Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Garland, TN
June 2, 2024 2:29 PM CDT (19:29 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:42 AM Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 2:57 AM Moonset 4:12 PM |
FXUS64 KMEG 021722 AFDMEG
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1222 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Warm and humid conditions will continue today with current temperatures in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Today we will warm into the upper 80s with a few areas over northern Mississippi possibly reaching into the lower 90s. Surface high pressure will mainly dominate the Mid-South leading to mostly dry conditions today. A few pop up thunderstorms could possibly form along a shortwave in Northern Mississippi through this evening. As winds go mostly calm and skies clear across the area overnight, fog may form along the Tennessee River and low lying areas.
Current forecast package is on track.
AEH
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 440 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Warm and humid conditions will prevail through midweek. Thunderstorm chances will gradually increase Monday through Wednesday, as a series of upper level disturbances lift from the southern plains through the Midsouth and lower Ohio River Valley. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible along and west of the Mississippi River late Monday into early Tuesday morning. Damaging winds will be the primary severe weather threat.
A weak cold front will pass through the Midsouth on Thursday.
This front will bring slightly cooler temperatures and moderating humidity on Friday and the weekend.
DISCUSSION
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 440 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A short wavelength upper level ridge will bring above normal temperatures to the Midsouth today, and continue the day to day reduction in thunderstorm chances. This ridge will be slower to lift out than previously expected, persisting most of the day Monday. With 850mb temperatures 1-3 C warmer than today, some parts of the Midsouth will reach 90 degrees Monday afternoon.
Rain chances will edge up Monday night into Tuesday, with the approach of a broad upper level trough. This feature may be accompanied by convectively-enhanced vort maxima by the time it reaches the MS River late Monday night. NAM depicts ample PWAT and theta-e ridging in place over AR and most of the Midsouth, in support of locally heavy rainfall. Timing and coverage will be influenced by MCVs as well as differential heating later in the day Tuesday.
Additional height falls will arrive Wednesday, around the southern periphery of a deep upper low developing over the northern Great Lakes. To what extent these height falls affect the Midsouth depends on the model. The latest deterministic ECMWF depicts the Great Lakes low to be weaker relative to earlier runs. Ensemble means from the ECMWF and GFS are in closer agreement than the respective deterministic solutions. But there is enough shift in the ECMWF guidance to influence the NBM toward warmer temperatures, particularly on Thursday. In any case, 60s dewpoints still appear on track for Friday, providing a brief break from our typical early summer humidity.
PWB
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Potential exists for patchy fog and/or low stratus at TUP and perhaps MKL towards sunrise Monday. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected to prevail outside of TS through the 18Z TAF period. TS potential expected to remain limited to TUP for a short period this afternoon. TS chances anticipated to increase Monday afternoon as a mid-level shortwave moves through the region.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1222 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Warm and humid conditions will continue today with current temperatures in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Today we will warm into the upper 80s with a few areas over northern Mississippi possibly reaching into the lower 90s. Surface high pressure will mainly dominate the Mid-South leading to mostly dry conditions today. A few pop up thunderstorms could possibly form along a shortwave in Northern Mississippi through this evening. As winds go mostly calm and skies clear across the area overnight, fog may form along the Tennessee River and low lying areas.
Current forecast package is on track.
AEH
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 440 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Warm and humid conditions will prevail through midweek. Thunderstorm chances will gradually increase Monday through Wednesday, as a series of upper level disturbances lift from the southern plains through the Midsouth and lower Ohio River Valley. Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible along and west of the Mississippi River late Monday into early Tuesday morning. Damaging winds will be the primary severe weather threat.
A weak cold front will pass through the Midsouth on Thursday.
This front will bring slightly cooler temperatures and moderating humidity on Friday and the weekend.
DISCUSSION
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 440 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
A short wavelength upper level ridge will bring above normal temperatures to the Midsouth today, and continue the day to day reduction in thunderstorm chances. This ridge will be slower to lift out than previously expected, persisting most of the day Monday. With 850mb temperatures 1-3 C warmer than today, some parts of the Midsouth will reach 90 degrees Monday afternoon.
Rain chances will edge up Monday night into Tuesday, with the approach of a broad upper level trough. This feature may be accompanied by convectively-enhanced vort maxima by the time it reaches the MS River late Monday night. NAM depicts ample PWAT and theta-e ridging in place over AR and most of the Midsouth, in support of locally heavy rainfall. Timing and coverage will be influenced by MCVs as well as differential heating later in the day Tuesday.
Additional height falls will arrive Wednesday, around the southern periphery of a deep upper low developing over the northern Great Lakes. To what extent these height falls affect the Midsouth depends on the model. The latest deterministic ECMWF depicts the Great Lakes low to be weaker relative to earlier runs. Ensemble means from the ECMWF and GFS are in closer agreement than the respective deterministic solutions. But there is enough shift in the ECMWF guidance to influence the NBM toward warmer temperatures, particularly on Thursday. In any case, 60s dewpoints still appear on track for Friday, providing a brief break from our typical early summer humidity.
PWB
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Potential exists for patchy fog and/or low stratus at TUP and perhaps MKL towards sunrise Monday. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected to prevail outside of TS through the 18Z TAF period. TS potential expected to remain limited to TUP for a short period this afternoon. TS chances anticipated to increase Monday afternoon as a mid-level shortwave moves through the region.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KNQA MILLINGTONMEMPHIS,TN | 19 sm | 39 min | var 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 84°F | 68°F | 58% | 30.00 | |
| KHKA BLYTHEVILLE MUNI,AR | 21 sm | 36 min | calm | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 86°F | 63°F | 46% | 29.98 |
Memphis, TN,
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