Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tavernier, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:15PM Monday September 25, 2017 4:38 PM EDT (20:38 UTC) Moonrise 10:55AMMoonset 10:10PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 1024 Am Edt Mon Sep 25 2017
This afternoon..Variable winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Tonight through Wednesday..Variable winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night through Friday night..Variable winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tavernier, FL
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location: 25.01, -80.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 251752
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
152 pm edt Mon sep 25 2017

Aviation
Convective coverage is limited compared to previous days, mainly
along the sea breeze boundaries this afternoon. Convective
coverage will increase inland as the sea breezes advance and
boundary collisions occur. Activity should diminish this evening
with light winds expected.

Prev discussion issued 1041 am edt Mon sep 25 2017
update...

south florida is in a drier pocket of air this morning, which has
helped to minimize convection. Hurricane maria continues well to
our northwest with minimal influence over the weather. Main
concern continues to be the marine hazards along the atlantic
coast and waters. No additional updates expected through noon.

Have a great Monday morning!
prev discussion... Issued 412 am edt Mon sep 25 2017
discussion...

today through Wednesday: the florida peninsula will be in between
hurricane maria, as it continues its northward track well to our
east, and a broad upper level low over the northern gulf coast. This
low is expected to briefly merge into the larger circulation around
maria early this week, leaving a trailing upper level trough across
the state. West to occasionally northwest flow around these features
will bring drier air into much of the state, leaving a moisture
gradient across south florida.

Both seabreezes will develop the next few afternoons, though the
wind direction will mean a late start to the east coast seabreeze
as it remains relatively near the coast. Expect showers and a few
storms to develop along the seabreezes during the afternoons,
favoring the east coast late in the day. Overall rain chances will
remain below normal the next few days. If the dry air is able to
penetrate far enough south, wouldn't be surprised if areas near
the lake remain completely dry on some days.

Late week: hurricane maria is forecast to brush the outer banks mid
week before racing off to the northeast across the open atlantic. As
it does, the upper level low that briefly merged with the larger
circulation around the storm will be left behind across the
northeastern gulf north florida late week. Midlevel flow, while
fairly light, will tap into deeper moisture, bringing pwats back
over 2" across the region late week. Both the GFS and ECMWF are
showing the potential for weak surface low development off to our
northeast along the moisture boundary as the upper level low lifts
out this weekend.

Regardless, a shift back to a wetter pattern is expected across
south florida to end the week. Showers and storms increase in
coverage across the region by Thursday, driven by the inland
movement of both the gulf and atlantic seabreezes. Depending on
exactly how and where the boundary sets up, more numerous activity
is expected Friday into next weekend with the potential for some
heavy rainfall.

Marine... Northeast swells from hurricane maria are already making
their ways through the local atlantic waters, expected to peak
around 5-6ft later today. This will continue to lead to seas of 7-
8ft off the palm beach county coast, with lower amounts in the
remainder of the local atlantic. Both swells and seas are expected
to linger through much of the week.

A small craft advisory remains in effect through through late
Wednesday, and may need to be extended beyond that in the coming
days. The rest of the atlantic waters will reach cautionary criteria
through much of the week.

Winds are expected to be light and seabreeze driven through the
week, with no boating concerns in the gulf waters.

Beach forecast... Long period northeasterly swell potentially
reaching 5-6ft the next few days at periods of 12-13 sec will
create the potential of 10+ foot breakers along the palm beach
county coast. A high surf advisory remains in effect for coastal
palm beach county highlighting the threat of coastal erosion and
dangerous surf conditions through much of the week. In addition a
high risk for rip currents will be in place at all atlantic
beaches through much of the week.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 76 91 74 91 20 30 20 20
fort lauderdale 77 90 76 89 20 30 20 30
miami 77 90 76 90 20 40 20 30
naples 76 89 76 89 10 20 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for flz168-172-
173.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt Tuesday for flz168.

Am... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Wednesday for amz650-670.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 0 mi39 min S 6 G 7 85°F 85°F1011 hPa (-1.7)
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 9 mi99 min 89°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 12 mi159 min 87°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 13 mi159 min 87°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 14 mi159 min 86°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 16 mi99 min 90°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 16 mi99 min 89°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 17 mi159 min 87°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 18 mi99 min 89°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 20 mi99 min 90°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 20 mi99 min 89°F
TBYF1 21 mi99 min 87°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 24 mi159 min 90°F
BKYF1 25 mi99 min 86°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 25 mi99 min 86°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 28 mi159 min 91°F
LRIF1 33 mi99 min 88°F
WWEF1 33 mi159 min 89°F
NRRF1 36 mi99 min 86°F
CWAF1 39 mi159 min 87°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 41 mi159 min 88°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 41 mi159 min 84°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 43 mi39 min S 7 G 8.9 85°F 86°F1011 hPa (-2.2)
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 43 mi99 min 85°F
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL 44 mi51 min SSE 6 G 8.9 87°F 89°F1010.2 hPa
SREF1 45 mi99 min 88°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 46 mi99 min 86°F
HREF1 46 mi99 min 86°F

Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL32 mi41 minSSW 710.00 miLight Rain Thunderstorm in Vicinity81°F80°F100%1010.8 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5E5E4E3E4NE3SW3CalmCalmCalmSE3NE3N4CalmCalmCalmN3E3CalmSE4SE8NW12
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SE6S7
1 day agoNE8NE11N10W3NW4NW4CalmNW3NW4CalmNW3NW4CalmNW3NW4N4N7N4NE8NE5NE5E7E8E8
2 days agoNW4N4N4CalmN4SE6E3E8E3N3W3NW5NW3NW4N6NE4NW7N7NE5NE8E6E3E7E4

Tide / Current Tables for Molasses Reef, Florida
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Molasses Reef
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:11 AM EDT     2.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:48 PM EDT     2.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:52 PM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.62.52.21.71.20.70.50.50.81.21.82.22.52.62.42.11.61.20.90.80.91.31.72.1

Tide / Current Tables for Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current
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Long Key
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:04 AM EDT     0.85 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:16 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:23 AM EDT     -1.22 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:48 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:38 PM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:20 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:58 PM EDT     -0.90 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:16 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90.80.50.1-0.4-0.9-1.2-1.2-0.9-0.40.10.6110.80.60.2-0.3-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.5-0.10.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.