Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tavernier, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:17PM Monday June 26, 2017 3:01 PM EDT (19:01 UTC) Moonrise 8:15AMMoonset 9:46PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 1030 Am Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
This afternoon..East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday through Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday and Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. NEarshore waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tavernier, FL
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location: 25.01, -80.38     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 261750
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
150 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Aviation
Showers are developing inland from the east coast terminals and
just north and east of kapf as of 1745z. Expect some of these
will mature into thunderstorms over the next several hours with
very slow W NW movement. New development along gust fronts may
push some of this activity toward the terminals later this
afternoon or evening so vcts will be maintained until 01z. A brief
period of ifr conditions and variable gusty winds may accompany
any thunderstorms should they impact terminals. Overnight light
and variable winds before sea breezes kick in along both coasts
after sunrise. Some guidance indicates showers may develop along
the land breeze late tonight off the atlantic coast and push west
toward the east coast terminals toward sunrise, so vcsh may need
to be added to the tafs in later issuance if confidence in this
increases.

Prev discussion issued 1007 am edt Mon jun 26 2017
update...

visible satellite imagery reveals building cumulus moving slowly
from southeast to northwest across south florida. Expect sea
breezes to develop along both coasts by midday and clash over the
interior. Numerous thunderstorms are expected over the interior
this afternoon. With a slow storm motion to the west-northwest,
locally heavy rain will be possible. Some of the storms could then
push to the north or northeast later in the afternoon, but the
widespread activity is not expected over the east coast metro
area. The adjusted morning sounding reveals a decent amount of
low-level instability as well as 1300 j kg of dcape. This means
that a few thunderstorms could contain strong wind gusts, mainly
over the interior this afternoon. One waterspout was reported
earlier off of boca raton, and the risk of waterspouts along
coastal waters should persist through the midday hours.

Prev discussion... Issued 330 am edt Mon jun 26 2017
discussion...

latest water vapor imagery shows high pressure over the florida
region this morning with broad trough gradually digging south over
the central portion of the conus. Short range models show trough
deepening southward today weakening high pressure across south fl
and pushing associated cold front southeast into the fl panhandle.

As high pressure weakens, southeast flow remains moderate today
remaining around 10 to 15 mph. This in combination with abundant
moisture content ahead of the front and sea breeze collision will
favor for showers and thunderstorm activity this afternoon. The
leading edge of the front should not reach the area, but its
influence will be enough to generate enough instability and deep
layer moisture for some storms to become strong, especially during
the afternoon and early evening hours. The best chance of pops
will be in the interior in the mid afternoon, then propagate
westward with outflow boundaries that form from the convection.

Temperatures will remain near normals with afternoon highs in the
mid 80s to lower 90s.

Deeper moisture ahead of the front, in combination with light winds
and strong sea breeze interaction will result in greater coverage of
showers and thunderstorm activity through the week. Similar weather
pattern is expected through the week with active convection during
the afternoon and evening and less coverage overnight. High temps
will be near normal ranging from the 80s to low 90s. By Saturday,
stronger subsidence and a drying trend should begin bringing back a
more typical summer pattern with sea breezes resulting in afternoon
convection favoring interior and gulf coast areas.

Marine...

surface high pressure near bermuda will keep an east to
southeast wind across the coastal waters through mid week.

The chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase through
the week but mainly inland. However, outflow boundaries could
enhance some convection over the waters. The flow will be mainly
be east to southeasterly, with the exception of the near shore
gulf waters, where an afternoon southwest sea breeze may develop.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 77 91 76 89 20 50 30 50
fort lauderdale 78 91 78 90 20 40 40 40
miami 79 92 78 91 20 50 40 50
naples 76 90 76 91 30 50 20 50

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 98 abh
discussion... 67 mt
marine... 67 mt
aviation... 22 ks


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 0 mi62 min SE 7 G 8 83°F 84°F1017.7 hPa (-0.5)
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 9 mi62 min 88°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 12 mi122 min 88°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 13 mi122 min 87°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 14 mi122 min 87°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 16 mi62 min 88°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 16 mi122 min 88°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 16 mi62 min 88°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 17 mi122 min 87°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 18 mi62 min 89°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 19 mi122 min E 4.1 89°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 20 mi62 min 87°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 20 mi62 min 90°F
TBYF1 21 mi62 min 91°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 24 mi122 min 89°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 25 mi62 min 92°F
BKYF1 25 mi62 min 90°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 28 mi122 min 87°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 31 mi62 min 89°F
LRIF1 33 mi62 min 89°F
WWEF1 33 mi122 min 88°F
NRRF1 36 mi62 min 88°F
CWAF1 39 mi122 min 89°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 41 mi122 min 86°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 41 mi122 min 86°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 43 mi62 min 87°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 43 mi62 min ESE 7 G 8 83°F 83°F1018.1 hPa (-0.7)
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL 44 mi44 min ESE 6 G 11 85°F 88°F1016.4 hPa
SREF1 45 mi62 min 88°F
HREF1 46 mi62 min 86°F

Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL32 mi64 minESE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F76°F67%1017.2 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE10E10E10SE8SE9E5E3CalmE5NE6E5E5E5E6E7E6E7SE7E6SE7SE5SE9E8SE6
1 day agoE9E9E9E8E6E7E6E6E6E9E8E7E5E4E6SE6E4E5E7E10E11E12E10
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2 days agoE13
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Tide / Current Tables for Molasses Reef, Florida
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Molasses Reef
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:50 AM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:33 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:15 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:55 AM EDT     2.53 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:08 PM EDT     -0.53 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:32 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.41.810.3-0.1-0.3-00.51.21.92.42.52.31.810.3-0.3-0.5-0.40.10.81.62.22.6

Tide / Current Tables for Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current
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Long Key
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:32 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:19 AM EDT     -1.43 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:30 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:16 AM EDT     1.17 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:15 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:24 PM EDT     -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:47 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:47 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:57 PM EDT     1.56 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.61.20.5-0.4-1.1-1.4-1.4-1-0.40.40.91.21.10.80.2-0.6-1.3-1.7-1.7-1.3-0.60.20.91.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.