Sunrise 6:43 AM   Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 1:18 AM   Moonset 12:15 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 425 Am Edt Wed May 1 2024
Today - East to southeast winds near 10 knots, becoming east. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms. Tonight - Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.Thursday - Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming east and increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers.Thursday night and Friday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Friday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Isolated showers.Saturday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Saturday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers. Sunday - East winds near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers. Sunday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. NEarshore waters choppy. Isolated showers.

GMZ005 Synopsis For Keys Coastal Waters From Ocean Reef To Dry Tortugas 425 Am Edt Wed May 1 2024
Synopsis - High pressure centered southwest of bermuda will continue to meander today. This high will merge with a secondary high diving southward from the north atlantic, resulting in an extended period of generally moderate easterly breezes for late in the week and into the weekend. Breezes for this period will tend to peak in the evening and overnight hours, then lull during the daytime.
the approximate shoreward edge of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.

FXUS62 KMFL 011141 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 741 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

The overall pattern across the region highlights a departing shortwave trough on Wednesday and a quasi-unstable pattern thereafter with ongoing impulses of vorticity advection through the area. The weather for today will largely be similar to yesterday since the trough is still present over South Florida, so expect more scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. The brunt of the convection should develop over the interior as near surface flow will remain out of the east, but surface flow will be weaker today and thus allow for any convection over the interior to drift towards the east coast under a westerly/northwesterly steering flow.

For Thursday, residual moisture and the aforementioned vorticity pulses will provide energy for a few showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm chance again, but activity will be less since the stronger forcing will have departed. Temperatures will range from the low to mid 80s over the east coast metro areas to the upper 80s and near 90 over the interior sections today and tomorrow.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

As we move into the latter half of the week, the trough will make its exit eastward into the Atlantic as a mid-level ridge gradually moves into the Southeast. Through the majority of the long term, a weak body of surface high pressure will have the main influence on the conditions over the Peninsula, thus keeping it drier and warm. The high will be situated over the western Atlantic which will lead to consistent easterly flow near the surface. With the E/SE flow, there will be a chance (15-30%) for isolated to scattered showers daily due to modest moisture advection and pooling. Showers and isolated storms could be enhanced further by daily gulf and sea breezes. However, in the current ensemble outlook, widespread heavy rainfall, or significant instability, does not appear to be a threat for the long term. Caution will need to be taken with any slow-moving rain showers due to sensitivity to flash flooding, especially when the grounds are saturated.

Temperatures will be near to just above-normal through the extended period. The highs will be rise into the upper 80s to low 90s across the SW and interior, while remaining in the low to mid 80s along the Atlantic Coast. The overnight lows will be in the 60s, except for low to mid 70s across the east coast metro areas.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 740 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Mainly VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period.
Isolated to scattered shower activity will be possible near the east coast terminals through the morning hours. Some thunderstorms may develop early this afternoon near the east coast terminals before shifting towards the interior later in the afternoon. Light winds this morning will increase out of ESE by the early afternoon. At KAPF, winds increase early this afternoon out of the SW as a Gulf breeze develops.

MARINE
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Mostly benign conditions will continue through the end of the week.
There will be further chances for some scattered showers and a couple isolated storms, which could create locally hazardous conditions. However, minus the convective threat there is not expected to be concerns. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less in the Gulf waters.
Winds will be around 10-15 kts out of the east.

BEACHES
Issued at 259 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

A high risk of rip currents will be present for the Palm beaches on Wednesday with a lingering swell. The rest of the coast will see a moderate risk and it is likely that at least an elevated risk continues for all beaches along the Atlantic coast through the end of the week as breezy onshore flow continues.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 85 73 86 73 / 40 20 20 10 West Kendall 85 71 86 72 / 50 20 20 10 Opa-Locka 85 73 86 73 / 40 20 20 10 Homestead 83 72 83 72 / 40 20 20 10 Fort Lauderdale 85 74 85 74 / 40 20 20 10 N Ft Lauderdale 84 73 84 73 / 40 20 20 10 Pembroke Pines 85 73 85 73 / 40 20 20 10 West Palm Beach 84 70 85 71 / 40 20 20 10 Boca Raton 85 73 84 73 / 40 20 20 10 Naples 85 71 87 70 / 20 20 20 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Molasses Reef
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:18 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:44 AM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 08:55 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:04 PM EDT     2.03 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:23 PM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Molasses Reef, Florida, Tide feet

Long Key
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:15 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:22 AM EDT     0.95 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:05 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:27 AM EDT     Last Quarter
Wed -- 09:47 AM EDT     -0.81 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:05 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 03:43 PM EDT     0.63 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:49 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:03 PM EDT     -1.09 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Miami, FL,