainly VFR; except lingering MVFR possible at RME & perhaps SYR.
Thursday through Friday... Periods of showers with some restrictions.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 351 PM EDT Mon May 6 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds into the region tonight, bringing beautiful weather conditions through Tuesday evening. An active weather pattern returns Tuesday night through the weekend, with chances for precipitation every day.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
330 PM Update...
Low clouds have cleared out of the area, with high level cirrus and some fair weather cumulus clouds popping up south of the Finger Lakes. A few isolated showers will be possible over the Wyoming Valley and Poconos this afternoon. Temperatures have climbed into the mid 60s to low 70s, which is what was expected.
Tonight, a surface high moving into the region tonight will bring clear skies, calm winds and dry conditions to the region.
Radiational cooling will develop, dropping temperatures into the low to mid 40s across the region. Models are showing very dry dewpoints sinking in from the north, with values in the mid to upper 30s. None of the ensembles were showing temperatures dropping below 40 so frost chances in the Finger Lakes growing zones is very low. We will monitor this as the afternoon and evening progresses. Some valley fog will be possible tonight with radiational cooling and clear skies. The dry surface air should limit this, but with leaves sprouting on the trees and evapotranspiration occurring, fog cannot be ruled out.
Tuesday will be a wonderful spring day, with high pressure overhead and temperatures in the 70s across the region. Sunny skies will persist into the afternoon hours before clouds move overhead from the SW ahead of an approaching warm front. NW flow from the high shifts to SW during the evening hours as a warm front approaches from the SW. Showers along this front will have to battle dry air in place from the high, limiting rainfall chances before midnight. After midnight, the center of the low moves into the region and rain showers span the CWA
There is some weak elevated instability modeled along and behind the front so a few rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out, but severe weather is not expected. Overnight temperatures will be in the 50s , with some upper 40s over the Tug Hill and northern Catskills.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A warm front will push through the area Wednesday morning. The best lift and moisture should translate north and east of our region. However, enough lift and moisture near the boundary look to be present for a few showers and thunderstorms. The environment looks highly sheared with some instability as well.
A fairly impressive wedge of mid-level dry air and steep low level lapse rates could factor in with wind and hail potential.
So while coverage looks lackluster what develops could become strong to perhaps severe. Wednesday should be the warmest day well into the 70's. After the cold frontal passage Wednesday enough of a colder airmass should advect in for lows to fall to around 50.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A very active pattern continues with another low pressure system moving through with a broad trough in place. Widespread rain looks to develop ahead of a warm front during the day Thursday than taper off to showers as the main low pressure system moves through Friday. Yet another system with some showers then follows for the weekend. Cooler with highs in the 50's and 60's and lows in the 40's.
AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
645 AM Update...
Widespread MVFR are across the area for most sites still. Some IFR at some sites this morning. Cigs and vsbys improve today to be VFR. VFR tonight. No valley fog expected at this time. A cold front is making its way southeast through CNY now and AVP this afternoon. IFR along the front and at BGM/AVP ahead of it.
BGM will remain IFR until around 18z, then VFR by 20z. Through 14z cigs and possibly vsbys will be around airport minimums.
AVP has fallen to IFR cigs. IFR until 18z then VFR at 22z.
SYR/RME will remain MVFR until 16z then lift to VFR.
ITH should be IFR from 12 to 15z then lift to VFR at 17z. ELM is MVFR and may get IFR 12 to 14z before lifting to VFR at 17z.
Light winds under 7 kts early this morning, turning west and northwest at 4 to 8 kts this morning and afternoon. Tonight winds light and variable to calm.
Outlook...
Tuesday through Tuesday evening...Mainly VFR expected.
Tuesday overnight into Wednesday morning....Restrictions likely with a period of rain showers along a warm front.
Wednesday afternoon and night...Mainly VFR; except lingering MVFR possible at RME & perhaps SYR.
Thursday through Friday... Periods of showers with some restrictions.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Binghamton, NY,
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